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Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game59.7
Baylor
USA
vs
Kansas State
USA
Position#162
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Baylor v Kansas State
02 Jan 2027
BAYL v KANS
upcoming
12 Mar 2025
BAYL70
KANS56
22 Jan 2025
BAYL70
KANS62
07 Jan 2023
BAYL95
KANS97
25 Jan 2022
BAYL74
KANS49
11 Mar 2021
BAYL74
KANS68
27 Jan 2021
BAYL107
KANS59
12 Mar 2020
BAYL v KANS
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
BAYL85
KANS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kansas State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
109-53
109
53
+56
H06/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
40-49
32-40
41-28
41-34
39-53
56-42
31-44
35-35
29-42
53-33
48-42
35-44
44-39
50-32
37-33
58-13
51-40
41-30
49-31
158.9Avg total
84.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.359.7155.0+35.7100%
Season at home (3)95.359.7155.0+35.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.474.5158.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)93.267.4160.6+25.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.577.5144.0-11.00%
vs Similar (11)80.778.0158.7+2.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.271.1164.2+22.177%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A21/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H28/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
91-105
91
105
-14
A10/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H04/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#276
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Creighton
#160
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
49-40
35-49
37-51
33-42
37-37
38-41
30-36
23-26
42-37
33-46
52-58
49-50
42-55
28-35
38-33
57-29
38-49
40-40
49-42
162.1Avg total
79.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.376.0159.3+7.367%
Season at home (3)83.376.0159.3+7.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.183.0162.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)85.287.4172.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.484.0156.4-11.614%
vs Similar (7)86.079.7165.7+6.357%
vs Weaker (2)101.067.0168.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -2.4-2.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -2.4-2.4
BaylorKansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
58-13
58
13
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/11
NCAA
77.9Avg total
43.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.135.076.0+6.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.433.476.8+10.161%-
Last 30 away (12)37.537.374.8+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.534.477.9+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.430.477.8+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.233.065.2-0.817%-
vs Similar (11)38.537.475.9+1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.333.881.2+13.569%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A26/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H28/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A10/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H04/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#276
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H07/11
NCAA
Creighton
#160
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H11/11
NCAA
76.9Avg total
37.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.776.8-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.938.276.2-0.335%-
Last 30 away (13)35.941.777.6-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.276.9-1.520%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.741.474.1-8.810%-
vs Similar (7)46.437.984.3+8.671%-
vs Weaker (2)50.528.579.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baylor wins
4
Kansas State wins
DateGameScore
18/02/26Kansas State v Baylor90-74
12/03/25Baylor v Kansas State70-56
23/01/25Baylor v Kansas State70-62
17/01/24Kansas State v Baylor68-64 OT
22/02/23Kansas State v Baylor75-65
07/01/23Baylor v Kansas State95-97 OT
10/02/22Kansas State v Baylor60-75
26/01/22Baylor v Kansas State74-49
11/03/21Baylor v Kansas State74-68
28/01/21Baylor v Kansas State107-59
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HYale90-61
06/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff109-53
03/11/26HNorthwestern St.87-65
10/03/26AArizona State79-83
07/03/26HUtah Utes101-75
05/03/26AHouston64-77
01/03/26AUCF Knights87-86
25/02/26HArizona80-87
21/02/26HArizona State73-68
18/02/26AKansas State74-90
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCreighton89-82
07/11/26HCS Northridge95-78
04/11/26HSouth Dakota St.66-68
10/03/26ABrigham Young91-105
07/03/26AKansas85-104
04/03/26HWest Virginia65-63
28/02/26HTCU68-77
26/02/26AColorado70-79
21/02/26ATexas Tech72-100
18/02/26HBaylor90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.395.3-
Allowed / game59.759.7-
Point differential+35.7+35.7-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Kansas State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game83.383.3-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+7.3+7.3-
Avg total159.3159.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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