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Ludwigsburg vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-92
29-24 20-27 28-20 20-21
Position#2
Record22-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#10
Record10-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.0
GermanyBBLRound 25
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Bayreuth
08 Mar 2023
LUD102
BAR93
08 Jan 2022
LUD87
BAR67
28 Mar 2021
LUD97
BAR92
21 Dec 2019
LUD89
BAR84
13 Jan 2019
LUD100
BAR82
15 May 2018
LUD95
BAR70
10 May 2018
LUD104
BAR85
27 Mar 2018
LUD81
BAR86
16 Dec 2017
LUD78
BAR47
29 Jan 2017
LUD76
BAR79
02 Apr 2016
LUD88
BAR85
06 Mar 2015
LUD93
BAR67
15 Feb 2014
LUD71
BAR63
02 Feb 2013
LUD70
BAR69
18 Mar 2012
LUD91
BAR72
28 Nov 2010
LUD98
BAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Giessen
#17
W
99-85
99
85
+14
no box
H30/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
89-75
89
75
+14
84avg 76
A07/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
64avg 76
H10/02
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 76
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
66avg 76
A28/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
98-87
98
87
+11
95avg 76
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
96-60
96
60
+36
no box
H09/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
58-68
58
68
-10
42avg 76
A14/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A20/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
82-72
82
72
+10
72avg 76
A23/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
28-16
28-16
21-25
24-18
29-13
20-27
16-17
20-19
23-19
23-18
15-18
21-12
20-14
17-19
26-21
18-20
19-17
14-18
22-12
26-20
27-23
22-23
23-21
25-19
36-17
16-17
19-7
18-14
8-26
14-15
18-13
15-14
18-25
21-19
29-19
18-17
21-14
24-13
19-28
157.4Avg total
84.3Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.276.3163.5+11.092%
Season at home (12)89.975.8165.8+14.1100%
Season away (12)84.676.8161.3+7.883%
Last 10 (10)84.373.1157.4+11.290%
Last 5 (5)83.472.8156.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
vs Similar (8)84.183.4167.5+0.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.274.0162.2+14.295%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-61
83
61
+22
80avg 79
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
78avg 79
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 79
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
78avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
92-97
92
97
-5
90avg 79
A27/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
92avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 79
H05/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A15/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 79
H21/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
23-15
22-25
21-6
25-17
21-24
21-27
19-18
20-17
14-21
30-27
16-17
20-21
18-26
14-21
16-12
16-20
26-22
19-26
21-23
19-22
21-24
28-25
24-26
30-24
18-18
21-17
22-17
28-14
24-27
22-19
23-18
19-18
21-22
24-12
26-23
17-17
15-18
23-21
30-16
166.7Avg total
86.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.585.0168.5-1.542%
Season at home (11)84.585.6170.1-1.236%
Season away (13)82.784.4167.1-1.746%
Last 10 (10)86.380.4166.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)91.079.6170.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.587.8163.3-12.310%
vs Similar (9)84.178.8162.9+5.367%
vs Weaker (11)91.589.7181.3+1.845%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
LudwigsburgBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#17
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H30/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A07/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/02
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H09/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A14/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A20/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/03
BBL
80.1Avg total
43.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.581.1+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.837.984.7+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.837.177.9+3.756%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.580.1+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.044.076.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.239.980.1+0.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.135.982.0+10.290%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H05/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A15/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/03
BBL
81.4Avg total
41.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.884.1-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.142.683.7-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)41.443.184.4-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.281.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.883.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.843.482.2-4.630%-
vs Similar (9)41.641.082.6+0.644%-
vs Weaker (11)43.343.887.1-0.545%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.8
52.1%
54.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.7
32.9%
37.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.7
77.8%
78.0%13.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.0
59.3%
54.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.7
41.2%
37.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.414.1
76.6%
78.0%14.1
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WWLWWWWWWW
Bayreuth
WWWWLLLLWW
#2
League position
#10
+14.7
Net rating
+5.4
110.7
Offensive rating
113.8
95.9
Defensive rating
108.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
60.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
41.2%
41.7%
Assist %
56.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 113.8Defence95.9 · 108.4Shooting50.8% · 60.2%3-point %32.9% · 41.2%Ball care14.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds36.9% · 23.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Ludwigsburg wins
1
Bayreuth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21As.Oliver Wurzburg82-72
20/03/21AUlm83-77
14/03/21ACrailsheim Merlins58-68
09/03/21HChemnitz96-60
06/03/21HOldenburg98-87
28/02/21AHamburg73-67
12/02/21AVechta84-66
10/02/21HBasketball Braunschweig81-74
07/02/21AOldenburg89-75
30/01/21HGiessen99-85
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HChemnitz85-72
15/03/21As.Oliver Wurzburg90-75
05/03/21HCrailsheim Merlins97-78
02/03/21ABonn91-76
27/02/21AGiessen92-97
14/02/21HOldenburg82-91
12/02/21AAlba Berlin68-80
10/02/21HGottingen80-82
05/02/21AHamburg95-92 OT
30/01/21AChemnitz83-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game87.289.984.6
Allowed / game76.375.876.8
Point differential+11.0+14.1+7.8
Avg total163.5165.8161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%58%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW42%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayWLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %42%36%46%
Points / game83.584.582.7
Allowed / game85.085.684.4
Point differential-1.5-1.2-1.7
Avg total168.5170.1167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg2422292%87.276.3+11.0
2 Alba Berlin2521484%86.274.8+11.4
3 Bayern2621581%87.978.0+9.9
4 Oldenburg2519676%93.585.0+8.5
5 Crailsheim Merlins2518772%87.282.6+4.6
6 Hamburg2415962%84.878.8+6.0
7 Ulm25141156%86.279.5+6.7
8 Bamberg24131154%83.680.8+2.8
9 Bayreuth24101442%83.585.0-1.5
10 Frankfurt25101540%76.882.1-5.3
11 Bonn2491538%82.584.2-1.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig2491538%84.388.0-3.7
13 Gottingen2491538%83.091.2-8.2
14 Chemnitz2381535%80.689.0-8.4
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg2481633%79.185.4-6.3
16 Syntainics MBC2671927%84.090.6-6.6
17 Vechta2542116%79.088.1-9.0
18 Giessen2542116%83.594.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2920282097
Bayreuth2427202192
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