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Scafati vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-85
17-24 21-16 24-30 15-15
Position#15
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game87.0
Scafati
Italy
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game90.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· Pala Mangano
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Scafati v Varese
04 Oct 2026
SKA77
VAR85
16 Nov 2024
SKA94
VAR85
14 Apr 2024
SKA102
VAR90
06 Nov 2022
SKA93
VAR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
98avg 74
A08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
91avg 74
H22/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
73avg 74
A25/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
96-72
96
72
+24
91avg 74
H29/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 74
A04/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 74
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
69avg 74
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 74
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 74
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#9
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 74
A27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-24
28-17
32-17
23-19
22-22
22-18
23-21
15-18
23-13
16-13
28-30
25-18
21-20
28-28
22-6
26-10
21-19
21-24
13-23
26-11
24-27
20-24
15-15
16-14
26-22
24-24
22-23
24-21
24-14
26-20
19-16
32-16
17-27
17-18
14-15
11-19
17-28
14-23
21-17
163.3Avg total
85.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)63.087.0150.0-24.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)63.087.0150.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)85.577.8163.3+7.790%
Last 5 (5)81.878.8160.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)63.087.0150.0-24.00%
vs Similar (9)77.879.3157.1-1.656%
vs Weaker (20)87.375.0162.3+12.390%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 75
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 75
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
57avg 75
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
90avg 75
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
76avg 75
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
78avg 75
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
94avg 75
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 75
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 75
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 75
H27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
18-21
21-15
25-24
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
13-25
6-22
25-26
31-31
21-28
28-21
22-23
26-15
20-25
33-23
18-22
18-20
24-20
27-22
12-25
28-23
19-20
25-26
26-30
26-24
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
177.6Avg total
86.9Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.990.7177.6-3.850%
Last 5 (5)85.091.8176.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.691.4173.9-8.829%
vs Similar (16)85.284.9170.1+0.256%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
ScafatiVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A25/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H29/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#9
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A27/09
Lega A
81.6Avg total
43.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.478.9+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.436.981.3+7.493%-
Last 30 away (16)38.937.976.8+1.056%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.681.6+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)28.047.075.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (9)40.138.278.3+1.967%-
vs Weaker (20)42.736.679.3+6.180%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
88.0Avg total
43.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.984.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.542.783.2-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.345.286.5-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.086.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.446.688.1-5.221%-
vs Similar (16)40.541.682.1-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.9
51.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.9
40.2%
34.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.5%15.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.0
56.7%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.8
34.1%
34.5%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
74.5%12.8
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LWWWWWWWWW
Varese
LLWLWLWLWW
#15
League position
#6
+9.1
Net rating
-4.5
100.8
Offensive rating
95.9
91.7
Defensive rating
100.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.2%
3-point %
34.1%
55.7%
Assist %
59.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 95.9Defence91.7 · 100.4Shooting55.4% · 53.9%3-point %40.2% · 34.1%Ball care13.9% · 13.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Scafati   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Scafati wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
30/03/25Varese v Scafati95-82
16/11/24Scafati v Varese94-85
14/04/24Scafati v Varese102-90
19/11/23Varese v Scafati94-93
30/04/23Varese v Scafati95-81
06/11/22Scafati v Varese93-101
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AUdine63-87
26/04/26ARimini80-76
19/04/26HAvellino Basket93-71
12/04/26ACento88-83
08/04/26HBrindisi85-77
04/04/26ASebastiani Rieti81-76
29/03/26HForli96-72
25/03/26ABasket Torino82-74
22/03/26HCividale90-80
08/03/26APistoia97-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104
26/04/26HCremona84-75
19/04/26ACantu96-100
12/04/26HSassari91-90
04/04/26ATrieste89-90
28/03/26HTortona97-87
22/03/26ABasket Napoli75-104
15/03/26HTreviso91-86
08/03/26AUdine92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game63.0-63.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-24.0--24.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game69.069.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential-21.0-21.0-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine110100%87.063.0+24.0
2 Virtus Bologna110100%90.069.0+21.0
3 Basket Napoli220100%96.584.0+12.5
4 Venezia110100%85.073.0+12.0
5 Treviso220100%101.092.0+9.0
6 Olimpia Milano110100%83.079.0+4.0
7 BC Roma21150%101.089.5+11.5
8 Trento21150%86.585.5+1.0
9 Tortona21150%85.5100.5-15.0
10 Trieste1010%79.083.0-4.0
11 Reggiana2020%85.591.0-5.5
12 Verona1010%93.0101.0-8.0
13 Cantu1010%73.085.0-12.0
14 Maxima Roma1010%75.094.0-19.0
15 Varese1010%69.090.0-21.0
16 Scafati1010%63.087.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati1721241577
Varese2416301585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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