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Keilor Thunder W vs Waverley W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 79-65
23-15 22-22 15-20 19-8
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Waverley W
02 Aug 2025
KEIL86
WAVE81
17 May 2025
KEIL69
WAVE59
10 Aug 2024
KEIL82
WAVE87
28 Apr 2024
KEIL79
WAVE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
103-53
103
53
+50
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
13-13
15-13
20-18
13-19
19-25
17-16
23-16
15-25
20-18
31-16
18-18
21-18
14-17
22-18
23-23
28-11
10-16
17-15
17-11
22-14
22-20
13-6
24-20
25-23
24-19
27-15
21-23
26-10
28-13
27-17
22-13
21-18
25-17
26-8
22-17
13-16
18-17
13-23
11-24
148.7Avg total
81.0Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.166.0149.1+17.186%
Season at home (3)98.064.3162.3+33.7100%
Season away (4)72.067.2139.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)81.067.7148.7+13.380%
Last 5 (5)86.066.6152.6+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.277.8145.1-10.625%
vs Similar (3)66.770.7137.3-4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.166.0149.1+17.186%
This opponent (Waverley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A05/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A12/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
66-95
66
95
-29
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
101-69
101
69
+32
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
14-26
16-19
18-14
20-16
22-10
12-16
26-15
17-15
24-21
23-19
21-19
21-19
20-21
21-26
16-17
23-30
10-17
19-27
15-18
23-25
17-18
21-34
5-18
37-21
25-21
24-14
15-13
15-19
18-5
21-19
26-23
19-18
13-18
14-21
10-11
26-24
22-18
15-25
22-23
153.1Avg total
76.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.880.0155.8-4.233%
Season at home (3)69.084.3153.3-15.30%
Season away (3)82.775.7158.3+7.067%
Last 10 (10)76.276.9153.1-0.740%
Last 5 (5)77.677.6155.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)63.885.5149.2-21.80%
vs Similar (6)79.282.0161.2-2.833%
vs Weaker (20)82.268.1150.2+14.180%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Keilor Thunder WWaverley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
74.8Avg total
40.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.173.6-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.237.372.5-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.738.974.6-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.774.8+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.833.478.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.540.173.6-6.625%-
vs Similar (3)32.737.770.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.432.775.1+9.771%-
This opponent (Waverley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A05/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A12/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
78.0Avg total
40.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.078.2+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.935.675.5+4.250%-
Last 30 away (16)42.538.180.6+4.475%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.480.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.845.278.0-12.525%-
vs Similar (6)41.040.581.5+0.533%-
vs Weaker (20)43.034.277.3+8.880%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
1
Waverley W wins
DateGameScore
28/05/23Waverley W v Keilor Thunder W74-71
29/05/22Waverley W v Keilor Thunder W77-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24AMt. Gambier W55-80
21/04/24HLaunceston W94-60
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers W103-53
14/04/24HGeelong W97-80
11/04/24AKilsyth W81-60
09/04/24ADiamond Valley W72-53
05/04/24AFrankston W80-76
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers W84-77
15/07/23AGeelong W72-76
08/07/23AHobart Chargers W72-62
Waverley Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HRingwood W85-90
20/04/24HMelbourne Tigers W56-68
13/04/24AHobart Chargers W80-66
12/04/24ALaunceston W101-69
07/04/24HMt. Gambier W66-95
06/04/24ABendigo Braves W67-92
12/08/23ABendigo W78-83
05/08/23AGeelong W85-74
30/07/23HEltham W80-57
22/07/23ABendigo W64-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game83.198.072.0
Allowed / game66.064.367.2
Point differential+17.1+33.7+4.8
Avg total149.1162.3139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Waverley W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%0%67%
Points / game75.869.082.7
Allowed / game80.084.375.7
Point differential-4.2-15.3+7.0
Avg total155.8153.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt. Gambier W660100%81.861.5+20.3
2 Bendigo Braves W76186%100.775.4+25.3
3 Keilor Thunder W76186%83.166.0+17.1
4 Knox W65183%83.272.5+10.7
5 Ringwood W97278%82.976.9+6.0
6 Dandenong Rangers W86275%77.974.9+3.0
7 Sandringham W64267%80.573.3+7.2
8 Melbourne Tigers W74357%81.480.3+1.1
9 Eltham W63350%83.375.7+7.7
10 Hobart Chargers W73443%67.671.3-3.7
11 Waverley W62433%75.880.0-4.2
12 Diamond Valley W62433%76.784.8-8.2
13 Ballarat W62433%70.779.2-8.5
14 Casey Cavaliers W72529%70.988.3-17.4
15 Geelong W51420%83.289.6-6.4
16 Frankston W61517%69.881.2-11.3
17 Nunawading W61517%67.885.2-17.3
18 Launceston W71614%68.481.7-13.3
19 Kilsyth W6060%66.080.7-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W2322151979
Waverley W152220865
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