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BC Wolves vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 83-73
23-11 20-20 22-21 18-21
Position#3
Record21-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#9
Record13-18
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game86.4
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Siauliai
17 Mar 2025
WOL100
SIA84
02 Nov 2024
WOL103
SIA93
03 Dec 2023
WOL86
SIA77
04 May 2023
WOL83
SIA73
24 Oct 2022
WOL89
SIA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 80
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 80
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
65avg 80
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 80
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-58
94
58
+36
no box
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
49avg 80
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
106-79
106
79
+27
112avg 80
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
84avg 80
A01/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
22-17
30-15
22-15
22-17
18-22
18-11
27-24
22-18
20-21
14-14
14-12
11-12
19-17
12-13
16-13
17-9
15-25
22-13
12-23
25-21
22-18
24-22
17-20
21-22
27-16
23-14
23-6
20-22
12-20
14-11
19-18
31-17
27-17
22-19
26-26
27-18
28-26
16-29
27-29
154.2Avg total
82.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.979.1165.0+6.968%
Season at home (15)87.774.6162.3+13.180%
Season away (16)84.383.2167.6+1.156%
Last 10 (10)82.471.8154.2+10.670%
Last 5 (5)90.278.2168.4+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.579.5154.0-5.033%
vs Similar (8)83.582.2165.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.074.9161.9+12.181%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
89avg 76
H13/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
69avg 76
H20/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
74avg 76
A27/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
95-89
95
89
+6
90avg 76
H03/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
52avg 76
A10/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
81avg 76
H15/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-109
84
109
-25
72avg 76
A20/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
60-56
60
56
+4
46avg 76
A24/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
80-89
80
89
-9
83avg 76
H27/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
114-87
114
87
+27
122avg 76
H01/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
22-21
28-33
31-24
25-18
7-19
19-29
22-18
19-26
20-18
18-21
23-24
23-27
29-10
25-21
18-31
15-19
19-22
10-23
16-20
19-18
15-28
25-26
28-17
21-23
19-31
20-29
24-26
19-15
9-13
17-20
15-8
21-20
22-21
23-20
14-28
23-18
31-21
35-26
25-22
171.1Avg total
82.8Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.586.4169.9-2.842%
Season at home (16)87.087.9174.9-0.938%
Season away (15)79.984.7164.6-4.947%
Last 10 (10)82.888.3171.1-5.530%
Last 5 (5)85.086.0171.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.491.2172.6-9.817%
vs Similar (12)80.486.9167.3-6.533%
vs Weaker (6)86.378.2164.5+8.283%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
BC WolvesSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A01/05
LKL
79.7Avg total
42.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.378.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.678.2+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.879.3-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.179.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.487.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.841.276.0-6.317%-
vs Similar (8)42.439.882.1+2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.736.578.2+5.281%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H13/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H20/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H03/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H15/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A20/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A24/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H27/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H01/05
LKL
80.9Avg total
39.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.180.6-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.141.982.0-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.179.0-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.780.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.681.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.543.984.4-3.433%-
vs Similar (12)36.040.576.5-4.525%-
vs Weaker (6)44.736.581.2+8.283%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
54.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.5
39.3%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
74.2%12.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.9
55.4%
54.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.911.7
78.5%
74.2%11.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LWLWWLWWWW
Siauliai
WLWLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#9
+15.7
Net rating
-7.0
120.4
Offensive rating
108.8
104.7
Defensive rating
115.9
59.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
60.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.3%
3-point %
35.8%
61.3%
Assist %
68.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 108.8Defence104.7 · 115.9Shooting59.1% · 54.8%3-point %39.3% · 35.8%Ball care16.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Wolves wins
1
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
13/02/23Siauliai v BC Wolves107-102
24/10/22BC Wolves v Siauliai89-78
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/23ARytas98-102
27/04/23HJuventus106-79
22/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas65-71
19/04/23HPrienai94-58
15/04/23ANevezis88-81
12/04/23HOstrow Wielkopolski66-70
11/04/23ASzczecin58-55
08/04/23HLietkabelis70-65
02/04/23AJonava85-74
27/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes94-63
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/23HPrienai114-87
27/04/23HLietkabelis80-89
24/04/23AGargzdai60-56
20/04/23ARytas84-109
15/04/23HNeptunas87-89
10/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas60-84
03/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes95-89
27/03/23AJuventus80-89
20/03/23HJonava73-84
13/03/23HNevezis95-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game85.987.784.3
Allowed / game79.174.683.2
Point differential+6.9+13.1+1.1
Avg total165.0162.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%38%47%
Points / game83.587.079.9
Allowed / game86.487.984.7
Point differential-2.8-0.9-4.9
Avg total169.9174.9164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3026487%87.072.0+15.0
2 Rytas3226681%93.183.3+9.8
3 BC Wolves31211068%85.979.1+6.9
4 Lietkabelis31211068%85.581.1+4.5
5 Juventus32181456%86.986.3+0.6
6 Jonava32181456%80.580.4+0.0
7 Neptunas32161650%80.581.8-1.3
8 Siauliai31131842%83.586.4-2.8
9 Nevezis32131941%86.588.5-1.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3282425%79.489.6-10.2
11 Gargzdai3262619%76.184.2-8.1
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2320221883
Siauliai1120212173
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