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Shenzhen vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-90
23-25 24-22 26-18 24-25
Position#8
Record24-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game102.7
vs
Position#4
Record25-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game104.1
ChinaCBARound 38· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangdong
28 Mar 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN101
06 Jan 2025
SHEN84
GUAN91
03 Feb 2024
SHEN97
GUAN90
31 Mar 2023
SHEN98
GUAN95
28 Oct 2021
SHEN90
GUAN106
17 Mar 2021
SHEN98
GUAN109
20 Oct 2020
SHEN126
GUAN134
22 Jun 2020
SHEN104
GUAN139
15 Apr 2019
SHEN117
GUAN135
13 Apr 2019
SHEN106
GUAN111
13 Mar 2019
SHEN114
GUAN128
24 Dec 2017
SHEN111
GUAN126
19 Mar 2017
SHEN90
GUAN103
17 Mar 2017
SHEN81
GUAN90
15 Mar 2017
SHEN109
GUAN90
02 Nov 2016
SHEN89
GUAN88
15 Nov 2015
SHEN92
GUAN88
12 Feb 2015
SHEN89
GUAN102
06 Feb 2015
SHEN117
GUAN116
23 Jan 2015
SHEN114
GUAN128
16 Feb 2014
SHEN112
GUAN110
07 Dec 2012
SHEN93
GUAN107
05 Feb 2012
SHEN97
GUAN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 100
H11/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
113-103
113
103
+10
110avg 100
H13/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
111-91
111
91
+20
112avg 100
A15/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
101-98
101
98
+3
96avg 100
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
118-106
118
106
+12
115avg 100
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
95-109
95
109
-14
88avg 100
H21/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
119-123 OT
119
123
-4
no box
H24/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
118-116
118
116
+2
112avg 100
A26/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
121avg 100
H29/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
H31/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
26-21
27-34
27-17
34-26
26-28
23-23
30-26
33-10
32-20
31-32
15-29
21-32
27-19
31-25
22-22
25-29
31-28
29-27
33-22
16-34
33-22
23-27
23-26
36-38
22-22
30-29
24-23
23-32
32-22
37-26
26-36
30-27
27-23
33-29
32-39
30-16
24-27
30-24
25-30
217.6Avg total
111.5Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)106.6102.7209.4+3.965%
Season at home (19)110.1102.8212.9+7.374%
Season away (18)103.0102.7205.7+0.356%
Last 10 (10)111.5106.1217.6+5.480%
Last 5 (5)112.6112.6225.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)103.9107.6211.4-3.743%
vs Similar (14)106.3103.1209.4+3.257%
vs Weaker (9)115.8104.9220.7+10.9100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
115-110
115
110
+5
113avg 101
H10/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 101
A12/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
112-99
112
99
+13
104avg 101
H14/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
99-109
99
109
-10
79avg 101
H16/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 101
H19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
87avg 101
H21/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
116-111
116
111
+5
118avg 101
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
91-105
91
105
-14
82avg 101
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
138-112
138
112
+26
134avg 101
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
117-133
117
133
-16
110avg 101
H30/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
26-29
28-26
30-28
28-26
23-15
17-19
20-16
28-30
25-15
26-27
33-27
20-17
21-34
22-23
36-35
26-12
24-26
22-25
32-24
28-28
26-28
25-22
18-26
31-36
26-22
32-29
27-24
29-33
20-24
24-28
18-20
32-28
34-34
34-22
38-28
28-28
34-31
22-34
33-40
212.3Avg total
107.7Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)108.5104.1212.6+4.468%
Season at home (18)112.2102.6214.8+9.772%
Season away (19)104.9105.5210.5-0.663%
Last 10 (10)107.7104.6212.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)111.8113.0224.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)98.6104.2202.9-5.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)113.4103.6217.0+9.886%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
ShenzhenGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H11/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H13/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
65-30
65
30
+35
A15/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H21/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H24/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A26/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H29/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H31/01
CBA
106.1Avg total
55.7Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.752.1105.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.350.5107.9+6.880%-
Last 30 away (15)50.153.7103.8-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)55.750.4106.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)54.652.6107.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)50.654.9105.4-4.314%-
