PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayreuth vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-89
25-13 20-24 17-30 22-22
Position#12
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 80
H23/10
BBL
London Lions
#18
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 80
H31/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A06/11
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
84-61
84
61
+23
no box
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
57-84
57
84
-27
no box
H13/11
German Cup
London Lions
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
100-68
100
68
+32
99avg 80
H20/11
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
78avg 80
A04/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
11-25
19-19
21-20
21-22
15-30
26-21
19-18
16-22
30-22
16-27
16-16
24-21
22-17
20-28
17-13
22-25
21-15
22-33
24-14
24-11
20-25
22-13
18-12
8-30
17-17
18-20
14-17
31-29
27-13
21-22
18-14
28-11
19-16
27-22
26-19
20-15
21-25
21-15
25-29
163.5Avg total
83.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.074.4159.4+10.688%
Season at home (5)85.674.0159.6+11.6100%
Season away (3)84.075.0159.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)83.080.5163.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)85.075.0160.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.585.6162.1-9.112%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.879.1162.8+4.769%
vs Weaker (8)91.574.8166.2+16.8100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A17/10
DBL
Mornar Bar
#27
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
101-63
101
63
+38
no box
H30/10
DBL
Iraklis
#25
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#9
W
85-59
85
59
+26
no box
A06/11
DBL
Mornar Bar
#27
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A02/12
DBL
Zwolle
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H04/12
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
15-24
17-15
22-14
28-25
13-20
23-17
10-25
21-21
12-16
16-22
20-20
27-21
23-24
22-13
29-5
21-16
21-12
21-24
29-31
15-16
23-21
29-12
18-10
17-16
21-23
17-12
23-22
14-18
22-22
10-24
15-20
15-17
22-17
18-18
27-11
17-18
20-29
21-13
15-20
152.9Avg total
79.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.278.2152.3-4.050%
Season at home (3)72.771.7144.3+1.067%
Season away (3)75.784.7160.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)79.073.9152.9+5.160%
Last 5 (5)75.871.8147.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.081.5146.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.777.3160.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (23)86.573.0159.5+13.578%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +3.0+3.0
BayreuthLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/10
BBL
London Lions
#18
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/11
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H13/11
German Cup
London Lions
#18
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H20/11
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/12
BBL
83.3Avg total
42.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.082.8+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.939.483.2+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)41.440.982.3+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.383.3+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.481.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.244.683.9-5.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.537.881.3+5.685%-
vs Weaker (8)44.838.182.9+6.662%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A17/10
DBL
Mornar Bar
#27
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H30/10
DBL
Iraklis
#25
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/11
DBL
Mornar Bar
#27
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A02/12
DBL
Zwolle
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/12
DBL
77.9Avg total
38.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.480.9+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.340.786.0+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)40.436.777.1+3.647%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.177.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.538.573.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.739.084.7+6.733%-
vs Weaker (23)43.038.081.0+5.065%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.4
54.2%
52.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.1
38.7%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
73.2%16.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
73.2%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
WWWLWWWLLL
Leiden
LWLWWWWLLW
#12
League position
#10
+3.3
Net rating
-2.7
111.4
Offensive rating
95.2
108.1
Defensive rating
98.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
27.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.7%
3-point %
32.6%
63.9%
Assist %
68.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 95.2Defence108.1 · 98.0Shooting55.7% · 51.8%3-point %38.7% · 32.6%Ball care17.7% · 27.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 35.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayreuth wins
0
Leiden wins
No previous meetings.
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21ABamberg87-84
20/11/21HSyntainics MBC100-68
17/11/21HLondon Lions97-78
13/11/21HAlba Berlin57-84
10/11/21HDonar Groningen84-61
06/11/21AHeidelberg89-87
03/11/21HKapfenberg Bulls83-79
31/10/21HBayern78-87
27/10/21ALondon Lions81-91
23/10/21HCrailsheim Merlins74-86
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21HZwolle73-80
02/12/21ADen Helder82-63
17/11/21ABahcesehir Kol.61-84
10/11/21HMornar Bar78-73
06/11/21ABAL Weert85-59
03/11/21AIraklis92-83
30/10/21HAmsterdam101-63
27/10/21HBahcesehir Kol.69-79
20/10/21AMornar Bar74-87
17/10/21AZwolle75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game85.085.684.0
Allowed / game74.474.075.0
Point differential+10.6+11.6+9.0
Avg total159.4159.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game74.272.775.7
Allowed / game78.271.784.7
Point differential-4.0+1.0-9.0
Avg total152.3144.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.770100%84.370.7+13.6
2 Bayreuth87188%85.074.4+10.6
3 Saratov76186%94.079.7+14.3
4 Legia76186%76.068.9+7.1
5 Benfica97278%81.278.1+3.1
6 Sporting CP75271%78.769.3+9.4
7 Parma Perm75271%82.474.1+8.3
8 Reggiana75271%83.076.7+6.3
9 London Lions75271%83.378.7+4.6
10 Kyiv Basket75271%76.774.6+2.1
11 Crailsheim Merlins74357%82.074.6+7.4
12 Bakken Bears74357%88.485.3+3.1
13 CSM Oradea74357%69.366.9+2.4
14 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
15 FC Porto84450%70.570.0+0.5
16 Ironi Eilat63350%82.882.3+0.5
17 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
18 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
19 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
20 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
21 Leiden63350%74.278.2-4.0
22 Ionikos63350%78.382.8-4.5
23 Trefl Sopot94544%79.276.7+2.6
24 Antwerp Giants73443%79.080.3-1.3
25 Donar Groningen83538%72.474.6-2.2
26 Iraklis83538%74.078.8-4.8
27 Mornar Bar62433%80.778.3+2.3
28 Belfius Mons62433%72.376.8-4.5
29 Basket Zaragoza62433%80.785.8-5.2
30 Peristeri62433%74.379.5-5.2
31 Den Bosch62433%73.380.0-6.7
32 Rilski Sportist62433%79.285.8-6.7
33 Minsk62433%80.588.5-8.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj61517%68.575.2-6.7
35 Opava61517%81.788.7-7.0
36 Gilboa Galil61517%73.891.8-18.0
37 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
38 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
39 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
40 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
41 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
42 Kapfenberg Bulls6060%72.087.5-15.5
43 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
44 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2520172284
Leiden1324302289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.