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Iowa State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-62
34-31 43-31
Position#136
Record9-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game56.9
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#67
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Iowa State v Baylor
07 Feb 2026
IOWA72
BAYL69
04 Jan 2025
IOWA74
BAYL55
15 Mar 2024
IOWA76
BAYL62
31 Dec 2022
IOWA77
BAYL62
01 Jan 2022
IOWA72
BAYL77
02 Jan 2021
IOWA65
BAYL76
29 Jan 2020
IOWA53
BAYL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
A24/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A28/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H01/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
77-40
77
40
+37
H11/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-16
41-27
37-26
31-27
34-34
33-33
32-34
38-31
28-38
25-33
26-24
37-20
33-22
38-38
20-40
36-35
33-24
44-16
37-23
36-34
127.9Avg total
69.2Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.956.9127.8+14.082%
Season at home (8)73.850.1123.9+23.6100%
Season away (3)63.375.0138.3-11.733%
Last 10 (10)69.258.7127.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)68.055.2123.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.868.4126.1-10.625%
vs Similar ◀ (16)64.966.1131.0-1.162%
vs Weaker (6)74.745.5120.2+29.2100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H19/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H20/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H23/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H07/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-26
51-36
33-30
46-56
37-35
43-40
39-30
50-30
25-51
45-45
38-33
26-30
39-30
41-27
31-25
34-34
24-22
34-26
45-31
40-25
142.7Avg total
76.5Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.865.4146.2+15.383%
Season at home (10)83.562.6146.1+20.990%
Season away (2)67.079.5146.5-12.550%
Last 10 (10)76.566.2142.7+10.380%
Last 5 (5)70.456.6127.0+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.370.9147.2+5.460%
vs Weaker (18)76.564.4140.9+12.178%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +6.1+6.1
Iowa StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
39-16
39
16
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A24/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H01/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H11/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H18/12
NCAA
60.0Avg total
31.9Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.329.459.7+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.126.960.1+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)27.032.259.2-5.221%-
Last 10 (10)31.928.160.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)29.826.656.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)26.130.957.0-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.431.161.5-0.638%-
vs Weaker (6)35.323.058.3+12.3100%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H19/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H29/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.5Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.266.1+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.029.466.4+7.580%-
Last 30 away (10)30.934.765.6-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)35.531.366.8+4.290%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.263.6+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.534.071.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.933.168.0+1.870%-
vs Weaker (18)34.729.864.5+4.861%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iowa State wins
6
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22Baylor v Iowa State75-68
01/01/22Iowa State v Baylor72-77
24/02/21Baylor v Iowa State77-72
02/01/21Iowa State v Baylor65-76
30/01/20Iowa State v Baylor53-67
16/01/20Baylor v Iowa State68-55
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HWestern Michigan73-57
11/12/22HMcNeese State77-40
09/12/22AIowa56-75
04/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)71-60
01/12/22HNorth Dakota63-44
28/11/22AUconn53-71
25/11/22HNorth Carolina70-65
24/11/22AVillanova81-79 OT
20/11/22HWisc. Milwaukee68-53
13/11/22HN. Carolina A&T80-43
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HNicholls State85-56
21/12/22HNorthwestern St.58-48
19/12/22HWashington State65-59
07/12/22HTarleton80-57
03/12/22AGonzaga64-63
30/11/22AMarquette70-96
23/11/22HMcNeese State89-60
20/11/22HUCLA80-75
19/11/22HVirginia79-86
15/11/22HNorthern Colorado95-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %82%100%33%
Points / game70.973.863.3
Allowed / game56.950.175.0
Point differential+14.0+23.6-11.7
Avg total127.8123.9138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%33%
Baylor
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %83%90%50%
Points / game80.883.567.0
Allowed / game65.462.679.5
Point differential+15.3+20.9-12.5
Avg total146.2146.1146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%70%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1413193%75.349.9+25.4
2 TCU1312192%78.161.2+16.8
3 Arizona1312192%90.273.8+16.5
4 Kansas1211192%78.864.3+14.5
5 Kansas State1211192%75.160.8+14.2
6 Arizona State1311285%72.764.1+8.6
7 Baylor1210283%80.865.4+15.3
8 West Virginia1210283%81.366.3+15.0
9 Iowa State119282%70.956.9+14.0
10 Texas Tech1310377%80.162.7+17.4
11 UCF Knights1310377%69.859.6+10.2
12 Utah Utes1410471%73.660.6+13.0
13 Cincinnati1410471%80.969.1+11.8
14 Brigham Young1611569%76.168.6+7.5
15 Oklahoma State128467%71.761.5+10.2
16 Colorado149564%76.169.2+6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State344377
Baylor313162
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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