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Vaerlose vs Bears Academy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-80
22-26 13-26 29-15 21-13
Position#6
Record13-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game90.3
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
vs
Bears Academy
Denmark
Position#8
Record7-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game95.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bears Academy
14 Nov 2026
VAER v BEAR
upcoming
28 Apr 2026
VAER70
BEAR91
21 Mar 2026
VAER85
BEAR80
22 Nov 2025
VAER95
BEAR87
12 Apr 2025
VAER104
BEAR93
24 Sep 2024
VAER91
BEAR82
07 Oct 2023
VAER85
BEAR78
02 Apr 2023
VAER77
BEAR74
07 Feb 2023
VAER84
BEAR81
17 Dec 2021
VAER73
BEAR74
12 Dec 2021
VAER75
BEAR68
14 Mar 2021
VAER105
BEAR87
18 Oct 2020
VAER82
BEAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bears Academy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 73
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 73
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
74avg 73
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
99avg 73
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 73
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 73
A19/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 73
H07/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
87avg 73
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
109-107 OT
109
107
+2
106avg 73
A14/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
16-22
19-20
21-17
20-16
18-31
19-29
19-28
17-15
23-18
22-34
19-25
16-29
27-19
18-21
25-24
30-29
16-28
17-28
19-23
17-21
23-15
18-19
18-26
28-19
20-22
20-25
20-25
19-20
19-27
15-23
22-22
39-16
26-35
15-15
26-21
26-22
179.5Avg total
83.8Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.690.3169.9-10.852%
Season at home (12)79.089.1168.1-10.150%
Season away (13)80.191.5171.5-11.454%
Last 10 (10)83.895.7179.5-11.950%
Last 5 (5)87.893.2181.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.697.8168.4-27.27%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.083.9172.9+5.187%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
100-85
100
85
+15
88avg 70
A03/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 70
H09/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
83-110
83
110
-27
no box
H17/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
109-85
109
85
+24
108avg 70
A28/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
71-119
71
119
-48
56avg 70
H07/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-75
100
75
+25
96avg 70
H14/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
87avg 70
A19/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
75-67
75
67
+8
64avg 70
H08/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
87avg 70
A11/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
80-84
80
84
-4
68avg 70
H14/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-17
26-16
28-26
12-27
17-26
25-17
14-24
25-32
20-26
22-25
16-27
24-24
24-14
24-13
37-34
14-25
21-25
24-33
12-36
20-16
20-24
30-16
30-19
24-29
24-22
24-18
22-30
23-22
11-12
17-18
24-15
27-25
20-20
27-27
17-21
27-20
13-23
24-18
16-23
178.2Avg total
87.1Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.695.2176.8-13.628%
Season at home (13)79.891.6171.4-11.838%
Season away (12)83.699.0182.6-15.417%
Last 10 (10)87.191.1178.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)88.083.6171.6+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.5101.5177.0-25.90%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.894.0174.8-13.20%
vs Weaker (11)88.783.7172.5+5.064%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.9-3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.9-3.9
VaerloseBears Academy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A19/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A14/03
Basketligaen
87.5Avg total
38.6Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.746.485.2-7.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.946.387.1-5.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.646.683.2-10.027%-
Last 10 (10)38.648.987.5-10.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.485.2-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.651.184.8-17.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.142.385.5+0.867%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A03/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H09/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H17/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A28/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H07/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H14/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A19/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A11/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/03
Basketligaen
86.7Avg total
41.2Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.248.688.8-8.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.847.387.1-7.519%-
Last 30 away (14)40.650.190.8-9.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.586.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.652.390.9-13.713%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.250.090.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (11)42.443.185.5-0.745%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
53.0%
54.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.8
37.3%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.117.2
68.5%
70.1%17.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.5
50.5%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.4
33.5%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.0
71.1%
70.1%17.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WWLWLWLLWL
Bears Academy
LLWLWLWLLW
#6
League position
#8
-11.8
Net rating
-1.4
90.2
Offensive rating
92.3
102.0
Defensive rating
93.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
22.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.3%
3-point %
33.5%
58.6%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 92.3Defence102.0 · 93.7Shooting54.1% · 50.4%3-point %37.3% · 33.5%Ball care22.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds21.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Bears Academy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Vaerlose wins
1
Bears Academy wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Vaerlose v Bears Academy95-87
12/10/25Bears Academy v Vaerlose72-91
12/04/25Vaerlose v Bears Academy104-93
12/03/25Bears Academy v Vaerlose73-72
21/12/24Bears Academy v Vaerlose70-80
24/09/24Vaerlose v Bears Academy91-82
17/02/24Bears Academy v Vaerlose61-72
07/10/23Vaerlose v Bears Academy85-78
02/04/23Vaerlose v Bears Academy77-74
05/03/23Bears Academy v Vaerlose58-69
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AAmager109-107 OT
11/03/26AHerlev Wolfpack95-88
07/03/26HVejen79-92
19/02/26AHerlev Wolfpack87-79
14/02/26ASvendborg69-100
04/02/26HAmager100-93
29/01/26ARanders80-106
18/01/26HRanders73-103
09/01/26HCopenhagen76-75
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
Bears Academylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HHolbaek-Stenhus80-84
11/03/26AVejen91-93
08/03/26HAmager75-67
19/02/26AVejen94-99
14/02/26HHolbaek-Stenhus100-75
07/02/26HSvendborg71-119
28/01/26AHolbaek-Stenhus109-85
17/01/26HCopenhagen83-110
09/01/26HRanders68-94
03/01/26AAmager100-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game79.679.080.1
Allowed / game90.389.191.5
Point differential-10.8-10.1-11.4
Avg total169.9168.1171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL28%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLWWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%38%17%
Points / game81.679.883.6
Allowed / game95.291.699.0
Point differential-13.6-11.8-15.4
Avg total176.8171.4182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2623388%102.477.2+25.3
2 Team FOG Naestved2622485%106.088.0+18.0
3 Svendborg2620677%94.876.5+18.3
4 Horsens2517868%87.178.2+9.0
5 Randers2516964%94.187.0+7.1
6 Copenhagen26141254%87.586.0+1.5
7 Vaerlose25131252%79.690.3-10.8
8 Bears Academy2571828%81.695.2-13.6
9 Vejen2671927%77.390.7-13.3
10 BMS Herlev1741324%78.294.1-15.9
11 Herlev Wolfpack92722%79.491.2-11.8
12 Holbaek-Stenhus2652119%80.494.0-13.5
13 Amager2642215%81.895.6-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2213292185
Bears Academy2626151380
← all games of the day
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