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Tarleton vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 66-71
36-35 30-36
Position#308
Record12-18
FormLWLWL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#32
Record22-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tarleton v Utah Valley State
29 Jan 2026
TARL55
UTAH83
01 Jan 2026
TARL85
UTAH91
08 Mar 2025
TARL66
UTAH71
07 Mar 2024
TARL60
UTAH63
23 Feb 2023
TARL77
UTAH58
16 Feb 2022
TARL56
UTAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
27-28
24-21
37-33
37-23
38-35
29-48
25-43
36-39
20-42
30-37
30-27
32-32
35-32
29-23
28-44
37-25
30-27
28-36
20-32
126.7Avg total
60.1Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)63.670.0133.6-6.440%
Season at home (14)71.965.2137.1+6.671%
Season away (16)56.474.2130.6-17.912%
Last 10 (10)60.166.6126.7-6.540%
Last 5 (5)59.863.0122.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)58.873.8132.6-15.024%
vs Similar (6)65.860.3126.2+5.567%
vs Weaker (2)95.066.5161.5+28.5100%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A02/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H07/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
100-59
100
59
+41
H01/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
49-32
29-29
41-37
24-37
33-38
43-28
51-45
39-36
42-20
32-33
38-35
42-33
26-35
26-30
35-25
52-24
48-35
36-29
37-31
141.7Avg total
75.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.568.1144.7+8.476%
Season at home (14)83.164.2147.3+18.993%
Season away (15)70.471.8142.2-1.460%
Last 10 (10)75.965.8141.7+10.190%
Last 5 (5)76.663.8140.4+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)66.772.3139.0-5.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)78.967.1146.0+11.887%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: +6.7+6.7
TarletonUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A07/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A23/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.833.565.3-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.931.167.1+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)28.135.663.8-7.531%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.363.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.230.661.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)28.936.565.3-7.624%-
vs Similar (6)32.824.757.5+8.2100%-
vs Weaker (2)53.029.082.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Seattle
#252
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A02/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H01/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A07/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.831.566.3+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.129.466.5+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)32.533.766.2-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.666.4+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.629.867.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)31.732.464.1-0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)35.731.367.0+4.570%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tarleton wins
6
Utah Valley State wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25ACalifornia Baptist48-68
28/02/25HAbilene Christian67-52
23/02/25AUT Arlington57-67
16/02/25HSeattle67-64
14/02/25HGrand Canyon60-64
08/02/25AUtah Valley State56-81
07/02/25ASeattle54-91
02/02/25HSouthern Utah75-58
31/01/25HUtah Tech61-54
24/01/25AAbilene Christian56-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25AAbilene Christian73-60
01/03/25HSouthern Utah100-59
22/02/25HSeattle61-55
21/02/25AUtah Tech79-77 OT
16/02/25ASouthern Utah70-68
08/02/25HTarleton81-56
07/02/25HUT Arlington94-73
02/02/25AGrand Canyon57-75
26/01/25ASeattle70-66
24/01/25ACalifornia Baptist74-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%71%12%
Points / game63.671.956.4
Allowed / game70.065.274.2
Point differential-6.4+6.6-17.9
Avg total133.6137.1130.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %76%93%60%
Points / game76.583.170.4
Allowed / game68.164.271.8
Point differential+8.4+18.9-1.4
Avg total144.7147.3142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%64%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (1)88% (8)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2922776%76.568.1+8.4
2 California Baptist29151452%72.070.6+1.4
3 Abilene Christian31161552%70.970.3+0.5
4 UT Arlington29131645%74.474.2+0.2
5 Southern Utah30121840%69.973.8-3.8
6 Tarleton30121840%63.670.0-6.4
7 Utah Tech3062420%70.376.6-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton363066
Utah Valley State353671
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