PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Guangdong vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 119-94
33-29 32-22 29-27 25-16
Position#4
Record28-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game105.6
Guangdong 🏆
China
vs
Liaoning
China
Position#1
Record35-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game93.6
ChinaCBARound 43· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangdong v Liaoning
31 Dec 2026
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
GUAN73
LIAO89
05 Mar 2025
GUAN127
LIAO83
08 May 2024
GUAN90
LIAO107
06 May 2024
GUAN98
LIAO82
15 Mar 2024
GUAN119
LIAO94
21 Jan 2024
GUAN97
LIAO104
18 Jan 2023
GUAN108
LIAO99
16 Apr 2022
GUAN116
LIAO117
01 Jan 2022
GUAN95
LIAO115
01 May 2021
GUAN110
LIAO103
27 Apr 2021
GUAN88
LIAO83
03 Feb 2021
GUAN118
LIAO115
15 Aug 2020
GUAN123
LIAO115
11 Aug 2020
GUAN110
LIAO88
01 Nov 2019
GUAN107
LIAO98
10 Mar 2019
GUAN107
LIAO94
07 Apr 2018
GUAN97
LIAO111
05 Apr 2018
GUAN110
LIAO102
03 Apr 2018
GUAN84
LIAO96
11 Feb 2018
GUAN85
LIAO112
06 Nov 2016
GUAN124
LIAO115
04 Mar 2016
GUAN96
LIAO105
26 Feb 2016
GUAN114
LIAO116
25 Dec 2015
GUAN86
LIAO103
26 Nov 2014
GUAN112
LIAO116
30 Dec 2013
GUAN101
LIAO84
01 Feb 2013
GUAN112
LIAO90
01 Feb 2012
GUAN122
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
87avg 101
H21/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
116-111
116
111
+5
118avg 101
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
91-105
91
105
-14
82avg 101
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
138-112
138
112
+26
134avg 101
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
117-133
117
133
-16
110avg 101
H30/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
90-97
90
97
-7
77avg 101
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
122-126
122
126
-4
118avg 101
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
no box
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
121-113
121
113
+8
112avg 101
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
120-116
120
116
+4
119avg 101
A13/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
26-28
25-22
18-26
31-36
26-22
32-29
27-24
29-33
20-24
24-28
18-20
32-28
34-34
34-22
38-28
28-28
34-31
22-34
33-40
25-23
22-24
18-26
25-24
33-37
36-21
25-34
28-34
31-38
37-27
24-26
28-29
32-30
38-32
28-18
23-33
36-42
28-32
28-23
28-19
229.4Avg total
114.6Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)109.5105.6215.1+4.067%
Season at home (21)114.1105.5219.7+8.671%
Season away (21)105.0105.6210.6-0.762%
Last 10 (10)114.6114.8229.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)117.4116.6234.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)101.2106.7207.9-5.422%
vs Weaker (21)114.0106.6220.7+7.481%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
123-119 OT
123
119
+4
no box
A24/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
108-89
108
89
+19
110avg 99
H27/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
no box
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
103-86
103
86
+17
100avg 99
H31/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 99
A02/02
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
113-85
113
85
+28
111avg 99
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
106-85
106
85
+21
103avg 99
A07/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
119-97
119
97
+22
127avg 99
H06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
109-103
109
103
+6
108avg 99
H09/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-98
109
98
+11
102avg 99
H12/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-36
22-22
29-30
23-24
25-17
30-25
23-25
30-22
25-30
25-23
26-22
23-24
25-27
32-18
22-24
24-17
27-23
30-31
23-26
26-34
33-21
28-32
30-20
22-12
26-22
31-27
30-10
19-26
42-19
33-22
24-26
20-30
29-34
27-29
32-23
21-17
26-23
32-31
25-23
26-21
208.4Avg total
110.1Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)104.193.6197.8+10.583%
Season at home (22)104.090.0194.0+13.986%
Season away (20)104.397.6201.9+6.880%
Last 10 (10)110.198.3208.4+11.880%
Last 5 (5)111.293.6204.8+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)99.797.7197.3+2.067%
vs Weaker (27)103.893.5197.3+10.381%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
GuangdongLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H21/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H30/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A13/03
CBA
120.4Avg total
60.6Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.254.2110.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.954.5113.4+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)53.153.8106.9-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)60.659.8120.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)63.661.2124.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)50.056.8106.8-6.822%-
