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Sebastiani Rieti vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 76-81
10-26 19-21 24-21 23-13
Position#10
Record20-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Scafati 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record22-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game77.6
ItalySerie A2Round 34· PalaSojourner
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Sebastiani Rieti
5.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.8
81.0▲ 3.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.3
77.6▲ 1.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
58%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.9
17.0▲ 0.1
🔥 Form · Scafati
2.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
🧊 Cold streak
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.3
85.2▲ 2.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.9
76.8▼ 3.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
60%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.0
17.0▲ 3.0
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A01/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H08/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A14/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A21/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H25/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A29/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
14-20
22-24
18-15
8-15
18-15
20-17
4-18
24-22
20-15
14-18
16-19
25-27
23-14
11-21
23-16
19-22
17-14
9-28
20-15
15-19
17-17
34-13
23-35
16-25
19-20
16-14
20-27
25-21
10-26
22-23
24-20
26-16
15-13
21-11
18-13
25-16
24-14
20-27
15-18
154.5Avg total
77.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.176.9155.9+2.261%
Season at home (16)79.872.2152.0+7.575%
Season away (17)78.481.2159.6-2.847%
Last 10 (10)77.077.5154.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)81.077.6158.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.877.2155.0+0.550%
vs Similar (16)74.774.8149.4-0.150%
vs Weaker (10)87.682.5170.1+5.180%
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H25/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A31/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H07/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A11/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A22/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H22/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A25/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
96-72
96
72
+24
H29/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
22-14
19-28
18-15
18-27
20-22
23-15
19-17
27-18
25-24
19-13
26-20
22-15
22-21
13-20
22-20
20-13
23-14
19-29
22-23
15-18
18-13
10-23
18-22
18-24
19-24
28-17
32-17
23-19
22-22
22-18
23-21
15-18
23-13
16-13
28-30
25-18
21-20
28-28
22-6
163.6Avg total
85.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.277.6160.8+5.567%
Season at home (17)87.277.2164.4+9.982%
Season away (16)78.978.1157.0+0.950%
Last 10 (10)85.678.0163.6+7.680%
Last 5 (5)85.276.8162.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.480.1157.5-2.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.175.7162.8+11.384%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
Sebastiani RietiScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A01/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A21/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H25/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A29/03
Serie A2
74.6Avg total
38.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.777.4-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.277.6+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.277.3-1.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.674.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.475.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (16)37.137.874.8-0.744%-
vs Weaker (10)40.039.479.4+0.650%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H25/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A31/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H07/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A11/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A22/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A25/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H29/03
Serie A2
78.5Avg total
41.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.979.0+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.137.681.7+6.587%-
Last 30 away (15)38.238.176.3+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.378.5+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)39.238.878.0+0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.337.379.6+4.974%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.0
49.7%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.815.0
68.8%
74.4%15.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.9
51.8%
50.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.612.4
39.2%
34.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.2
70.3%
74.4%14.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WWLLWLWWLW
Scafati
WWWWLWWWLW
#10
League position
#1
-0.6
Net rating
+9.1
91.8
Offensive rating
103.8
92.4
Defensive rating
94.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
10.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.0%
3-point %
39.2%
61.5%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 103.8Defence92.4 · 94.7Shooting50.2% · 55.3%3-point %34.0% · 39.2%Ball care16.1% · 10.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
26/11/25Scafati v Sebastiani Rieti95-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ARuvo Di Puglia84-75
25/03/26HJuVi Cremona80-53
21/03/26ABrindisi81-90
14/03/26AAvellino Basket71-86
08/03/26HRoseto89-84
22/02/26AFortitudo Bologna65-79
15/02/26HVerona82-78
08/02/26HMestre82-80 OT
01/02/26ABlu Basket Bergamo50-65
25/01/26APistoia86-85 OT
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HForli96-72
25/03/26ABasket Torino82-74
22/03/26HCividale90-80
08/03/26APistoia97-82
22/02/26AVerona61-76
15/02/26HPesaro84-79
11/02/26AJuVi Cremona79-76
07/02/26HRoseto97-75
31/01/26AMestre80-81
25/01/26HFortitudo Bologna90-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %61%75%47%
Points / game79.179.878.4
Allowed / game76.972.281.2
Point differential+2.2+7.5-2.8
Avg total155.9152.0159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Scafati
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game83.287.278.9
Allowed / game77.677.278.1
Point differential+5.5+9.9+0.9
Avg total160.8164.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3425974%82.678.4+4.2
2 Scafati33221167%83.277.6+5.5
3 Brindisi32211166%78.373.4+4.9
4 Fortitudo Bologna34221265%76.373.1+3.1
5 Verona34211362%78.374.1+4.1
6 Cividale34211362%77.675.1+2.5
7 Sebastiani Rieti33201361%79.176.9+2.2
8 Libertas Livorno33191458%78.973.2+5.7
9 Avellino Basket33191458%81.379.1+2.2
10 Rimini32181456%81.478.4+3.0
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona33161748%74.877.2-2.3
13 Basket Torino33151845%72.874.0-1.2
14 Mestre32141844%78.180.5-2.4
15 Urania Milano33141942%79.781.9-2.2
16 Forli32112134%76.681.2-4.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia32102231%77.386.8-9.5
18 Cento33102330%77.881.3-3.4
19 Pistoia3382524%77.282.8-5.6
20 Roseto3262619%78.085.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti1019242376
Scafati2621211381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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