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BMS Herlev vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-107 (OT)
25-23 24-25 17-17 23-24 10-18
Position#12
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game96.9
vs
Position#8
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game91.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
L
89-110
89
110
-21
77avg 65
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
95avg 65
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
75-61
75
61
+14
66avg 65
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 65
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 65
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 65
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 65
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
33avg 65
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 65
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
67-105
67
105
-38
55avg 65
A24/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
22-21
24-31
26-29
27-23
27-14
21-19
22-18
15-18
24-11
19-23
17-9
26-14
25-24
19-18
12-19
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
26-21
12-16
16-25
23-18
17-27
12-35
11-30
15-25
22-18
14-31
23-19
12-25
20-19
19-34
14-27
14-25
170.1Avg total
77.8Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.996.9170.7-23.014%
Season at home (3)73.3108.3181.7-35.00%
Season away (4)74.288.2162.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)77.892.3170.1-14.530%
Last 5 (5)73.0100.2173.2-27.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.196.6171.7-21.413%
vs Similar (6)84.080.7164.7+3.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 72
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
87avg 72
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 72
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
78avg 72
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 72
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 72
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 72
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 72
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
82-123
82
123
-41
71avg 72
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 72
H24/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
14-27
19-21
18-22
24-12
23-23
19-26
23-22
15-22
17-28
25-15
13-26
24-23
18-11
17-28
29-16
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
23-31
18-25
19-33
22-34
10-11
14-29
19-17
21-11
169.3Avg total
78.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.991.0169.9-12.114%
Season at home (3)77.093.3170.3-16.30%
Season away (4)80.289.2169.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)78.590.8169.3-12.320%
Last 5 (5)78.094.2172.2-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.897.8172.7-23.08%
vs Similar (16)86.284.8171.0+1.469%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)77.094.5171.5-17.50%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
BMS HerlevVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A24/10
Basketligaen
87.6Avg total
40.0Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.147.387.4-7.331%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.747.887.5-8.133%-
Last 30 away (14)40.446.987.3-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.047.687.6-7.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.053.690.6-16.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.949.788.6-10.817%-
vs Similar (6)44.738.383.0+6.383%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H24/10
Basketligaen
81.8Avg total
38.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.945.684.5-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.645.983.5-8.327%-
Last 30 away (15)40.245.485.6-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.481.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.481.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.949.085.9-12.10%-
vs Similar (16)40.142.782.8-2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.049.090.0-8.050%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.2
47.1%
55.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.6
30.3%
31.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.013.4
63.8%
67.7%13.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.1
54.0%
55.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.4
26.4%
31.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.614.1
65.3%
67.7%14.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev
LLLLLLWWWL
Vaerlose
LLLLLLWLWL
#12
League position
#8
-14.5
Net rating
-13.1
81.2
Offensive rating
83.8
95.8
Defensive rating
96.9
46.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.3%
3-point %
26.4%
59.0%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence81.2 · 83.8Defence95.8 · 96.9Shooting46.4% · 48.0%3-point %30.3% · 26.4%Ball care17.5% · 17.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ BMS Herlev   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BMS Herlev wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Vaerlose v BMS Herlev74-97
06/11/25Vaerlose v BMS Herlev93-76
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ABakken Bears67-105
18/10/26ARanders71-93
10/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved55-117
01/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus77-80
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102
20/09/26ABears Academy82-75
23/04/26HAmager75-61
19/04/26AVaerlose97-74
11/04/26HVejen89-110
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus64-68
18/10/26HBakken Bears82-123
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88
19/09/26AGladsaxe88-78
28/04/26HBears Academy70-91
23/04/26AHolbaek-Stenhus89-83
19/04/26HBMS Herlev74-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game73.973.374.2
Allowed / game96.9108.388.2
Point differential-23.0-35.0-14.0
Avg total170.7181.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game78.977.080.2
Allowed / game91.093.389.2
Point differential-12.1-16.3-9.0
Avg total169.9170.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved880100%103.870.2+33.5
2 Bakken Bears660100%105.776.3+29.3
3 Horsens86275%87.679.4+8.2
4 Svendborg75271%89.480.3+9.1
5 Copenhagen64267%79.278.0+1.2
6 Randers85362%95.285.8+9.5
7 Holbaek-Stenhus73443%76.386.9-10.6
8 Gladsaxe82625%77.990.0-12.1
9 Vejen82625%81.095.5-14.5
10 Vaerlose71614%78.991.0-12.1
11 BMS Herlev71614%73.996.9-23.0
12 Bears Academy81712%77.492.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
BMS Herlev252417231099
Vaerlose2325172418107
← all games of the day
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