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Bellarmine vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 69-58
32-25 37-33
Position#240
Record4-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Position#182
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bellarmine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A13/11
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H14/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A19/11
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A25/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A28/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A30/11
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#585
W
110-38
110
38
+72
H04/12
NCAA
Wabash
#566
W
86-45
86
45
+41
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
26-36
16-28
39-34
48-23
38-23
28-33
38-43
33-41
24-33
34-37
25-43
27-43
33-38
21-21
20-39
53-19
57-19
49-23
37-22
131.5Avg total
68.7Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.762.8131.5+5.940%
Season at home (3)94.043.0137.0+51.0100%
Season away (7)57.971.3129.1-13.414%
Last 10 (10)68.762.8131.5+5.940%
Last 5 (5)71.260.8132.0+10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.670.5131.1-9.925%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.669.4138.0-0.755%
vs Weaker (10)78.261.4139.6+16.890%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#61
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
37-36
27-32
33-38
29-44
39-47
46-27
44-26
35-28
53-51
36-33
33-38
41-28
36-32
34-30
32-39
35-27
27-35
29-30
33-32
147.4Avg total
75.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.670.0145.6+5.662%
Season at home (3)76.363.7140.0+12.767%
Season away (5)75.273.8149.0+1.460%
Last 10 (10)75.771.7147.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)71.867.4139.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.079.7153.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.069.3141.3+2.767%
vs Weaker (24)77.261.5138.7+15.796%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -0.7-0.7
BellarmineMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H14/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A19/11
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A28/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#585
W
53-19
53
19
+34
H04/12
NCAA
Wabash
#566
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H06/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
35.0Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.930.564.5+3.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.529.266.7+8.364%-
Last 30 away (16)30.831.762.5-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.029.864.8+5.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.828.665.4+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.031.058.0-4.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.534.066.5-1.536%-
vs Weaker (10)39.627.166.7+12.580%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#61
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.029.766.7+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.927.867.7+12.281%-
Last 30 away (14)33.731.965.6+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.666.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.029.664.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.734.066.7-1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.330.063.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker (24)38.029.167.2+8.967%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bellarmine wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
14/11/21Murray State v Bellarmine78-59
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22HWabash86-45
04/12/22HAlice Loyd110-38
30/11/22AKentucky41-60
28/11/22AUCLA60-81
25/11/22ALoyola Marymount59-80
22/11/22ADuke57-74
19/11/22AClemson66-76
14/11/22HCampbellsville-Harrodsburg86-46
13/11/22AMorehead State55-62
10/11/22ALouisville67-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22AValparaiso77-70 OT
02/12/22HIllinois State70-67 OT
27/11/22AChattanooga Mocs66-69
20/11/22ATulsa77-60
18/11/22HUMass69-71
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
13/11/22HWilson College90-53
08/11/22ASt. Louis Billikens68-91
20/03/22HSt. Peters60-70
18/03/22HSan Francisco92-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bellarmine
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %40%100%14%
Points / game68.794.057.9
Allowed / game62.843.071.3
Point differential+5.9+51.0-13.4
Avg total131.5137.0129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game75.676.375.2
Allowed / game70.063.773.8
Point differential+5.6+12.7+1.4
Avg total145.6140.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens Royals108280%81.769.7+12.0
2 Jacksonville75271%70.355.7+14.6
3 Florida Gulf Coast107370%72.166.4+5.7
4 Lipscomb96367%79.166.2+12.9
5 Stetson85362%79.470.1+9.2
6 North Alabama106460%78.773.1+5.6
7 Central Arkansas95456%76.374.1+2.2
8 Austin Peay105550%70.168.3+1.8
9 Eastern Kentucky94544%79.775.7+4.0
10 Bellarmine104640%68.762.8+5.9
11 North Florida93633%72.076.7-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State109190%83.169.1+14.0
2 Drake108280%72.866.2+6.6
3 Bradley107370%69.059.2+9.8
4 Murray State85362%75.670.0+5.6
5 Illinois (Chi.)106460%69.865.7+4.1
6 Belmont106460%76.672.9+3.7
7 Southern Illinois95456%66.863.0+3.8
8 Illinois State104640%67.069.7-2.7
9 Valparaiso114736%69.575.5-6.1
10 Northern Iowa93633%69.866.1+3.7
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bellarmine323769
Murray State253358
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