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BC Wolves vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-74
27-20 30-18 18-15 14-21
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game75.5
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis
Lithuania
Position#9
Record0-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game92.5
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Nevezis
12 Apr 2025
WOL94
NEV99
05 Jan 2025
WOL103
NEV102
06 Apr 2024
WOL102
NEV83
28 Oct 2023
WOL89
NEV74
29 Jan 2023
WOL94
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 82
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 82
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
104-68
104
68
+36
107avg 82
H23/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 82
H30/09
LKL
Paris
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
72avg 82
A03/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
98-66
98
66
+32
102avg 82
A08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
A14/10
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
98-107 OT
98
107
-9
84avg 82
A18/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
76avg 82
A21/10
LKL
Besiktas
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
80avg 82
H24/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
15-22
14-17
21-20
18-17
15-21
24-12
11-16
20-18
24-14
29-19
31-17
31-15
14-19
20-24
19-16
15-24
25-24
22-26
16-31
26-22
23-11
18-17
31-16
19-14
26-30
22-20
17-20
21-17
25-24
18-24
24-23
19-20
18-19
23-18
23-14
22-18
22-19
23-28
23-23
171.6Avg total
88.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.375.5165.8+14.883%
Season at home (2)94.071.0165.0+23.0100%
Season away (4)88.577.8166.2+10.875%
Last 10 (10)88.383.3171.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)94.888.0182.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.888.2165.0-11.50%
vs Similar (5)82.681.4164.0+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.776.8165.5+11.971%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
80avg 78
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 78
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
84-100
84
100
-16
87avg 78
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
88-98
88
98
-10
89avg 78
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
64-91
64
91
-27
51avg 78
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-107
112
107
+5
109avg 78
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 78
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
89avg 78
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
70avg 78
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
59avg 78
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
23-27
28-23
17-26
25-28
18-23
21-30
15-19
23-25
12-13
24-32
25-30
20-12
25-30
25-33
18-23
17-23
19-20
16-29
12-19
37-23
24-23
29-31
22-30
23-23
25-23
24-23
12-28
25-23
20-29
28-26
25-24
24-31
22-23
11-10
13-12
21-19
15-23
12-13
18-22
177.5Avg total
83.0Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.592.5169.0-16.00%
Season at home (3)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
Season away (3)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)83.094.5177.5-11.510%
Last 5 (5)86.091.8177.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)82.295.0177.2-12.80%
vs Similar (8)93.093.8186.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (6)96.894.3191.2+2.567%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -5.6-5.6
BC WolvesNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/09
LKL
Paris
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A14/10
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A18/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A21/10
LKL
Besiktas
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/10
Eurocup
81.2Avg total
42.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.180.0+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.934.776.6+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)41.940.682.6+1.359%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.981.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.883.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.541.278.8-3.825%-
vs Similar (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.037.380.4+5.776%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H22/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
89.7Avg total
43.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.789.3-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.047.691.6-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)43.244.087.2-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.289.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.095.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.847.287.9-6.46%-
vs Similar (8)45.144.289.4+0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)49.243.592.7+5.767%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.7
52.4%
55.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.4
36.6%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.216.6
68.6%
73.2%16.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.6
57.8%
55.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.4
36.8%
34.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.8
69.8%
73.2%11.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WWLLWLWWWL
Nevezis
LLLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#9
+6.3
Net rating
-14.6
118.6
Offensive rating
108.2
112.3
Defensive rating
122.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
60.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
22.6%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.6%
3-point %
36.8%
58.1%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 108.2Defence112.3 · 122.8Shooting53.4% · 56.9%3-point %36.6% · 36.8%Ball care14.4% · 22.6%Off. rebounds37.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BC Wolves wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Nevezis v BC Wolves81-88
29/01/23BC Wolves v Nevezis94-73
24/09/22Nevezis v BC Wolves76-81
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23HBesiktas90-88
21/10/23AJonava83-71
18/10/23AJoventut Badalona98-107 OT
14/10/23ALietkabelis105-108 OT
08/10/23ANeptunas98-66
03/10/23AParis78-105
30/09/23HMazeikiai84-74
23/09/23HGargzdai104-68
17/09/23ASiauliai68-66
14/05/23AJonava75-80
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-77
22/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-76
19/10/23HSiauliai98-102
16/10/23AGargzdai84-97
12/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-107
09/10/23HJuventus64-91
04/10/23HManisa88-98
03/10/23AFC Porto84-100
30/09/23ALietkabelis79-100
24/09/23HRytas85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game90.394.088.5
Allowed / game75.571.077.8
Point differential+14.8+23.0+10.8
Avg total165.8165.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.573.080.0
Allowed / game92.588.097.0
Point differential-16.0-15.0-17.0
Avg total169.0161.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas660100%96.077.0+19.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas660100%83.266.7+16.5
3 BC Wolves65183%90.375.5+14.8
4 Juventus65183%87.777.0+10.7
5 Lietkabelis64267%90.287.8+2.3
6 Jonava64267%82.383.5-1.2
7 Neptunas62433%89.592.5-3.0
8 Gargzdai62433%77.592.7-15.2
9 Siauliai61517%77.585.2-7.7
10 Mazeikiai61517%72.882.3-9.5
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes6060%84.094.8-10.8
12 Nevezis6060%76.592.5-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2730181489
Nevezis2018152174
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