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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 75-51
20-10 22-10 21-15 12-16
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#5
Record12-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 80
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 80
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 80
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
97avg 80
H03/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 80
A08/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
95-80
95
80
+15
92avg 80
H12/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
84-70
84
70
+14
90avg 80
A14/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#13
W
102-73
102
73
+29
93avg 80
H17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
22-22
24-28
30-11
19-23
22-22
16-18
22-21
23-24
23-14
12-20
15-10
17-17
16-22
25-20
22-21
21-18
18-31
25-23
33-21
17-18
22-21
22-10
19-27
21-20
33-16
22-24
19-20
13-18
29-16
22-22
20-14
31-18
31-18
20-22
20-15
24-18
20-17
18-22
21-24
168.4Avg total
88.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.479.7162.1+2.763%
Season at home (9)83.979.1163.0+4.856%
Season away (10)81.180.2161.3+0.970%
Last 10 (10)88.280.2168.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)88.876.0164.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.482.2164.6+0.250%
vs Weaker (19)87.276.1163.3+11.184%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
95-100
95
100
-5
90avg 78
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 78
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 78
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 78
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 78
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
75avg 78
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 78
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 78
H17/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
29-26
18-21
27-24
16-22
19-18
16-16
22-18
23-24
23-17
22-10
16-19
22-26
21-19
27-10
20-22
12-18
24-21
17-26
19-20
22-19
24-25
15-20
21-20
26-17
13-16
18-24
20-19
13-19
19-21
24-16
26-24
15-23
19-16
16-12
22-21
21-19
27-18
16-17
21-17
161.4Avg total
81.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.576.8156.3+2.860%
Season at home (11)79.974.5154.4+5.573%
Season away (9)79.179.6158.7-0.444%
Last 10 (10)81.679.8161.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)80.478.4158.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.278.6160.8+3.554%
vs Weaker (13)84.171.7155.8+12.485%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H03/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A14/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#13
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/01
Lega A
84.6Avg total
44.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.537.982.4+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.437.982.3+6.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.737.882.5+6.979%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.236.084.2+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.339.681.9+2.760%-
vs Weaker (19)45.637.382.9+8.374%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H17/01
BBL
82.2Avg total
40.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.079.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.836.377.1+4.467%-
Last 30 away (12)41.540.481.9+1.142%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.382.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.678.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.840.180.9+0.846%-
vs Weaker (13)41.635.577.1+6.269%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.2%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.611.6
47.2%
38.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws15.712.5
79.6%
79.3%12.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.88.0
38.5%
38.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.5
82.4%
79.3%15.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWLWLW
Bayern
WLWWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#5
+11.9
Net rating
+5.1
117.1
Offensive rating
113.7
105.2
Defensive rating
108.6
58.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
47.2%
3-point %
38.5%
60.4%
Assist %
63.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 113.7Defence105.2 · 108.6Shooting58.9% · 54.1%3-point %47.2% · 38.5%Ball care17.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
02/10/20Bayern v Olimpia Milano79-81 OT
11/01/19Bayern v Olimpia Milano93-87
19/12/18Olimpia Milano v Bayern78-80
03/12/14Olimpia Milano v Bayern83-81
31/10/14Bayern v Olimpia Milano74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/21ACremona83-81
17/01/21HReggiana102-73
14/01/21AAlba Berlin84-70
12/01/21HValencia95-80
08/01/21AReal Madrid80-76
03/01/21HPesaro97-93
30/12/20HCSKA Moscow87-91 OT
27/12/20AVirtus Bologna73-68
23/12/20HBaskonia79-84
20/12/20HSassari102-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HHamburg85-71
15/01/21HReal Madrid76-81 OT
13/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-80
10/01/21HChemnitz77-76
08/01/21AOlympiacos82-84
03/01/21AAlba Berlin72-85
30/12/20HBarcelona90-77
27/12/20HBamberg84-70
23/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
20/12/20AOldenburg95-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW63%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%56%70%
Points / game82.483.981.1
Allowed / game79.779.180.2
Point differential+2.7+4.8+0.9
Avg total162.1163.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %16%11%20%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%73%44%
Points / game79.579.979.1
Allowed / game76.874.579.6
Point differential+2.8+5.5-0.4
Avg total156.3154.4158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%84.679.0+5.7
2 Barcelona2014670%81.573.7+7.8
3 Zenit Petersburg1913668%77.373.2+4.1
4 Olimpia Milano1912763%82.479.7+2.7
5 Real Madrid2113862%82.078.1+4.0
6 Bayern2012860%79.576.8+2.8
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%79.877.5+2.3
8 Valencia2011955%81.881.2+0.5
9 Olympiacos2011955%80.780.7+0.0
10 Anadolu Efes21111052%79.377.1+2.1
11 Fenerbahce20101050%75.878.0-2.2
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv21101148%80.078.7+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Panathinaikos2071335%80.583.7-3.2
15 Crvena zvezda2071335%74.878.6-3.9
16 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2061430%75.581.0-5.5
18 Khimki M.2121910%78.690.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2022211275
Bayern1010151651
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