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BC Roma vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 93-85
Projected total 178.3
Final 103-90
25-29 26-24 27-23 25-14
Position#12
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game97.8
BC Roma 🏆
Italy
Vs
77%
23%
■ ROM 77%■ SKA 23%
Pythia win probability
Scafati
Italy
Position#15
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game90.0
ItalyLega ARound 6· Palazzetto dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
BC Roma host Scafati in the Lega Basket Serie A. Pythia makes BC Roma the favourite at 77% and projects 93-85, about 178 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. BC Roma are 1-4 this season (99.6 scored, 97.8 allowed a game), form WLLLL; Scafati are 1-4 this season (78.4 scored, 90.0 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Roma winWon
77.1%fair 1.30
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
22.9%fair 4.36
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 30 Oct 07:28 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Treviso
#3
L
94-109
94
109
-15
87avg 85
A26/09
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 85
A30/09
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
108-70
108
70
+38
114avg 85
H04/10
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#17
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 85
H07/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
95-96
95
96
-1
86avg 85
A11/10
Lega A
Balkan
#32
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
69avg 85
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 85
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
88-108
88
108
-20
78avg 85
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
95avg 85
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#21
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 85
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
19-28
22-27
27-25
18-23
20-22
18-22
22-24
25-23
31-21
24-15
28-11
22-11
21-27
27-25
22-24
33-25
24-27
13-25
25-19
13-12
16-21
18-12
22-24
29-24
26-22
13-24
30-34
21-32
25-25
24-25
18-26
28-32
17-17
22-17
28-29
21-16
20-27
26-20
13-22
184.5Avg total
91.3Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)99.697.8197.4+1.820%
Season at home (2)103.087.0190.0+16.050%
Season away (3)97.3105.0202.3-7.70%
Last 10 (10)91.393.2184.5-1.930%
Last 5 (5)89.295.8185.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.099.5182.5-16.50%
vs Similar (5)92.897.4190.2-4.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)94.382.0176.3+12.367%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 73
A04/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 73
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
69avg 73
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 73
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 73
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
39avg 73
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
74avg 73
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 73
H24/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
21-19
21-24
13-23
26-11
24-27
20-24
15-15
16-14
26-22
24-24
22-23
24-21
24-14
26-20
19-16
32-16
17-27
17-18
14-15
11-19
17-28
14-23
21-17
17-24
21-16
24-30
15-15
25-24
22-28
25-18
10-19
17-32
19-18
20-23
27-35
22-26
16-19
24-19
25-17
165.2Avg total
81.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.490.0168.4-11.620%
Season at home (3)82.085.0167.0-3.033%
Season away (2)73.097.5170.5-24.50%
Last 10 (10)81.983.3165.2-1.460%
Last 5 (5)78.490.0168.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.490.0168.4-11.620%
vs Similar (8)78.980.4159.2-1.562%
vs Weaker (17)88.474.5162.9+13.894%
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1402%1454%1505%1558%16010%16512%17012%17511%18010%1858%1906%1954%2003%2052%2101%2151%2200%225
0%1352%1455%15510%16512%17510%1856%1953%2051%2150%225
Pythia expects about 178 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%).
Over/Under 167Actual: Over 167
Over 167
75.1%
Under 167
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172Actual: Over 172
Over 172
64.4%
Under 172
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 177Actual: Over 177
Over 177
52.5%
Under 177
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

BC Roma total 84Actual: BC Roma over 84
Over 84
82.5%
Under 84
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Roma total 88Actual: BC Roma over 88
Over 88
70.6%
Under 88
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Roma total 92Actual: BC Roma over 92
Over 92
55.7%
Under 92
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scafati total 80Actual: Scafati over 80
Over 80
68.3%
Under 80
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scafati total 84Actual: Scafati over 84
Over 84
52.7%
Under 84
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scafati total 88Actual: Scafati over 88
Over 88
36.9%
Under 88
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-270%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-96%-67%-35%+09%+310%+610%+99%+128%+157%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+361%+39
0%-241%-183%-126%-65%+010%+69%+127%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from BC Roma's side (positive = BC Roma win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.5; BC Roma win by 1+ in 70% of simulations.
Spread BC Roma -3Actual: BC Roma -3
ROM -3
70.4%
SKA +3
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
ROM
No market prices yet.
SKA
No market prices yet.
Spread BC Roma 0Actual: BC Roma 0
ROM 0
77.1%
SKA 0
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
ROM
No market prices yet.
SKA
No market prices yet.
Spread BC Roma +3Actual: BC Roma +3
ROM +3
83.4%
SKA -3
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
ROM
No market prices yet.
SKA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
BC RomaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/09
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H04/10
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Balkan
#32
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#10
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#21
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/10
Eurocup
91.9Avg total
45.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)45.546.491.9-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.840.885.6+4.060%-
Last 30 away (5)46.252.098.2-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)45.546.491.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.688.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.051.093.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (5)46.247.894.0-1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.741.087.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#9
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/10
Lega A
83.8Avg total
42.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.080.8+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.483.5+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.583.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.884.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.446.884.2-9.40%-
vs Similar (8)41.238.980.1+2.475%-
vs Weaker (17)43.336.880.1+6.582%-
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Roma: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.822.0
59.8%
54.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.1
33.3%
34.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.5
78.9%
74.5%16.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.3
48.3%
54.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.4
39.3%
34.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.214.5
65.3%
74.5%14.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Roma
LLLLWLWWLL
Scafati
WLLLLWWWWW
#12
League position
#15
-2.4
Net rating
-2.6
98.7
Offensive rating
94.8
101.1
Defensive rating
97.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.3%
3-point %
39.3%
58.3%
Assist %
56.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 94.8Defence101.1 · 97.4Shooting55.4% · 52.6%3-point %33.3% · 39.3%Ball care16.7% · 15.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ BC Roma   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Roma wins
0
Scafati wins
No previous meetings.
BC Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HKK Bosna80-85
24/10/26AVarese103-110 OT
20/10/26AManresa88-108
17/10/26HVenezia98-104
13/10/26HBalkan77-72 OT
11/10/26AMaxima Roma95-96
07/10/26HLietkabelis92-87
04/10/26HTortona108-70
30/09/26ABahcesehir Kol.78-91
26/09/26ATreviso94-109
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HTrento87-81
18/10/26AVirtus Bologna83-108
11/10/26HVerona82-89
04/10/26HVarese77-85
27/09/26AUdine63-87
26/04/26ARimini80-76
19/04/26HAvellino Basket93-71
12/04/26ACento88-83
08/04/26HBrindisi85-77
04/04/26ASebastiani Rieti81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Roma
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game99.6103.097.3
Allowed / game97.887.0105.0
Point differential+1.8+16.0-7.7
Avg total197.4190.0202.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Scafati
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game78.482.073.0
Allowed / game90.085.097.5
Point differential-11.6-3.0-24.5
Avg total168.4167.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Roma25262725103
Scafati2924231490
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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