vs Weaker (21)58.953.0111.9+5.871%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A24/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H27/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H31/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A02/02
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A07/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H09/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H12/03
CBA
109.8Avg total
58.6Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.949.3103.2+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.648.5103.1+6.162%-
Last 30 away (14)53.150.1103.2+2.979%-
Last 10 (10)58.651.2109.8+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)61.452.0113.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)51.051.7102.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker (27)54.249.0103.2+5.274%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.928.9
60.3%
52.7%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.4
38.4%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
76.0%16.3
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.2
57.3%
52.7%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.0
34.5%
34.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws26.019.6
75.4%
76.0%19.6
They take 78.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WWWLLLWLWL
Liaoning
WWWWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+4.1
Net rating
+16.0
121.2
Offensive rating
116.7
117.1
Defensive rating
100.7
59.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.3%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.4%
3-point %
34.5%
57.0%
Assist %
70.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 116.7Defence117.1 · 100.7Shooting59.3% · 54.8%3-point %38.4% · 34.5%Ball care13.5% · 13.3%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Guangdong   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guangdong wins
8
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Guangdong v Liaoning97-104
01/01/24Liaoning v Guangdong104-93
29/10/23Liaoning v Guangdong106-97
18/01/23Guangdong v Liaoning108-99
14/12/22Liaoning v Guangdong85-99
16/04/22Guangdong v Liaoning116-117 OT
14/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong96-83
12/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong92-79
13/01/22Liaoning v Guangdong102-90
01/01/22Guangdong v Liaoning95-115
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AFujian120-116
09/03/24HJilin121-113
07/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters134-131 OT
05/02/24HZhejiang Chouzhou122-126
03/02/24AShenzhen90-97
30/01/24HTianjin117-133
28/01/24HNanjing Tongxi138-112
26/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha91-105
23/01/24AJilin116-111
21/01/24HLiaoning97-104
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24HShenzhen109-98
09/03/24HGuangzhou109-103
06/03/24HJilin119-97
07/02/24AJiangsu Dragons106-85
05/02/24HBeijing113-85
02/02/24ABeijing Royal Fighters106-114
31/01/24HShandong103-86
29/01/24HShanghai105-107 OT
27/01/24HJiangsu Dragons108-89
24/01/24AShenzhen123-119 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game109.5114.1105.0
Allowed / game105.6105.5105.6
Point differential+4.0+8.6-0.7
Avg total215.1219.7210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%48%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)50% (4)100% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %83%86%80%
Points / game104.1104.0104.3
Allowed / game93.690.097.6
Point differential+10.5+13.9+6.8
Avg total197.8194.0201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%73%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4235783%104.193.6+10.5
2 Xinjiang4335881%106.296.5+9.7
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou43321174%109.0100.3+8.8
4 Zhejiang Guangsha42281467%104.096.4+7.6
5 Guangdong42281467%109.5105.6+4.0
6 Shanghai43271663%106.0102.7+3.2
7 Qingdao43261760%102.699.5+3.1
8 Shenzhen43261760%105.8102.8+3.0
9 Beijing Royal Fighters42241857%106.3103.5+2.8
10 Beijing42212150%100.6100.5+0.1
11 Guangzhou43212249%101.999.4+2.5
12 Shanxi Zhongyu43212249%109.8112.2-2.3
13 Nanjing Tongxi43202347%103.6105.4-1.8
14 Tianjin42192345%106.6108.6-2.1
15 Shandong42162638%102.7104.9-2.2
16 Fujian42162638%103.8106.5-2.7
17 Jilin43152835%103.6107.9-4.2
18 Ningbo Rockets4263614%93.6107.3-13.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons4353812%92.4104.0-11.6
20 Sichuan4243810%97.5112.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong33322925119
Liaoning2922271694
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.