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Illinois State vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 67-73
35-33 32-40
Position#141
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#154
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois State v Illinois (Chi.)
10 Jan 2026
ILLI59
ILLI63
29 Dec 2024
ILLI67
ILLI73
07 Feb 2024
ILLI56
ILLI61
01 Feb 2023
ILLI68
ILLI62
18 Dec 2019
ILLI67
ILLI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
107-52
107
52
+55
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A25/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
45-38
44-23
63-29
36-43
32-33
39-43
45-40
29-27
35-45
45-54
43-34
33-29
39-32
43-31
38-46
36-28
45-32
43-45
37-32
155.1Avg total
81.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.172.2152.3+7.867%
Season at home (7)82.167.9150.0+14.386%
Season away (5)77.278.4155.6-1.240%
Last 10 (10)81.973.2155.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)82.274.8157.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.768.7131.4-6.014%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.570.8143.3+1.761%
vs Weaker (5)76.461.4137.8+15.060%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A13/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#663
W
117-59
117
59
+58
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H05/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
69-68 OT
69
68
+1
H08/12
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
77-69 OT
77
69
+8
A15/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
45-52
58-30
59-29
41-45
40-54
48-39
48-44
27-30
28-42
43-38
48-38
32-46
24-37
36-39
30-27
30-32
34-32
34-32
45-36
155.5Avg total
79.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.473.5154.9+7.967%
Season at home (7)85.172.4157.6+12.771%
Season away (5)76.275.0151.2+1.260%
Last 10 (10)79.576.0155.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)74.472.8147.2+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.283.9160.1-7.722%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.073.6140.6-6.638%
vs Weaker (3)88.070.0158.0+18.067%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
Illinois StateIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
NCAA
74.8Avg total
38.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.766.8-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.332.665.9+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)32.935.168.0-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.074.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.635.463.0-7.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.433.969.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker (5)32.830.463.2+2.460%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A13/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#663
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H05/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/12
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A15/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/12
NCAA
74.0Avg total
37.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.170.4+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.175.7+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)32.133.065.1-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.274.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.436.670.0-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.435.067.4-2.625%-
vs Weaker (3)46.031.777.7+14.3100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois State wins
2
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ACornell80-77
19/12/24HNorthern Illinois81-60
15/12/24HSt. Louis Billikens81-77
08/12/24HPacific72-61
05/12/24ABelmont97-99 OT
25/11/24AGeorge Washington64-72
23/11/24HUAB84-83
22/11/24AMcNeese State68-76
17/11/24HTrinity (IL)107-52
13/11/24HOhio85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ASeattle79-68
15/12/24AUALR77-69 OT
08/12/24HDartmouth69-68 OT
05/12/24HNorthern Iowa56-83
30/11/24HAurora91-76
23/11/24AEast Carolina55-72
22/11/24ALa Salle96-83
21/11/24HJames Madison81-99
16/11/24HSt. Mary's (TX)117-59
13/11/24ANorthwestern74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game80.182.177.2
Allowed / game72.267.978.4
Point differential+7.8+14.3-1.2
Avg total152.3150.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game81.485.176.2
Allowed / game73.572.475.0
Point differential+7.9+12.7+1.2
Avg total154.9157.6151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake12120100%73.856.2+17.5
2 Bradley1311285%81.967.5+14.5
3 Belmont139469%81.277.8+3.3
4 Illinois (Chi.)128467%81.473.5+7.9
5 Illinois State128467%80.172.2+7.8
6 Northern Iowa138562%78.066.4+11.6
7 Indiana State138562%84.376.8+7.5
8 Murray State137654%76.869.1+7.7
9 Valparaiso137654%80.072.4+7.6
10 Southern Illinois135838%73.875.2-1.4
11 Evansville134931%64.971.7-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State353267
Illinois (Chi.)334073
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