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Bayreuth vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-108
27-31 16-25 24-22 27-30
Position#18
Record3-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#6
Record11-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game84.5
GermanyBBLRound 21
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayreuth v Ludwigsburg
14 Feb 2023
BAR94
LUD108
28 Apr 2022
BAR87
LUD93
02 Jan 2021
BAR70
LUD89
12 Apr 2020
BAR v LUD
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
BAR81
LUD109
12 May 2018
BAR74
LUD79
29 Apr 2018
BAR70
LUD73
04 Apr 2018
BAR77
LUD89
26 Nov 2016
BAR87
LUD70
22 Nov 2015
BAR75
LUD77
08 Nov 2014
BAR89
LUD69
08 Dec 2013
BAR80
LUD95
13 Oct 2012
BAR94
LUD82
22 Oct 2011
BAR64
LUD58
20 Mar 2011
BAR90
LUD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 72
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
75avg 72
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 72
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 72
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
83-99
83
99
-16
76avg 72
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 72
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
67avg 72
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
60avg 72
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 72
A11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-28
14-21
25-13
14-18
21-26
20-33
34-23
24-30
19-19
25-15
24-22
17-31
16-22
13-22
27-20
31-24
22-26
16-24
14-25
11-20
25-28
20-19
27-16
13-21
23-18
23-25
24-28
18-22
15-20
16-37
22-15
21-23
12-25
11-18
20-14
18-22
15-17
16-22
25-25
173.0Avg total
80.7Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.288.7168.9-8.616%
Season at home (10)80.387.7168.0-7.430%
Season away (9)80.089.9169.9-9.90%
Last 10 (10)80.792.3173.0-11.610%
Last 5 (5)78.691.8170.4-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.787.4165.1-9.79%
vs Similar (6)75.785.3161.0-9.717%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
66-69
66
69
-3
52avg 72
A30/12
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 72
H03/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-89
80
89
-9
65avg 72
A08/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 72
A11/01
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
96-68
96
68
+28
95avg 72
H15/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
no box
H18/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
87-106
87
106
-19
72avg 72
A21/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
57avg 72
H28/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 72
H05/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 72
H11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
14-15
19-16
12-18
14-14
28-18
19-24
24-25
13-22
24-27
18-24
25-16
17-18
6-22
14-24
25-18
30-15
25-17
22-23
19-13
36-16
15-23
21-24
14-23
9-26
30-22
26-22
22-36
17-16
19-10
16-21
19-28
25-21
14-22
33-22
24-16
25-20
28-20
20-21
20-31
166.9Avg total
83.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.884.5172.3+3.361%
Season at home (10)90.782.8173.5+7.980%
Season away (8)84.186.6170.8-2.538%
Last 10 (10)83.083.9166.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)88.290.0178.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.580.0164.5+4.550%
vs Similar (11)85.780.9166.6+4.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.482.9169.3+3.450%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
BayreuthLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/02
BBL
83.5Avg total
37.3Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.682.4-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.643.482.0-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)39.043.982.9-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.346.283.5-8.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.277.4-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.143.482.5-4.330%-
vs Similar (6)37.844.582.3-6.717%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/12
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H03/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A11/01
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H15/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H18/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A21/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H11/02
BBL
79.4Avg total
41.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.884.0+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.839.586.3+7.375%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.181.3+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.479.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.282.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.040.285.2+4.850%-
vs Similar (11)42.538.480.8+4.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.440.585.9+4.957%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.5
48.9%
54.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.1
36.3%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.116.8
72.7%
75.8%16.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.6
48.9%
54.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.1
35.0%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.4
68.7%
75.8%13.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLLLLLWLL
Ludwigsburg
WWLLLWLLWL
#18
League position
#6
-15.3
Net rating
+0.8
104.5
Offensive rating
109.0
119.8
Defensive rating
108.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
20.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
35.0%
68.8%
Assist %
61.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 109.0Defence119.8 · 108.2Shooting51.5% · 50.6%3-point %36.3% · 35.0%Ball care20.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayreuth wins
10
Ludwigsburg wins
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AHamburg74-86
05/02/23HUlm64-80
29/01/23HBonn71-94
20/01/23HRostock83-92
15/01/23AHeidelberg101-107 OT
08/01/23HWurzburg83-99
29/12/22HGottingen73-95
26/12/22HBamberg92-86
22/12/22AGottingen89-100
16/12/22AChemnitz77-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-92
05/02/23HFrankfurt96-81
28/01/23HOldenburg71-75
21/01/23ACrailsheim Merlins87-106
18/01/23HLimoges94-96 OT
15/01/23HBayern96-68
11/01/23ALimoges62-82
08/01/23AChemnitz80-89
03/01/23HLimoges85-81
30/12/22ASyntainics MBC66-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %16%30%0%
Points / game80.280.380.0
Allowed / game88.787.789.9
Point differential-8.6-7.4-9.9
Avg total168.9168.0169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%80%38%
Points / game87.890.784.1
Allowed / game84.582.886.6
Point differential+3.3+7.9-2.5
Avg total172.3173.5170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1817194%91.179.5+11.6
2 Bonn1917289%89.574.6+14.9
3 Bayern1914574%83.176.3+6.8
4 Oldenburg1912763%84.982.3+2.7
5 Gottingen1912763%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1811761%87.884.5+3.3
7 Chemnitz1810856%84.582.6+1.9
8 Ulm1910953%88.486.3+2.2
9 Wurzburg20101050%84.384.3+0.1
10 Bamberg2091145%86.486.5-0.1
11 Rostock2091145%84.589.5-4.9
12 Syntainics MBC1981142%83.888.0-4.2
13 Crailsheim Merlins1971237%87.791.3-3.6
14 Hamburg2071335%82.586.3-3.9
15 Heidelberg2071335%87.091.2-4.2
16 Basketball Braunschweig2051525%79.385.2-5.9
17 Frankfurt2051525%79.787.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth1931616%80.288.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2716242794
Ludwigsburg31252230108
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