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Bayern vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-71
21-19 27-18 16-17 21-17
Position#4
Record8-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game75.8
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#7
Record8-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game77.5
GermanyBBLRound 13
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bayern v Hamburg
25 Oct 2026
BAY96
HAM77
05 Oct 2025
BAY96
HAM79
29 Sep 2024
BAY81
HAM80
08 Oct 2023
BAY90
HAM79
14 Feb 2023
BAY70
HAM89
02 Mar 2022
BAY86
HAM75
17 Jan 2021
BAY85
HAM71
30 Sep 2019
BAY111
HAM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H18/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
L
95-100
95
100
-5
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
20-15
20-20
19-16
21-29
29-26
18-21
27-24
16-22
19-18
16-16
22-18
23-24
23-17
22-10
16-19
22-26
21-19
27-10
20-22
12-18
24-21
17-26
19-20
22-19
24-25
15-20
21-20
26-17
13-16
18-24
20-19
13-19
19-21
24-16
26-24
15-23
19-16
16-12
22-21
160.1Avg total
80.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.575.8162.3+10.780%
Season at home (6)87.872.8160.7+15.0100%
Season away (4)84.580.2164.8+4.250%
Last 10 (10)80.879.3160.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)77.881.2159.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.478.6160.0+2.854%
vs Weaker (13)84.171.7155.8+12.485%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
90-61
90
61
+29
A22/11
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
93-63
93
63
+30
A03/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A06/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H10/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H13/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A20/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
75-95
75
95
-20
H27/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H02/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H10/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
32-18
24-15
20-15
23-28
12-11
30-15
28-9
22-12
23-15
17-32
23-21
26-18
28-14
26-28
20-19
25-20
15-18
14-15
15-20
30-29
19-18
22-22
27-25
16-17
17-28
19-22
23-28
21-31
14-16
15-18
15-21
24-16
25-11
24-29
19-18
26-15
27-20
18-13
18-24
163.3Avg total
85.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.977.5162.4+7.573%
Season at home (6)83.878.0161.8+5.867%
Season away (5)86.276.8163.0+9.480%
Last 10 (10)85.677.7163.3+7.970%
Last 5 (5)83.884.2168.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)81.290.3171.5-9.216%
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.083.5165.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (7)90.478.0168.4+12.486%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
BayernHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H18/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/01
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
39.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.278.5+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.436.376.6+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.881.0-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.680.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.076.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.140.779.8-1.638%-
vs Weaker (13)41.635.577.1+6.269%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/11
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A03/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A06/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A20/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H02/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H10/01
BBL
80.7Avg total
43.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.745.186.8-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.086.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.386.9-5.627%-
Last 10 (10)43.936.880.7+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.649.490.0-8.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.041.883.8+0.225%-
vs Weaker (7)44.435.479.9+9.071%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.4
51.3%
54.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.68.0
38.8%
37.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.814.9
83.7%
78.0%14.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.4
55.7%
54.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.9
34.9%
37.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
78.0%15.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWLLWWLLW
Hamburg
WWLLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#7
+2.0
Net rating
+11.0
112.6
Offensive rating
113.0
110.6
Defensive rating
102.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.8%
3-point %
34.9%
64.1%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 113.0Defence110.6 · 102.0Shooting53.6% · 54.2%3-point %38.8% · 34.9%Ball care17.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
30/09/19Bayern v Hamburg111-55
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21HReal Madrid76-81 OT
13/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-80
10/01/21HChemnitz77-76
08/01/21AOlympiacos82-84
03/01/21AAlba Berlin72-85
30/12/20HBarcelona90-77
27/12/20HBamberg84-70
23/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
20/12/20AOldenburg95-100
18/12/20HBaskonia77-66
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HCrailsheim Merlins89-72
02/01/21HVechta92-74
29/12/20ALudwigsburg65-86
27/12/20HChemnitz75-95
20/12/20AGottingen98-94
13/12/20HUlm69-73
10/12/20HGiessen100-79
06/12/20ASyntainics MBC85-80
03/12/20ABonn93-63
22/11/20As.Oliver Wurzburg90-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game86.587.884.5
Allowed / game75.872.880.2
Point differential+10.7+15.0+4.2
Avg total162.3160.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game84.983.886.2
Allowed / game77.578.076.8
Point differential+7.5+5.8+9.4
Avg total162.4161.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1312192%89.178.5+10.6
2 Alba Berlin98189%84.375.6+8.8
3 Crailsheim Merlins1311285%88.680.1+8.5
4 Oldenburg1210283%92.082.1+9.9
5 Bayern108280%86.575.8+10.7
6 Hamburg118373%84.977.5+7.5
7 Ulm116555%84.379.9+4.4
8 Syntainics MBC115645%85.787.5-1.8
9 Frankfurt115645%79.181.0-1.9
10 Basketball Braunschweig94544%88.392.9-4.6
11 Bamberg135838%80.581.5-1.1
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg114736%78.183.5-5.4
13 Chemnitz124833%84.890.2-5.4
14 Bayreuth134931%81.887.5-5.7
15 Gottingen113827%81.691.5-9.9
16 Bonn123925%79.884.6-4.8
17 Vechta1321115%79.586.5-7.0
18 Giessen1321115%84.694.8-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2127162185
Hamburg1918171771
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