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Bayreuth vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-86
23-22 11-25 19-19 21-20
Position#16
Record1-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#8
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game93.8
GermanyBBLRound 5
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins
10 Jan 2027
BAR v CME
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
BAR63
CME79
21 Sep 2024
BAR103
CME106
23 Oct 2022
BAR99
CME77
23 Oct 2021
BAR74
CME86
05 Mar 2021
BAR97
CME78
12 Nov 2020
BAR77
CME81
03 Apr 2020
BAR v CME
upcoming
29 Dec 2018
BAR102
CME85
06 Feb 2016
BAR78
CME70
02 Oct 2014
BAR80
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#12
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 80
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 80
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 80
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 80
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
100-70
100
70
+30
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
68avg 80
A17/10
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
71-64
71
64
+7
no box
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
16-17
21-12
17-16
26-41
22-15
29-16
22-23
22-21
25-14
19-26
8-25
25-7
16-23
16-23
27-24
21-18
22-17
19-16
18-24
21-24
26-23
30-12
16-25
23-18
15-16
30-24
18-14
24-18
25-19
24-15
27-18
12-23
23-17
26-20
9-17
22-12
17-19
19-18
13-15
159.6Avg total
83.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.778.3155.0-1.733%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)76.778.3155.0-1.733%
Last 10 (10)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 5 (5)84.073.4157.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.987.1166.0-8.212%
vs Similar (11)82.880.6163.5+2.264%
vs Weaker (10)90.475.9166.3+14.580%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 80
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 80
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
62avg 80
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
110avg 80
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 80
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
no box
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
no box
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 80
H16/10
BBL
Minsk
#33
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-17
19-25
21-16
32-19
22-16
18-21
24-26
16-16
16-24
21-24
19-22
27-24
20-26
36-14
28-20
25-17
15-26
25-25
14-14
19-19
16-14
10-10
8-10
24-33
29-22
25-22
21-22
18-24
27-19
20-18
26-17
21-25
24-21
17-24
9-23
20-25
10-19
31-14
16-23
170.0Avg total
85.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.093.8186.8-0.825%
Season at home (2)91.088.5179.5+2.550%
Season away (2)95.099.0194.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)85.284.8170.0+0.440%
Last 5 (5)83.086.2169.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.085.0160.0-10.040%
vs Similar (11)80.783.7164.5-3.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.284.2175.3+7.062%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
BayreuthCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/10
BBL
Donar Groningen
#24
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
80.5Avg total
43.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.082.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.139.983.9+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.640.181.7+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.580.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.879.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.544.686.1-3.138%-
vs Similar (11)43.437.781.1+5.682%-
vs Weaker (10)42.638.180.7+4.550%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/10
BBL
Minsk
#33
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
85.1Avg total
42.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.984.0+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.840.982.7+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.185.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
vs Similar (11)41.142.984.0-1.827%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.542.186.5+2.454%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.7
56.1%
54.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.5
39.0%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.7
80.3%
73.1%16.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.217.3
59.2%
54.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.4
38.7%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
73.1%16.2
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
WLWWWWWLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWLWLWLWL
#16
League position
#8
+3.2
Net rating
+1.7
112.3
Offensive rating
115.2
109.1
Defensive rating
113.5
57.0%
Effective FG%
58.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.0%
3-point %
38.7%
64.4%
Assist %
64.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 115.2Defence109.1 · 113.5Shooting57.0% · 58.6%3-point %39.0% · 38.7%Ball care18.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayreuth wins
6
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/21ADonar Groningen71-64
17/10/21AHamburg70-77
13/10/21AKapfenberg Bulls100-70
09/10/21AChemnitz86-72
05/10/21HHamburg93-84
01/10/21HHapoel Haifa80-75
29/09/21HSzedeak84-77
26/09/21AGiessen74-86
09/05/21AGottingen99-95
04/05/21HFrankfurt81-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/21HMinsk77-81
16/10/21HUlm71-93
13/10/21ABakken Bears91-78
10/10/21ASyntainics MBC111-116 OT
02/10/21HLudwigsburg65-63 OT
28/09/21AOldenburg79-82
25/09/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg111-84
25/05/21HBayern72-86
23/05/21HBayern96-82
21/05/21ABayern79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
Home--
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game76.7-76.7
Allowed / game78.3-78.3
Point differential-1.7--1.7
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game93.091.095.0
Allowed / game93.888.599.0
Point differential-0.8+2.5-4.0
Avg total186.8179.5194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg440100%84.278.5+5.8
2 Syntainics MBC43175%97.892.5+5.2
3 Heidelberg43175%75.270.2+5.0
4 Bonn43175%82.881.2+1.5
5 Chemnitz43175%83.582.5+1.0
6 Bayern32167%83.376.7+6.7
7 Gottingen32167%81.377.3+4.0
8 Hamburg53260%79.877.8+2.0
9 Alba Berlin42250%85.274.8+10.5
10 Ulm42250%83.881.0+2.8
11 Ludwigsburg42250%74.575.0-0.5
12 Bayreuth31233%76.778.3-1.7
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg31233%82.398.0-15.7
14 Crailsheim Merlins41325%93.093.8-0.8
15 Giessen41325%76.277.2-1.0
16 Basketball Braunschweig41325%88.592.8-4.2
17 Oldenburg51420%79.883.8-4.0
18 Frankfurt4040%69.887.5-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2311192174
Crailsheim Merlins2225192086
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