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Belmont vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 48-47
22-29 26-18
Position#24
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game69.9
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#76
Record19-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Belmont v Morehead State
04 Mar 2022
BELM51
MORE53
10 Feb 2022
BELM48
MORE47
06 Mar 2021
BELM71
MORE86
13 Feb 2021
BELM73
MORE58
18 Jan 2020
BELM77
MORE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
60-82
60
82
-22
H15/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A18/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
90-56
90
56
+34
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A28/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
88-61
88
61
+27
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-28
42-49
35-48
25-34
46-32
34-32
33-44
41-39
45-23
45-33
37-28
38-39
47-27
40-31
41-24
47-37
37-52
47-32
24-31
48-27
151.6Avg total
81.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.969.9151.8+12.080%
Season at home (12)83.968.0151.9+15.983%
Season away (13)80.171.7151.8+8.477%
Last 10 (10)81.869.8151.6+12.080%
Last 5 (5)84.467.2151.6+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.082.0142.0-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.675.2146.8-3.650%
vs Weaker (18)84.867.4152.3+17.489%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#329
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
45-34
41-31
30-33
44-33
39-41
33-32
44-42
41-32
26-22
29-36
35-28
28-33
38-44
42-21
28-35
31-25
44-43
43-20
34-32
139.0Avg total
73.6Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.364.0135.3+7.376%
Season at home (13)74.759.7134.4+15.0100%
Season away (12)67.668.7136.2-1.150%
Last 10 (10)73.665.4139.0+8.290%
Last 5 (5)72.465.2137.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.278.4151.6-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.369.6136.9-2.357%
vs Weaker (17)72.459.8132.2+12.694%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +0.9+0.9
BelmontMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H15/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A28/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H08/02
NCAA
73.2Avg total
39.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.372.0+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.731.671.3+8.173%-
Last 30 away (15)37.735.072.7+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.533.773.2+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.469.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.048.083.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.336.169.4-2.840%-
vs Weaker (18)41.330.371.6+10.978%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#329
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H05/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
36.3Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.430.163.5+3.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.626.960.6+6.794%-
Last 30 away (14)33.233.666.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.329.165.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)34.627.061.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.037.267.2-7.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.931.963.7+0.057%-
vs Weaker (17)35.027.462.4+7.688%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Belmont wins
3
Morehead State wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/22HAustin Peay72-58
06/02/22ATennessee Tech100-92 OT
04/02/22ATennessee State88-61
29/01/22HUT Martin87-58
28/01/22AAustin Peay75-67
24/01/22AEastern Illinois90-56
21/01/22AMorehead State74-83
18/01/22ASiu Edwardsville80-64
15/01/22HMurray State60-82
14/01/22HTennessee Tech92-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22HAustin Peay77-52
03/02/22HTennessee Tech75-68
01/02/22ATennessee Tech70-56
29/01/22AMurray State66-77
28/01/22ASoutheast Missouri State74-73 OT
25/01/22HTennessee State67-54
22/01/22HSiu Edwardsville77-74
21/01/22HBelmont83-74
15/01/22ATennessee State71-64
13/01/22HUT Martin76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %80%83%77%
Points / game81.983.980.1
Allowed / game69.968.071.7
Point differential+12.0+15.9+8.4
Avg total151.8151.9151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%100%50%
Points / game71.374.767.6
Allowed / game64.059.768.7
Point differential+7.3+15.0-1.1
Avg total135.3134.4136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2422292%81.262.9+18.3
2 Belmont2520580%81.969.9+12.0
3 Drake2517868%75.067.1+7.8
4 Northern Iowa2314961%73.768.5+5.2
5 Bradley25141156%71.665.2+6.5
6 Southern Illinois25121348%62.960.6+2.3
7 Valparaiso24111346%71.870.9+1.0
8 Illinois State25111444%77.176.6+0.5
9 Indiana State24101442%71.871.3+0.5
10 Illinois (Chi.)2291341%70.872.9-2.1
11 Evansville2361726%59.568.8-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2519676%71.364.0+7.3
2 Western Illinois25141156%80.276.6+3.6
3 Southeast Missouri State24111346%74.977.2-2.4
4 Tennessee State24101442%72.271.7+0.5
5 UALR2071335%68.973.5-4.5
6 UT Martin2481633%69.673.3-3.7
7 Siu Edwardsville2471729%68.070.6-2.5
8 Tennessee Tech2461825%72.874.2-1.4
9 Eastern Illinois2341917%56.271.5-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont222648
Morehead State291847
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