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Bayreuth vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-93
16-26 23-24 19-17 29-26
Position#16
Record11-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#4
Record21-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game75.4
GermanyBBLRound 33
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bayreuth v Ludwigsburg
14 Feb 2023
BAR94
LUD108
28 Apr 2022
BAR87
LUD93
02 Jan 2021
BAR70
LUD89
12 Apr 2020
BAR v LUD
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
BAR81
LUD109
12 May 2018
BAR74
LUD79
29 Apr 2018
BAR70
LUD73
04 Apr 2018
BAR77
LUD89
26 Nov 2016
BAR87
LUD70
22 Nov 2015
BAR75
LUD77
08 Nov 2014
BAR89
LUD69
08 Dec 2013
BAR80
LUD95
13 Oct 2012
BAR94
LUD82
22 Oct 2011
BAR64
LUD58
20 Mar 2011
BAR90
LUD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Giessen
#18
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 75
H09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A12/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 75
A18/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 75
H23/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H26/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
53-87
53
87
-34
41avg 75
A04/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 75
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 75
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 75
H22/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
23-16
17-24
19-28
17-31
26-18
20-18
18-14
19-18
15-22
22-29
9-17
18-12
15-27
21-16
17-19
18-23
18-24
14-21
21-16
15-18
20-20
14-14
4-35
19-19
31-23
13-22
14-19
15-19
16-22
16-18
22-24
25-26
24-18
16-20
20-26
15-18
18-22
18-17
22-23
159.8Avg total
74.4Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.185.4164.5-6.334%
Season at home (16)80.183.2163.2-3.138%
Season away (16)78.187.6165.8-9.531%
Last 10 (10)74.485.4159.8-11.00%
Last 5 (5)71.484.6156.0-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.387.5163.8-11.224%
vs Similar (13)81.587.9169.4-6.523%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
82avg 69
H27/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
77-75
77
75
+2
66avg 69
H30/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 69
A02/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
59avg 69
A05/04
Champions League
Ulm
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
64avg 69
H09/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
92-75
92
75
+17
80avg 69
H13/04
Champions League
Bayern
#3
L
58-77
58
77
-19
38avg 69
H16/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A19/04
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 69
H23/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 69
A26/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
18-8
22-25
28-15
28-16
14-23
20-16
15-20
29-35
20-27
21-19
18-16
13-18
21-19
22-18
17-21
18-12
15-15
22-18
19-16
16-19
24-14
24-24
28-18
13-18
23-12
11-21
11-26
16-11
21-12
19-19
23-31
21-18
26-12
14-21
16-24
18-17
23-21
17-19
28-35
156.7Avg total
79.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.875.4155.1+4.468%
Season at home (15)83.074.3157.3+8.787%
Season away (16)76.876.3153.1+0.450%
Last 10 (10)79.477.3156.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.075.0151.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (14)71.573.8145.3-2.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.873.9157.7+9.993%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
BayreuthLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#18
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A12/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A18/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H26/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/04
BBL
82.0Avg total
39.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.385.6-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.843.685.4-1.831%-
Last 30 away (14)40.645.185.8-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.382.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.443.283.6-2.929%-
vs Similar (13)42.545.888.2-3.331%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H27/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H30/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/04
Champions League
Ulm
#5
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H09/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/04
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A19/04
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A26/04
BBL
75.0Avg total
39.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.374.7+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.235.174.4+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.837.275.0+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.175.0+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.871.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (14)34.635.169.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.637.378.9+4.367%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.0
50.6%
54.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.011.4
76.0%
73.1%11.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.2
52.7%
54.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.0
29.1%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.312.2
66.7%
73.1%12.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLLLLLLLL
Ludwigsburg
LWWLWWLLWW
#16
League position
#4
-17.8
Net rating
+2.9
101.6
Offensive rating
108.3
119.4
Defensive rating
105.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
49.0%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
29.1%
65.0%
Assist %
54.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 108.3Defence119.4 · 105.4Shooting50.4% · 49.0%3-point %33.5% · 29.1%Ball care18.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds26.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayreuth wins
10
Ludwigsburg wins
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/22HUlm73-80
16/04/22ACrailsheim Merlins85-90
13/04/22HChemnitz69-83
09/04/22Hs.Oliver Wurzburg77-83
04/04/22AAlba Berlin53-87
26/03/22HBamberg71-84
23/03/22HOldenburg71-74
18/03/22ABonn65-86
12/03/22AGottingen91-92 OT
09/03/22HGiessen89-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/22As.Oliver Wurzburg86-92
23/04/22HCrailsheim Merlins77-75
19/04/22ACluj-Napoca79-73
16/04/22HBayern58-77
13/04/22HCluj-Napoca92-75
09/04/22HUlm74-61
05/04/22ACluj-Napoca73-76
02/04/22ABonn88-97
30/03/22HSyntainics MBC77-75
27/03/22HBasketball Braunschweig90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL34%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %34%38%31%
Points / game79.180.178.1
Allowed / game85.483.287.6
Point differential-6.3-3.1-9.5
Avg total164.5163.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeWWWLW87%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %68%87%50%
Points / game79.883.076.8
Allowed / game75.474.376.3
Point differential+4.4+8.7+0.4
Avg total155.1157.3153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin3024680%85.772.6+13.1
2 Bonn3225778%88.680.9+7.8
3 Bayern3022873%81.274.9+6.4
4 Ludwigsburg31211068%79.875.4+4.4
5 Ulm30201067%82.879.5+3.3
6 Chemnitz31201165%80.178.2+1.9
7 Hamburg32181456%85.381.7+3.6
8 Crailsheim Merlins31161552%84.585.2-0.7
9 Gottingen32161650%80.782.1-1.4
10 Bamberg31151648%84.087.5-3.5
11 s.Oliver Wurzburg32141844%83.385.7-2.4
12 Basketball Braunschweig31121939%83.784.3-0.5
13 Oldenburg32122038%85.186.7-1.7
14 Heidelberg31112035%78.482.5-4.1
15 Bayreuth32112134%79.185.4-6.3
16 Syntainics MBC32102231%84.189.9-5.8
17 Giessen3072323%79.885.7-5.9
18 Frankfurt3272522%73.180.2-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth1623192987
Ludwigsburg2624172693
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