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Bayern vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-81 (OT)
15-23 19-16 16-12 22-21 4-9
Position#5
Record12-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#7
Record12-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v Real Madrid
24 Mar 2027
BAY v MAD
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAY90
MAD84
03 Oct 2024
BAY97
MAD89
09 Jan 2024
BAY71
MAD92
13 Dec 2022
BAY64
MAD68
05 Nov 2021
BAY76
MAD80
15 Jan 2021
BAY76
MAD81
21 Dec 2018
BAY72
MAD82
11 Dec 2015
BAY67
MAD86
13 Mar 2014
BAY85
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 78
A16/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
77-66
77
66
+11
67avg 78
H18/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
L
95-100
95
100
-5
90avg 78
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 78
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 78
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 78
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 78
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
75avg 78
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 78
H13/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
23-21
17-21
15-23
18-15
20-15
20-20
19-16
21-29
29-26
18-21
27-24
16-22
19-18
16-16
22-18
23-24
23-17
22-10
16-19
22-26
21-19
27-10
20-22
12-18
24-21
17-26
19-20
22-19
24-25
15-20
21-20
26-17
13-16
18-24
20-19
13-19
19-21
24-16
26-24
159.8Avg total
80.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.776.5156.3+3.263%
Season at home (10)80.373.8154.1+6.580%
Season away (9)79.179.6158.7-0.444%
Last 10 (10)80.779.1159.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)80.680.4161.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.178.7160.8+3.462%
vs Weaker (13)84.171.7155.8+12.485%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 80
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 80
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
A18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
91-62
91
62
+29
100avg 80
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
92-85
92
85
+7
91avg 80
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H08/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-10
23-11
20-30
20-16
17-17
30-25
24-26
14-15
19-14
23-19
12-20
12-12
19-18
18-21
20-18
19-18
26-12
27-14
19-18
22-23
24-23
19-18
17-23
13-20
18-17
21-14
21-14
25-26
19-19
26-27
22-13
23-17
14-15
14-15
24-22
18-17
21-22
10-22
27-19
162.1Avg total
84.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.377.7160.0+4.667%
Season at home (9)86.877.2164.0+9.678%
Season away (9)77.878.2156.0-0.456%
Last 10 (10)84.277.9162.1+6.380%
Last 5 (5)79.677.2156.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.777.0152.7-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.278.0162.2+6.270%
vs Weaker (17)87.075.2162.2+11.8100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
BayernReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H18/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/01
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
40.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.836.176.9+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.679.4+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.281.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.139.678.7-0.546%-
vs Weaker (13)41.635.577.1+6.269%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/01
Euroleague
73.1Avg total
37.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.277.5+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.981.5+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.273.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.879.2-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.743.778.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.137.879.9+4.370%-
vs Weaker (17)40.235.675.9+4.665%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.4
51.3%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.68.0
38.8%
38.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.814.9
83.7%
79.3%14.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.0
56.5%
52.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.2
37.4%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.713.0
82.8%
79.3%13.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLWWLLWL
Real Madrid
LWWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#7
+2.0
Net rating
+11.1
112.6
Offensive rating
113.5
110.6
Defensive rating
102.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.8%
3-point %
37.4%
64.1%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 113.5Defence110.6 · 102.3Shooting53.6% · 56.3%3-point %38.8% · 37.4%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
15/01/14Real Madrid v Bayern111-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-80
10/01/21HChemnitz77-76
08/01/21AOlympiacos82-84
03/01/21AAlba Berlin72-85
30/12/20HBarcelona90-77
27/12/20HBamberg84-70
23/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
20/12/20AOldenburg95-100
18/12/20HBaskonia77-66
16/12/20AZenit Petersburg75-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/21HOlimpia Milano76-80
04/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra75-69
02/01/21ATenerife92-85
29/12/20AAnadolu Efes73-65
27/12/20HBarcelona82-87
22/12/20HAlba Berlin91-62
18/12/20AOlympiacos86-82 OT
15/12/20APanathinaikos97-93 OT
13/12/20HUnicaja91-84
10/12/20HZenit Petersburg79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%80%44%
Points / game79.780.379.1
Allowed / game76.573.879.6
Point differential+3.2+6.5-0.4
Avg total156.3154.1158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game82.386.877.8
Allowed / game77.777.278.2
Point differential+4.6+9.6-0.4
Avg total160.0164.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%84.679.0+5.7
2 Barcelona2014670%81.573.7+7.8
3 Real Madrid1812667%82.377.7+4.6
4 Zenit Petersburg1812667%76.872.9+3.9
5 Bayern1912763%79.776.5+3.2
6 Olimpia Milano1912763%82.479.7+2.7
7 Olympiacos1810856%80.580.6-0.1
8 Anadolu Efes2011955%79.376.8+2.6
9 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%79.877.5+2.3
10 Valencia1910953%81.381.8-0.5
11 Fenerbahce20101050%75.878.0-2.2
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%79.778.5+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
15 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
16 Panathinaikos1961332%79.884.0-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1851328%74.880.8-6.0
18 Khimki M.2021810%78.690.3-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bayern15191622476
Real Madrid23161221981
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