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Bears Academy vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-72
20-22 13-21 25-15 15-14
Position#11
Record3-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#10
Record6-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game89.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bears Academy v Vaerlose
12 Dec 2026
BEAR v VAER
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
BEAR75
VAER61
12 Oct 2025
BEAR72
VAER91
12 Mar 2025
BEAR73
VAER72
21 Dec 2024
BEAR70
VAER80
17 Feb 2024
BEAR61
VAER72
05 Mar 2023
BEAR58
VAER69
19 Nov 2022
BEAR74
VAER69
02 Oct 2021
BEAR71
VAER84
13 Dec 2020
BEAR73
VAER74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bears Academy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
78-91
78
91
-13
62avg 66
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
51avg 66
H21/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
49avg 66
A29/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 66
A04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
84avg 66
H11/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-123
79
123
-44
64avg 66
A20/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
70avg 66
H28/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
70-97
70
97
-27
57avg 66
A02/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
56-103
56
103
-47
40avg 66
A13/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
55avg 66
A05/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
20-24
12-13
20-27
11-13
25-27
11-14
23-26
8-13
19-19
7-27
26-25
15-13
18-29
16-22
32-22
17-21
29-15
18-19
29-28
10-21
24-31
27-37
18-34
15-19
15-24
19-21
26-23
26-25
22-26
11-20
11-26
10-26
16-27
20-32
10-18
30-22
17-22
19-23
13-14
165.6Avg total
74.1Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.789.6164.2-14.914%
Season at home (10)75.885.7161.5-9.930%
Season away (11)73.693.1166.7-19.50%
Last 10 (10)74.191.5165.6-17.410%
Last 5 (5)71.898.2170.0-26.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.789.4163.1-15.616%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.285.2165.4-5.020%
vs Weaker (5)84.876.0160.8+8.840%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 69
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 69
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 69
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
93-125
93
125
-32
82avg 69
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 69
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 69
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 69
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
69avg 69
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 69
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 69
H08/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
21-21
22-18
32-17
18-29
17-22
19-20
16-15
19-28
23-24
23-26
8-20
23-35
22-32
25-29
23-29
20-21
24-23
22-14
18-19
19-23
13-23
11-23
18-17
16-23
16-25
19-25
18-16
20-20
26-27
23-27
13-30
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
28-19
20-27
16-22
36-12
173.7Avg total
81.4Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.089.6167.6-11.527%
Season at home (11)78.484.8163.2-6.536%
Season away (11)77.794.4172.1-16.618%
Last 10 (10)81.492.3173.7-10.930%
Last 5 (5)77.891.4169.2-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.492.0167.3-16.619%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.886.2173.0+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
Bears AcademyVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A29/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H28/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A13/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A05/03
Basketligaen
81.7Avg total
37.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.142.579.6-5.517%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.840.675.5-5.88%-
Last 30 away (17)38.844.082.8-5.224%-
Last 10 (10)37.344.481.7-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.048.685.6-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.443.478.8-7.95%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.843.485.2-1.640%-
vs Weaker (5)39.438.077.4+1.440%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
Basketligaen
91.7Avg total
41.8Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.384.4-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.583.6-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.849.991.7-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.088.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.845.182.9-7.319%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.443.287.6+1.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.918.7
45.7%
51.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.7
28.7%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.012.4
65.3%
70.2%12.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.2
49.0%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.2
32.3%
32.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.614.8
65.5%
70.2%14.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bears Academy
LLLLLWLLLL
Vaerlose
WLLLLWLLLW
#11
League position
#10
-21.5
Net rating
-13.0
87.4
Offensive rating
99.8
108.9
Defensive rating
112.8
44.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
23.0%
Turnover %
20.6%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.7%
3-point %
32.3%
52.7%
Assist %
61.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence87.4 · 99.8Defence108.9 · 112.8Shooting44.7% · 48.7%3-point %28.7% · 32.3%Ball care23.0% · 20.6%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Bears Academy   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bears Academy wins
8
Vaerlose wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack79-81
13/02/25ACopenhagen56-103
02/02/25AAmager70-97
28/01/25HHorsens75-87
20/01/25ABakken Bears79-123
11/01/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-83
04/01/25AHolbaek-Stenhus81-86
29/12/24ASvendborg60-84
21/12/24HVaerlose70-80
18/12/24HRanders78-91
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HHerlev Wolfpack100-80
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
13/02/25AHolbaek-Stenhus82-104
08/02/25HHorsens69-89
01/02/25ACopenhagen61-86
30/01/25HAmager84-77
16/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-125
12/01/25HBakken Bears73-98
05/01/25HSvendborg70-86
27/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack105-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%30%0%
Points / game74.775.873.6
Allowed / game89.685.793.1
Point differential-14.9-9.9-19.5
Avg total164.2161.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game78.078.477.7
Allowed / game89.684.894.4
Point differential-11.5-6.5-16.6
Avg total167.6163.2172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2218482%87.575.0+12.6
2 Team FOG Naestved2318578%97.788.3+9.4
3 Horsens2217577%88.079.4+8.6
4 Bakken Bears2216673%94.682.3+12.3
5 Randers2316770%93.082.0+11.0
6 Copenhagen2281436%83.384.8-1.5
7 Amager2281436%86.591.9-5.4
8 Vaerlose2261627%78.089.6-11.5
9 Holbaek-Stenhus2261627%80.592.4-12.0
10 Herlev Wolfpack2361726%79.189.0-9.8
11 Bears Academy2131814%74.789.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bears Academy2013251573
Vaerlose2221151472
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