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Bayreuth vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-98
21-24 22-25 19-26 16-23
Position#10
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game75.4
GermanyBBLRound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bayreuth v Bayern
12 Mar 2023
BAR79
BAY80
31 Oct 2021
BAR78
BAY87
23 Jan 2021
BAR78
BAY98
08 Mar 2020
BAR75
BAY91
27 Jan 2019
BAR90
BAY93
22 Dec 2017
BAR77
BAY86
29 Apr 2017
BAR74
BAY72
19 Mar 2016
BAR69
BAY92
22 Feb 2015
BAR64
BAY83
08 Feb 2014
BAR51
BAY75
28 Oct 2012
BAR54
BAY73
21 Apr 2012
BAR59
BAY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 77
H06/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 77
A09/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 77
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
86-104
86
104
-18
no box
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
87-93
87
93
-6
83avg 77
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
99-110
99
110
-11
95avg 77
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
73avg 77
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 77
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
71avg 77
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 77
A16/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-22
21-19
13-9
23-16
19-25
23-23
27-25
25-27
22-24
17-25
15-14
28-24
21-28
15-25
22-27
24-23
27-21
14-24
22-25
27-30
25-17
18-24
29-39
18-22
20-17
18-15
17-13
18-25
23-19
15-24
14-21
15-17
20-17
18-15
20-31
19-17
16-19
21-27
21-19
168.0Avg total
80.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.887.5169.2-5.731%
Season at home (6)84.586.8171.3-2.333%
Season away (7)79.488.0167.4-8.629%
Last 10 (10)80.587.5168.0-7.020%
Last 5 (5)78.485.6164.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.288.3166.5-10.110%
vs Similar (7)80.076.9156.9+3.157%
vs Weaker (13)95.694.1189.7+1.554%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 76
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 76
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 76
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 76
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 76
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
75avg 76
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 76
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 76
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
51-75
51
75
-24
38avg 76
A21/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
19-18
16-16
22-18
23-24
23-17
22-10
16-19
22-26
21-19
27-10
20-22
12-18
24-21
17-26
19-20
22-19
24-25
15-20
21-20
26-17
13-16
18-24
20-19
13-19
19-21
24-16
26-24
15-23
19-16
16-12
22-21
21-19
27-18
16-17
21-17
10-20
10-22
15-21
16-12
154.5Avg total
77.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.475.4161.7+11.082%
Season at home (7)87.472.6160.0+14.9100%
Season away (4)84.580.2164.8+4.250%
Last 10 (10)77.277.3154.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.276.6150.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
vs Similar (14)79.978.4158.3+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.769.8153.4+13.992%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
BayreuthBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/01
BBL
85.6Avg total
42.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.286.6-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.742.985.6-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.245.587.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.185.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.943.982.8-5.030%-
vs Similar (7)39.340.479.7-1.129%-
vs Weaker (13)46.846.593.3+0.446%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A21/01
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
37.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.078.4+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.836.076.8+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.580.4-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.077.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.272.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (14)39.440.279.6-0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.834.976.7+6.875%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.4
55.9%
54.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.3
34.9%
37.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.516.0
78.0%
78.0%16.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.7
50.6%
54.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.7
37.0%
37.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.815.6
83.0%
78.0%15.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLWLLLLWL
Bayern
LWLWWLLWWL
#10
League position
#4
-9.8
Net rating
-0.4
108.9
Offensive rating
109.4
118.8
Defensive rating
109.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
37.0%
65.7%
Assist %
63.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 109.4Defence118.8 · 109.8Shooting54.4% · 52.3%3-point %34.9% · 37.0%Ball care19.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 32.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayreuth wins
8
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
18/10/20Bayern v Bayreuth89-95
08/03/20Bayreuth v Bayern75-91
17/11/19Bayern v Bayreuth91-79
27/01/19Bayreuth v Bayern90-93
06/01/19Bayern v Bayreuth101-95 OT
03/02/18Bayern v Bayreuth96-88
22/12/17Bayreuth v Bayern77-86
29/04/17Bayreuth v Bayern74-72
03/12/16Bayern v Bayreuth100-86
19/03/16Bayreuth v Bayern69-92
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21ACrailsheim Merlins77-82
09/01/21AOldenburg73-80
02/01/21HLudwigsburg70-89
30/12/20ABamberg73-67
26/12/20HGiessen99-110
22/12/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-93
19/12/20AFrankfurt86-104
13/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig79-90
09/12/20AVechta92-89
06/12/20HAlba Berlin69-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21AOlimpia Milano51-75
17/01/21HHamburg85-71
15/01/21HReal Madrid76-81 OT
13/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-80
10/01/21HChemnitz77-76
08/01/21AOlympiacos82-84
03/01/21AAlba Berlin72-85
30/12/20HBarcelona90-77
27/12/20HBamberg84-70
23/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game81.884.579.4
Allowed / game87.586.888.0
Point differential-5.7-2.3-8.6
Avg total169.2171.3167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%100%50%
Points / game86.487.484.5
Allowed / game75.472.680.2
Point differential+11.0+14.9+4.2
Avg total161.7160.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1413193%89.478.6+10.8
2 Alba Berlin109190%84.175.6+8.5
3 Oldenburg1412286%92.081.9+10.1
4 Crailsheim Merlins1311285%88.680.1+8.5
5 Bayern119282%86.475.4+11.0
6 Hamburg128467%83.878.1+5.7
7 Ulm127558%85.479.4+6.0
8 Frankfurt125742%78.580.9-2.4
9 s.Oliver Wurzburg125742%78.282.5-4.2
10 Basketball Braunschweig104640%87.191.8-4.7
11 Bamberg135838%80.581.5-1.1
12 Syntainics MBC135838%84.887.9-3.2
13 Chemnitz124833%84.890.2-5.4
14 Bayreuth134931%81.887.5-5.7
15 Bonn123925%79.884.6-4.8
16 Gottingen1331023%81.792.8-11.2
17 Vechta1431121%81.186.8-5.6
18 Giessen1421214%84.495.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2122191678
Bayern2425262398
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