vs Similar (14)52.250.4102.6+1.943%-
vs Weaker (9)58.452.8111.2+5.7100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H10/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A12/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H14/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H21/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H30/01
CBA
106.3Avg total
54.0Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.652.2107.8+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.851.9109.7+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)53.152.5105.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)54.052.3106.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.658.4116.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)47.656.6104.2-9.012%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)58.550.5109.0+8.082%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.630.9
58.7%
52.7%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.2
37.2%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.316.5
70.8%
76.0%16.5
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.128.4
57.8%
52.7%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.9
37.1%
34.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
76.0%14.6
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
WWWLLWWWWW
Guangdong
LWLWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#4
+5.3
Net rating
+3.0
113.6
Offensive rating
113.0
108.3
Defensive rating
110.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
57.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.2%
3-point %
37.1%
65.7%
Assist %
54.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 113.0Defence108.3 · 110.1Shooting57.8% · 57.0%3-point %37.2% · 37.1%Ball care15.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds25.6% · 26.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shenzhen wins
8
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
25/12/23Guangdong v Shenzhen120-93
31/03/23Shenzhen v Guangdong98-95
15/10/22Guangdong v Shenzhen90-91
28/10/21Shenzhen v Guangdong90-106
16/10/21Guangdong v Shenzhen106-83
03/04/21Guangdong v Shenzhen114-95
17/03/21Shenzhen v Guangdong98-109
10/12/20Guangdong v Shenzhen132-104
20/10/20Shenzhen v Guangdong126-134
22/06/20Shenzhen v Guangdong104-139
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu109-97
29/01/24HFujian122-118
26/01/24AJilin118-116
24/01/24HLiaoning119-123 OT
21/01/24HZhejiang Guangsha95-109
19/01/24AShandong118-106
17/01/24AXinjiang101-98
15/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters111-91
13/01/24HJiangsu Dragons113-103
11/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou109-100
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HTianjin117-133
28/01/24HNanjing Tongxi138-112
26/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha91-105
23/01/24AJilin116-111
21/01/24HLiaoning97-104
19/01/24HBeijing104-87
16/01/24HQingdao99-109
14/01/24HShanghai112-99
12/01/24ANingbo Rockets88-76
10/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu115-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWLLWW74%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %65%74%56%
Points / game106.6110.1103.0
Allowed / game102.7102.8102.7
Point differential+3.9+7.3+0.3
Avg total209.4212.9205.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%53%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)40% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %8%5%11%
Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeLWLWL72%
AwayWLWWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %68%72%63%
Points / game108.5112.2104.9
Allowed / game104.1102.6105.5
Point differential+4.4+9.7-0.6
Avg total212.6214.8210.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)50% (2)100% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang3831782%106.195.5+10.6
2 Liaoning3730781%103.293.6+9.5
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou37271073%107.598.9+8.6
4 Guangdong37251268%108.5104.1+4.4
5 Zhejiang Guangsha38251366%104.096.9+7.1
6 Shenzhen37241365%106.6102.7+3.9
7 Qingdao37231462%101.999.5+2.4
8 Beijing Royal Fighters38231561%105.9102.7+3.2
9 Shanghai37221559%106.2103.6+2.6
10 Guangzhou37181949%100.999.1+1.8
11 Shanxi Zhongyu37181949%109.7111.9-2.2
12 Beijing37172046%100.5101.8-1.2
13 Tianjin38172145%106.9109.2-2.3
14 Nanjing Tongxi38162242%101.5104.4-2.9
15 Shandong37152241%101.1102.9-1.8
16 Fujian38142437%102.7106.6-3.9
17 Jilin37132435%103.8107.7-3.9
18 Ningbo Rockets3763116%92.1105.2-13.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons3543111%93.7103.6-9.9
20 Sichuan3743311%98.9112.6-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shenzhen2324262497
Guangdong2522182590
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