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California Baptist vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 55-51
30-21 25-30
Position#179
Record16-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#308
Record12-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.7
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · California Baptist v Tarleton
28 Feb 2026
CALI82
TARL67
05 Feb 2026
CALI56
TARL55
13 Mar 2025
CALI55
TARL51
06 Mar 2025
CALI68
TARL48
11 Jan 2024
CALI77
TARL63
21 Jan 2023
CALI77
TARL48
16 Jan 2021
CALI73
TARL67
15 Jan 2021
CALI83
TARL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H09/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A13/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A23/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
48-72
48
72
-24
A28/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H07/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-26
40-34
27-33
30-27
47-41
38-30
39-27
28-40
45-34
41-49
30-41
34-25
28-36
20-36
26-30
35-27
36-28
32-20
36-29
34-39
136.8Avg total
70.1Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.070.5142.5+1.553%
Season at home (17)75.070.7145.7+4.365%
Season away (13)68.070.2138.2-2.238%
Last 10 (10)70.166.7136.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)62.262.2124.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.274.5145.8-3.212%
vs Similar (12)71.271.1142.2+0.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)73.566.6140.1+6.980%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#350
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-21
37-33
37-23
38-35
29-48
25-43
36-39
20-42
30-37
30-27
32-32
35-32
29-23
28-44
37-25
30-27
28-36
20-32
36-35
30-36
128.1Avg total
61.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)63.770.1133.7-6.439%
Season at home (15)71.565.6137.1+5.967%
Season away (16)56.474.2130.6-17.912%
Last 10 (10)61.167.0128.1-5.940%
Last 5 (5)61.064.4125.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)59.072.6131.6-13.624%
vs Similar (6)65.860.3126.2+5.567%
vs Weaker (2)95.066.5161.5+28.5100%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -5.8-5.8
California BaptistTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A13/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/03
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.666.5+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.533.970.5+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)30.530.861.3-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.732.568.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)31.232.864.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.635.868.4-3.138%-
vs Similar (12)34.132.366.4+1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.730.465.1+4.360%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#350
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A07/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A23/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H09/03
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.8Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.033.065.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.931.467.3+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)28.134.662.7-6.533%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.963.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.430.262.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)29.235.765.0-6.529%-
vs Similar (6)32.824.757.5+8.2100%-
vs Weaker (2)53.029.082.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
California Baptist wins
2
Tarleton wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HUT Arlington70-68
07/03/25HTarleton68-48
02/03/25AUtah Tech61-57
28/02/25ASeattle48-72
23/02/25AGrand Canyon64-66
16/02/25HUtah Tech86-83
13/02/25AUT Arlington79-82 OT
09/02/25HGrand Canyon85-71
07/02/25HSouthern Utah57-60
31/01/25HAbilene Christian83-60
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HUtah Valley State66-71
07/03/25ACalifornia Baptist48-68
28/02/25HAbilene Christian67-52
23/02/25AUT Arlington57-67
16/02/25HSeattle67-64
14/02/25HGrand Canyon60-64
08/02/25AUtah Valley State56-81
07/02/25ASeattle54-91
02/02/25HSouthern Utah75-58
31/01/25HUtah Tech61-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %53%65%38%
Points / game72.075.068.0
Allowed / game70.570.770.2
Point differential+1.5+4.3-2.2
Avg total142.5145.7138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)56% (9)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%15%
Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL39%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %39%67%12%
Points / game63.771.556.4
Allowed / game70.165.674.2
Point differential-6.4+5.9-17.9
Avg total133.7137.1130.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%47%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State3124777%76.367.7+8.5
2 California Baptist30161453%72.070.5+1.5
3 Abilene Christian32161650%70.670.3+0.3
4 UT Arlington31131842%74.374.8-0.6
5 Southern Utah31121939%69.873.7-3.9
6 Tarleton31121939%63.770.1-6.4
7 Utah Tech3372621%69.876.0-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California Baptist302555
Tarleton213051
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