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Baylor vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 60-70
24-25 36-45
Position#200
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game74.5
Baylor
USA
vs
Iowa State 🏆
USA
Position#34
Record13-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game63.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Baylor v Iowa State
07 Jan 2026
BAYL60
IOWA70
03 Feb 2024
BAYL70
IOWA68
09 Mar 2023
BAYL72
IOWA78
04 Mar 2023
BAYL58
IOWA73
05 Mar 2022
BAYL75
IOWA68
23 Feb 2021
BAYL77
IOWA72
15 Jan 2020
BAYL68
IOWA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
81-96
81
96
-15
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H10/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
113-56
113
56
+57
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
111-67
111
67
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
124-61
124
61
+63
H29/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
37-38
34-43
47-53
40-36
51-45
52-47
58-41
34-37
37-41
47-31
50-36
55-30
58-26
40-31
71-36
69-33
55-28
23-29
40-40
167.9Avg total
94.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)93.174.5167.5+18.677%
Season at home (10)98.574.0172.5+24.590%
Season away (3)75.076.0151.0-1.033%
Last 10 (10)94.273.7167.9+20.570%
Last 5 (5)101.664.0165.6+37.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)65.075.8140.8-10.80%
vs Similar (14)81.974.3156.1+7.664%
vs Weaker (11)87.369.5156.8+17.782%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A25/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H26/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
132-68
132
68
+64
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
81-58
81
58
+23
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H14/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-45
40-37
40-26
38-34
35-34
60-30
65-28
67-40
35-31
46-27
25-33
41-29
44-28
34-25
57-20
34-40
41-28
48-33
41-28
39-31
150.0Avg total
87.3Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.563.7152.2+24.893%
Season at home (10)91.759.6151.3+32.1100%
Season away (4)80.574.0154.5+6.575%
Last 10 (10)87.362.7150.0+24.6100%
Last 5 (5)80.859.0139.8+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)79.576.7156.2+2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.965.5147.4+16.579%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: +12.0+12.02nd half: +12.1+12.1
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: +12.0+12.02nd half: +12.1+12.1
BaylorIowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
69-33
69
33
+36
H29/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A03/01
NCAA
79.1Avg total
43.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.473.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.534.075.5+7.582%-
Last 30 away (13)32.637.269.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)43.835.379.1+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.830.877.6+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.439.469.8-9.020%-
vs Similar (14)34.935.170.0-0.157%-
vs Weaker (11)44.434.078.4+10.482%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A25/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
65-28
65
28
+37
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
57-20
57
20
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/01
NCAA
72.7Avg total
42.6Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.969.8+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.529.269.6+11.374%-
Last 30 away (11)33.536.670.2-3.145%-
Last 10 (10)42.630.172.7+12.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.627.469.0+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.334.069.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.631.470.0+7.267%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baylor wins
5
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Iowa State v Baylor74-55
16/03/24Iowa State v Baylor76-62
04/02/24Baylor v Iowa State70-68
09/03/23Baylor v Iowa State72-78
04/03/23Baylor v Iowa State58-73
31/12/22Iowa State v Baylor77-62
05/03/22Baylor v Iowa State75-68
01/01/22Iowa State v Baylor72-77
24/02/21Baylor v Iowa State77-72
02/01/21Iowa State v Baylor65-76
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ATCU63-69
29/12/25HArlington Baptist Patriots124-61
21/12/25HSouthern Univ.111-67
20/12/25HAlcorn State113-56
10/12/25HNorfolk State97-67
06/12/25AMemphis71-78
03/12/25HSacramento State110-88
27/11/25ASan Diego State91-81
25/11/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)81-96
24/11/25HCreighton81-74
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HWest Virginia80-59
30/12/25HHouston Christian89-61
21/12/25HLong Beach State91-60
14/12/25HEastern Illinois78-53
12/12/25HIowa66-62
06/12/25APurdue81-58
04/12/25HAlcorn State132-68
26/11/25HSyracuse95-64
25/11/25ACreighton78-60
24/11/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %77%90%33%
Points / game93.198.575.0
Allowed / game74.574.076.0
Point differential+18.6+24.5-1.0
Avg total167.5172.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %93%100%75%
Points / game88.591.780.5
Allowed / game63.759.674.0
Point differential+24.8+32.1+6.5
Avg total152.2151.3154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%90%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona14140100%90.867.1+23.7
2 Houston1514193%77.360.3+16.9
3 Iowa State1413193%88.563.7+24.8
4 Brigham Young1413193%87.167.1+20.0
5 Oklahoma State1513287%90.279.7+10.5
6 UCF Knights1412286%86.975.8+11.1
7 Colorado1411379%86.678.2+8.4
8 Baylor1310377%93.174.5+18.6
9 TCU1511473%80.967.2+13.7
10 Kansas1511473%77.766.9+10.7
11 Texas Tech1511473%83.773.3+10.4
12 West Virginia1510567%74.161.5+12.6
13 Kansas State149564%87.478.0+9.4
14 Arizona State149564%80.676.6+4.0
15 Utah Utes148657%80.979.8+1.1
16 Cincinnati158753%73.765.3+8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor243660
Iowa State254570
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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