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Tennessee State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-79
32-34 34-45
Position#342
Record3-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#33
Record15-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game62.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Tennessee State v Morehead State
16 Jan 2027
TENN v MORE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TENN93
MORE67
15 Jan 2026
TENN105
MORE100
27 Feb 2025
TENN64
MORE55
01 Feb 2024
TENN49
MORE68
29 Dec 2022
TENN75
MORE83
15 Jan 2022
TENN64
MORE71
11 Feb 2021
TENN66
MORE79
04 Mar 2020
TENN74
MORE67
16 Jan 2020
TENN64
MORE48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#291
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H20/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H23/01
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
41-32
30-27
34-38
27-34
44-40
30-35
29-28
27-25
38-42
30-24
35-30
22-31
31-42
16-42
40-29
28-36
32-32
26-48
46-38
132.2Avg total
63.9Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.170.8136.9-4.818%
Season at home (8)67.267.0134.2+0.238%
Season away (9)65.074.2139.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)63.968.3132.2-4.420%
Last 5 (5)61.270.4131.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)61.472.8134.2-11.38%
vs Similar (15)66.166.9133.0-0.740%
vs Weaker (3)78.368.0146.3+10.367%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A15/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A16/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H22/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
76-44
76
44
+32
H23/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#180
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H05/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-28
32-26
29-26
27-29
41-23
46-38
31-31
33-19
34-29
42-36
32-22
44-22
35-32
50-34
39-32
35-23
32-33
34-23
24-30
43-37
129.6Avg total
71.6Scored
58.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.462.6130.0+4.871%
Season at home (12)69.861.0130.8+8.883%
Season away (9)64.364.8129.1-0.456%
Last 10 (10)71.658.0129.6+13.6100%
Last 5 (5)75.259.0134.2+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.369.2131.5-6.833%
vs Similar (14)66.168.4134.5-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)70.258.9129.1+11.380%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +9.9+9.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +9.9+9.9
Tennessee StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#291
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H23/01
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
L
16-42
16
42
-26
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A06/02
NCAA
60.1Avg total
26.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.432.561.9-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.928.959.7+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)28.135.863.9-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)26.933.260.1-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)24.436.260.6-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.933.561.4-5.625%-
vs Similar (15)29.832.061.8-2.247%-
vs Weaker (3)33.331.364.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A15/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A16/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H22/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H06/02
NCAA
60.8Avg total
32.2Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.163.4-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.831.363.1+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)30.932.863.7-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)32.228.660.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.862.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.536.066.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (14)30.432.162.5-1.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)33.229.662.8+3.660%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee State wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21AEastern Illinois72-86
04/02/21ASiu Edwardsville60-68
30/01/21AAustin Peay56-71
29/01/21AMurray State53-73
23/01/21HEastern Illinois65-54
22/01/21HSiu Edwardsville65-67
20/01/21HSoutheast Missouri State59-63
17/01/21ATennessee Tech71-74
15/01/21AJacksonville State64-65
08/01/21HUT Martin74-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21HAustin Peay75-74 OT
05/02/21HMurray State66-56
30/01/21ATennessee Tech74-55
29/01/21AJacksonville State85-66
23/01/21HUT Martin76-44
22/01/21HSoutheast Missouri State76-65
16/01/21ASoutheast Missouri State64-50
15/01/21AEastern Illinois87-61
09/01/21HJacksonville State56-55
08/01/21HTennessee Tech57-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%38%0%
Points / game66.167.265.0
Allowed / game70.867.074.2
Point differential-4.8+0.2-9.2
Avg total136.9134.2139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Morehead State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %71%83%56%
Points / game67.469.864.3
Allowed / game62.661.064.8
Point differential+4.8+8.8-0.4
Avg total130.0130.8129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2115671%67.462.6+4.8
2 UALR1881044%69.669.6+0.1
3 Siu Edwardsville1771041%67.973.2-5.3
4 Southeast Missouri State1971237%67.369.8-2.5
5 UT Martin1971237%65.776.9-11.2
6 Eastern Illinois2271532%68.574.9-6.4
7 Western Illinois1751229%72.978.6-5.6
8 Tennessee State1731418%66.170.8-4.8
9 Tennessee Tech2021810%63.976.3-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State323466
Morehead State344579
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