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Baylor vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-48
24-22 34-26
Position#67
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game68.1
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Position#75
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Baylor v Northwestern St.
02 Nov 2026
BAYL87
NORT65
02 Dec 2023
BAYL91
NORT40
20 Dec 2022
BAYL58
NORT48
28 Dec 2021
BAYL104
NORT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
117-53
117
53
+64
H07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H19/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H20/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H23/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H07/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
61-21
56-32
42-34
45-36
44-26
51-36
33-30
46-56
37-35
43-40
39-30
50-30
25-51
45-45
38-33
26-30
39-30
41-27
31-25
34-34
150.7Avg total
82.6Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.668.1150.7+14.580%
Season at home (8)86.565.2151.8+21.288%
Season away (2)67.079.5146.5-12.550%
Last 10 (10)82.668.1150.7+14.580%
Last 5 (5)73.667.0140.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)74.071.8145.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.565.3142.8+12.278%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ouachita Baptist
#379
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H13/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A15/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
74-66 OT
74
66
+8
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
102-96
102
96
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
73-110
73
110
-37
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
49-30
32-32
35-37
29-31
35-32
38-30
32-37
30-27
34-37
33-32
36-34
31-33
71-63
40-39
44-43
41-34
50-39
35-48
38-62
153.3Avg total
77.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.775.7150.5-1.073%
Season at home (5)78.071.6149.6+6.480%
Season away (6)72.079.2151.2-7.267%
Last 10 (10)77.376.0153.3+1.380%
Last 5 (5)83.885.4169.2-1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.882.3159.2-5.532%
vs Similar (5)74.479.4153.8-5.060%
vs Weaker (5)74.268.2142.4+6.080%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
BaylorNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
61-21
61
21
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H19/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H19/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.566.2+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.929.666.5+7.379%-
Last 30 away (11)30.934.965.8-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.931.570.4+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.868.2+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.534.071.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar (10)33.532.666.1+0.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)35.130.765.7+4.456%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ouachita Baptist
#379
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H13/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A17/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
33.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.737.672.4-2.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.435.772.1+0.664%-
Last 30 away (16)33.339.372.6-6.031%-
Last 10 (10)33.934.468.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.839.073.8-4.237%-
vs Similar (5)35.239.074.2-3.860%-
vs Weaker (5)34.831.065.8+3.880%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Baylor wins
0
Northwestern St. wins
DateGameScore
29/12/21Baylor v Northwestern St.104-68
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/22HWashington State65-59
07/12/22HTarleton80-57
03/12/22AGonzaga64-63
30/11/22AMarquette70-96
23/11/22HMcNeese State89-60
20/11/22HUCLA80-75
19/11/22HVirginia79-86
15/11/22HNorthern Colorado95-62
12/11/22HNorfolk State87-70
07/11/22HMiss. Valley St.117-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ARice73-110
10/12/22HLouisiana Monroe91-73
04/12/22HSouthern Miss84-82
02/12/22AStephen F. Austin102-96
27/11/22HBethune-Cookman69-66
26/11/22ACentral Arkansas74-66 OT
18/11/22AIllinois State70-67
15/11/22ATCU64-63
13/11/22HIllinois State67-69
10/11/22HOuachita Baptist79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%88%50%
Points / game82.686.567.0
Allowed / game68.165.279.5
Point differential+14.5+21.2-12.5
Avg total150.7151.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game74.778.072.0
Allowed / game75.771.679.2
Point differential-1.0+6.4-7.2
Avg total150.5149.6151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1211192%73.550.3+23.2
2 Arizona State1211192%73.861.3+12.4
3 Arizona1110191%90.575.2+15.3
4 Kansas State1110191%75.360.5+14.8
5 Kansas1110191%79.865.3+14.5
6 TCU109190%77.060.7+16.3
7 West Virginia119282%81.966.5+15.4
8 Iowa State119282%70.956.9+14.0
9 Texas Tech108280%75.961.0+14.9
10 Baylor108280%82.668.1+14.5
11 Utah Utes129375%75.260.9+14.2
12 UCF Knights118373%71.261.1+10.1
13 Cincinnati128467%81.169.8+11.3
14 Oklahoma State128467%71.761.5+10.2
15 Brigham Young138562%76.671.6+5.0
16 Colorado127558%75.668.4+7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.118373%74.775.7-1.0
2 Stephen F. Austin128467%80.065.2+14.8
3 UTRGV128467%84.278.8+5.5
4 Nicholls State126650%79.772.3+7.3
5 Texas A&M-CC126650%78.373.2+5.1
6 Incarnate Word126650%68.869.7-0.9
7 SE Louisiana125742%77.676.8+0.8
8 Lamar124833%68.975.6-6.7
9 TX A&M Commerce134931%68.570.6-2.1
10 New Orleans103730%67.581.6-14.1
11 Houston Christian123925%80.282.8-2.7
12 McNeese State123925%64.674.4-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor243458
Northwestern St.222648
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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