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Bears Academy vs Vaerlose Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game91.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bears Academy v Vaerlose
12 Dec 2026
BEAR v VAER
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
BEAR75
VAER61
12 Oct 2025
BEAR72
VAER91
12 Mar 2025
BEAR73
VAER72
21 Dec 2024
BEAR70
VAER80
17 Feb 2024
BEAR61
VAER72
05 Mar 2023
BEAR58
VAER69
19 Nov 2022
BEAR74
VAER69
02 Oct 2021
BEAR71
VAER84
13 Dec 2020
BEAR73
VAER74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bears Academy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
W
92-60
92
60
+32
91avg 75
A24/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
84-108
84
108
-24
61avg 75
H27/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
73-117
73
117
-44
61avg 75
A03/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
67-88
67
88
-21
51avg 75
A10/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 75
H17/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
82-97
82
97
-15
68avg 75
A23/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
80-113
80
113
-33
68avg 75
A28/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
84-93
84
93
-9
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
A14/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
22-10
28-13
19-24
16-23
20-24
22-33
26-28
16-21
22-24
15-38
20-34
14-15
21-24
14-21
18-28
13-19
19-15
16-18
18-26
12-16
23-32
22-25
25-24
15-35
20-21
26-25
19-32
21-25
12-22
21-19
30-27
16-35
27-21
16-16
26-18
25-16
27-28
15-16
19-16
171.9Avg total
79.9Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.591.1170.5-11.618%
Season at home (4)77.290.2167.5-13.00%
Season away (7)80.791.6172.3-10.929%
Last 10 (10)79.992.0171.9-12.120%
Last 5 (5)83.493.8177.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.8103.2180.0-26.40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.778.3159.0+2.350%
vs Weaker (15)90.677.9168.5+12.773%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 73
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 73
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 73
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 73
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
82-123
82
123
-41
71avg 73
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 73
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
101avg 73
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
62-95
62
95
-33
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H14/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
23-31
18-25
19-33
22-34
10-11
14-29
19-17
21-11
23-25
25-24
17-17
24-23
22-16
8-21
14-27
18-31
16-26
15-24
17-18
11-18
16-25
28-27
16-15
16-19
169.3Avg total
76.8Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.891.2169.0-13.418%
Season at home (5)73.892.2166.0-18.40%
Season away (6)81.290.3171.5-9.233%
Last 10 (10)76.892.5169.3-15.710%
Last 5 (5)73.686.8160.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.594.8167.4-22.38%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.186.3172.4-0.264%
vs Weaker (3)87.096.0183.0-9.033%
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -3.5-3.5
Bears AcademyVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A24/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H27/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A03/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A23/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A28/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H04/11
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/11
Basketligaen
82.3Avg total
38.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.084.6-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.942.981.8-3.929%-
Last 30 away (16)43.943.187.0+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.982.3-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.650.289.8-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.348.784.0-13.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.240.786.8+5.567%-
vs Weaker (15)43.540.584.0+3.153%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H14/11
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
37.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.646.084.6-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.045.982.9-8.920%-
Last 30 away (15)40.246.186.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.982.8-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.681.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.347.382.6-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.644.184.8-3.543%-
vs Weaker (3)43.349.092.3-5.733%-
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.6
48.7%
55.2%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.811.3
29.9%
31.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.712.8
61.8%
68.0%12.8
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
31.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.7
63.1%
68.0%13.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bears Academy
WLLLLLLLLW
Vaerlose
LLLWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-9.7
Net rating
-9.7
82.3
Offensive rating
86.1
92.0
Defensive rating
95.7
46.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.9%
3-point %
29.6%
68.8%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence82.3 · 86.1Defence92.0 · 95.7Shooting46.7% · 49.9%3-point %29.9% · 29.6%Ball care18.0% · 17.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Bears Academy   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bears Academy wins
6
Vaerlose wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVaerlose86-76
07/11/26AGladsaxe85-90
04/11/26HHorsens84-93
28/10/26ATeam FOG Naestved80-113
23/10/26ASvendborg82-97
17/10/26HCopenhagen66-78
10/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus67-88
03/10/26ARanders73-117
27/09/26HBakken Bears84-108
24/09/26AVejen92-60
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBears Academy76-86
08/11/26ASvendborg59-86
04/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved62-95
30/10/26ABMS Herlev107-99 OT
24/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus64-68
18/10/26HBakken Bears82-123
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW18%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %18%0%29%
Points / game79.577.280.7
Allowed / game91.190.291.6
Point differential-11.6-13.0-10.9
Avg total170.5167.5172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game77.873.881.2
Allowed / game91.292.290.3
Point differential-13.4-18.4-9.2
Avg total169.0166.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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