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Belmont vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 99-97 (OT)
54-45 34-43 11-9
Position#79
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game74.1
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#141
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Belmont v Illinois State
08 Jan 2027
BELM v ILLI
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BELM80
ILLI69
07 Mar 2025
BELM76
ILLI63
04 Dec 2024
BELM99
ILLI97
10 Jan 2024
BELM67
ILLI60
04 Feb 2023
BELM90
ILLI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Maryville
#420
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H09/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A13/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A16/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H27/11
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H27/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-22
38-39
32-37
30-30
40-43
53-27
34-42
40-34
33-32
47-47
37-32
42-39
31-45
59-35
25-36
38-41
45-35
44-31
37-44
46-30
152.0Avg total
79.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.474.1155.5+7.275%
Season at home (6)82.073.8155.8+8.267%
Season away (2)79.575.0154.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.972.1152.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)80.873.6154.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.483.8160.1-7.425%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.270.4144.6+3.860%
vs Weaker (6)86.271.7157.8+14.5100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H29/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/03
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H05/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
107-52
107
52
+55
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
42-38
31-44
41-31
21-25
32-34
31-29
34-38
42-31
35-37
40-37
45-38
44-23
63-29
36-43
32-33
39-43
45-40
29-27
35-45
145.1Avg total
75.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.670.4149.0+8.157%
Season at home (4)85.269.2154.5+16.075%
Season away (3)69.772.0141.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)75.070.1145.1+4.950%
Last 5 (5)81.671.6153.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.872.9136.7-9.110%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.167.9138.1+2.262%
vs Weaker (4)78.562.5141.0+16.050%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
BelmontIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Maryville
#420
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H05/11
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A16/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H27/11
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H29/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.273.2+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.435.472.8+2.053%-
Last 30 away (13)36.637.273.8-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.873.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.540.276.8-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.734.970.6+0.753%-
vs Weaker (6)40.832.773.5+8.267%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H05/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H23/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A25/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.565.0-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.132.864.9-0.641%-
Last 30 away (13)30.634.565.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.868.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.672.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.336.764.0-9.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.432.265.6+1.150%-
vs Weaker (4)34.230.865.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Belmont wins
2
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Illinois State v Belmont77-67
11/01/24Belmont v Illinois State67-60
04/02/23Belmont v Illinois State90-75
04/12/22Illinois State v Belmont87-77
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HGardner Webb83-74
27/11/24HTulane89-66
27/11/24HLoyola Marymount63-77
20/11/24HOral Roberts90-80
16/11/24AAir Force79-71
13/11/24ALipscomb80-79
09/11/24HFurman74-76
05/11/24HMaryville93-70
08/03/24ANorthern Iowa62-67
07/03/24HValparaiso86-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24AGeorge Washington64-72
23/11/24HUAB84-83
22/11/24AMcNeese State68-76
17/11/24HTrinity (IL)107-52
13/11/24HOhio85-75
08/11/24ANorth Dakota St77-68
05/11/24HUT Martin65-67
08/03/24HEvansville53-59
03/03/24AValparaiso72-75
29/02/24HMissouri State75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game81.482.079.5
Allowed / game74.173.875.0
Point differential+7.2+8.2+4.5
Avg total155.5155.8154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game78.685.269.7
Allowed / game70.469.272.0
Point differential+8.1+16.0-2.3
Avg total149.0154.5141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake770100%74.157.4+16.7
2 Bradley98189%83.666.1+17.4
3 Belmont86275%81.474.1+7.2
4 Murray State75271%80.764.6+16.1
5 Illinois (Chi.)85362%87.074.2+12.8
6 Valparaiso74357%79.470.3+9.1
7 Illinois State74357%78.670.4+8.1
8 Indiana State95456%83.176.8+6.3
9 Northern Iowa73443%71.767.6+4.1
10 Evansville83538%69.872.2-2.5
11 Southern Illinois93633%74.875.0-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Belmont54341199
Illinois State4543997
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