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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-77
17-19 19-16 27-21 19-21
Position#5
Record10-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#10
Record4-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.9
GermanyBBLRound 13
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth
03 Jan 2027
CME v BAR
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
CME89
BAR58
12 Apr 2025
CME84
BAR81
05 Apr 2023
CME78
BAR73
16 Apr 2022
CME90
BAR85
16 Jan 2021
CME82
BAR77
06 Oct 2019
CME83
BAR76
13 Feb 2019
CME97
BAR90
19 Dec 2015
CME73
BAR70
27 Feb 2015
CME88
BAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
80avg 84
H04/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 84
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 84
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
108-75
108
75
+33
109avg 84
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
61avg 84
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
87avg 84
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 84
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
75avg 84
A03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 84
A10/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
19-15
18-28
23-20
18-24
25-25
22-25
23-23
19-14
20-18
22-23
27-21
23-19
16-13
29-30
26-18
30-10
30-23
19-20
29-22
11-15
23-19
19-17
23-13
31-22
17-30
27-7
23-22
19-16
22-17
26-36
19-15
22-18
21-21
24-21
19-20
15-26
20-27
13-18
24-18
168.8Avg total
88.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.280.3169.5+8.883%
Season at home (6)89.079.3168.3+9.7100%
Season away (6)89.381.3170.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)88.580.3168.8+8.280%
Last 5 (5)83.679.6163.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.889.1172.9-5.344%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.088.3175.3-1.356%
vs Weaker (12)89.078.7167.7+10.392%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
99-81
99
81
+18
102avg 78
H22/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 78
H06/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 78
A09/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 78
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
86-104
86
104
-18
no box
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
87-93
87
93
-6
83avg 78
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
99-110
99
110
-11
95avg 78
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
73avg 78
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 78
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
71avg 78
A09/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
19-20
24-21
27-17
15-21
20-22
21-19
13-9
23-16
19-25
23-23
27-25
25-27
22-24
17-25
15-14
28-24
21-28
15-25
22-27
24-23
27-21
14-24
22-25
27-30
25-17
18-24
29-39
18-22
20-17
18-15
17-13
18-25
23-19
15-24
14-21
15-17
20-17
18-15
20-31
170.1Avg total
82.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.287.9170.1-5.833%
Season at home (6)84.586.8171.3-2.333%
Season away (6)79.889.0168.8-9.233%
Last 10 (10)82.787.4170.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)80.487.8168.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.388.5166.8-10.39%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.576.0156.5+4.567%
vs Weaker (13)95.694.1189.7+1.554%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
Crailsheim MerlinsBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H04/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A10/01
BBL
81.6Avg total
43.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.685.7+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.039.881.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)44.445.790.1-1.336%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.844.084.8-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.145.888.9-2.756%-
vs Weaker (12)44.939.184.0+5.858%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A09/01
BBL
87.6Avg total
43.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.487.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.742.985.6-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.545.988.4-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.887.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.043.782.7-4.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.041.281.2-1.233%-
vs Weaker (13)46.846.593.3+0.446%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.7
53.4%
54.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.3
38.3%
37.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.4
77.6%
78.0%19.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.0
56.2%
54.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.1
35.8%
37.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.817.8
81.7%
78.0%17.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWWWWWWWLW
Bayreuth
LLWLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#10
+10.9
Net rating
-6.1
117.1
Offensive rating
112.1
106.1
Defensive rating
118.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.5%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.3%
3-point %
35.8%
58.3%
Assist %
67.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 112.1Defence106.1 · 118.2Shooting55.2% · 55.2%3-point %38.3% · 35.8%Ball care18.3% · 19.5%Off. rebounds34.3% · 29.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Crailsheim Merlins wins
3
Bayreuth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21AHamburg72-89
03/01/21As.Oliver Wurzburg86-80
29/12/20HUlm86-84
27/12/20AVechta98-81
22/12/20HFrankfurt76-64
20/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig108-75
12/12/20HOldenburg94-80
09/12/20HChemnitz88-76
06/12/20ALudwigsburg88-97
04/12/20HGottingen89-77
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21AOldenburg73-80
02/01/21HLudwigsburg70-89
30/12/20ABamberg73-67
26/12/20HGiessen99-110
22/12/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-93
19/12/20AFrankfurt86-104
13/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig79-90
09/12/20AVechta92-89
06/12/20HAlba Berlin69-71
22/11/20HSyntainics MBC99-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game89.289.089.3
Allowed / game80.379.381.3
Point differential+8.8+9.7+8.0
Avg total169.5168.3170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game82.284.579.8
Allowed / game87.986.889.0
Point differential-5.8-2.3-9.2
Avg total170.1171.3168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1211192%89.678.8+10.8
2 Alba Berlin98189%84.375.6+8.8
3 Oldenburg1210283%92.082.1+9.9
4 Crailsheim Merlins1210283%89.280.3+8.8
5 Bayern108280%86.575.8+10.7
6 Hamburg118373%84.977.5+7.5
7 Ulm116555%84.379.9+4.4
8 Syntainics MBC115645%85.787.5-1.8
9 Frankfurt115645%79.181.0-1.9
10 Basketball Braunschweig94544%88.392.9-4.6
11 Bamberg125742%80.981.4-0.5
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg114736%78.183.5-5.4
13 Chemnitz124833%84.890.2-5.4
14 Bayreuth124833%82.287.9-5.8
15 Gottingen113827%81.691.5-9.9
16 Bonn123925%79.884.6-4.8
17 Giessen1221017%84.794.7-10.0
18 Vechta121118%78.186.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1719271982
Bayreuth1916212177
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