PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Benfica vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-72
24-19 22-15 24-24 20-14
Position#1
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game75.8
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#7
Record9-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.7
PortugalLPBLPB - Quarter-finals· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2025-26
Meetings · Benfica v Braga
03 Apr 2027
BEN v BRAG
upcoming
09 May 2026
BEN90
BRAG72
11 Apr 2026
BEN108
BRAG77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 89
H31/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
103avg 89
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
111-79
111
79
+32
118avg 89
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
106-68
106
68
+38
110avg 89
H14/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
66avg 89
A21/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 89
H28/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
108-82
108
82
+26
115avg 89
A04/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
108-77
108
77
+31
115avg 89
H11/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
107-65
107
65
+42
110avg 89
A18/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
109avg 89
H25/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
14-23
18-18
31-20
29-32
21-22
27-14
28-27
32-19
31-25
25-15
23-20
27-21
30-13
24-13
25-21
20-13
18-21
17-22
17-32
24-13
18-14
23-21
24-22
29-18
27-26
24-14
28-24
28-17
26-15
30-27
24-18
25-25
31-13
31-17
20-10
23-27
37-21
21-12
22-10
176.8Avg total
98.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)98.175.8173.9+22.391%
Season at home (11)98.174.6172.7+23.591%
Season away (11)98.177.0175.1+21.191%
Last 10 (10)98.778.1176.8+20.680%
Last 5 (5)103.072.8175.8+30.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.592.2163.7-20.717%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)97.975.6173.5+22.391%
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 73
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-66
107
66
+41
121avg 73
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
97-76
97
76
+21
98avg 73
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 73
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
80avg 73
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
58avg 73
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
101-84
101
84
+17
107avg 73
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
66avg 73
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
68-82
68
82
-14
58avg 73
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 73
A25/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
18-22
22-20
16-21
28-15
20-19
35-16
24-16
31-18
19-19
26-19
21-20
22-33
14-18
20-18
21-18
29-24
14-20
22-28
22-24
15-22
24-22
11-23
23-13
11-19
40-22
29-22
21-21
17-28
15-26
27-30
18-24
21-17
19-29
12-21
16-15
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
167.2Avg total
84.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.882.7162.5-2.941%
Season at home (11)78.580.3158.8-1.745%
Season away (11)81.085.1166.1-4.136%
Last 10 (10)84.382.9167.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)78.684.2162.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.986.2160.1-12.320%
vs Similar (8)80.681.8162.4-1.138%
vs Weaker (12)84.774.0158.7+10.775%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
BenficaBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H31/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H14/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A21/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H28/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A04/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H11/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A18/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H25/04
LPB
90.9Avg total
50.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.539.687.1+7.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.240.588.7+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)46.738.785.5+8.067%-
Last 10 (10)50.540.490.9+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)53.637.891.4+15.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)50.537.988.3+12.687%-
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
85.5Avg total
42.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.179.5-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.941.178.0-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.180.9-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.885.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.346.383.6-9.020%-
vs Similar (8)39.442.682.0-3.250%-
vs Weaker (12)38.735.774.3+3.058%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 98.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.424.0
62.5%
52.7%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.7
37.0%
32.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.818.0
75.6%
70.4%18.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.8
48.2%
52.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
32.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.017.6
73.3%
70.4%17.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWWWWLWWWL
Braga
WLLWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#7
+22.3
Net rating
+2.3
105.2
Offensive rating
92.1
82.9
Defensive rating
89.7
59.5%
Effective FG%
49.9%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.0%
3-point %
34.7%
72.0%
Assist %
74.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 92.1Defence82.9 · 89.7Shooting59.5% · 49.9%3-point %37.0% · 34.7%Ball care17.5% · 15.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Benfica   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Benfica wins
0
Braga wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Benfica v Braga108-77
28/12/25Braga v Benfica63-87
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HVasco Da Gama103-70
18/04/26AEsgueira107-65
11/04/26HBraga108-77
04/04/26AGalitos Barreiro108-82
28/03/26HOvarense89-70
21/03/26AFC Porto72-88
14/03/26HCA Queluz106-68
14/02/26HVitoria111-79
07/02/26AImortal105-95
31/01/26HSporting CP78-87
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26AOvarense74-67
18/04/26HFC Porto68-82
11/04/26ABenfica77-108
04/04/26HVitoria101-84
28/03/26AImortal73-80
21/03/26HSporting CP87-96
14/03/26AOliveirense77-87
21/02/26AEsgueira97-76
14/02/26HVasco Da Gama107-66
01/02/26ACA Queluz82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %91%91%91%
Points / game98.198.198.1
Allowed / game75.874.677.0
Point differential+22.3+23.5+21.1
Avg total173.9172.7175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%82%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW41%
HomeWWLWL45%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game79.878.581.0
Allowed / game82.780.385.1
Point differential-2.9-1.7-4.1
Avg total162.5158.8166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2220291%98.175.8+22.3
2 Sporting CP2217577%87.376.9+10.4
3 FC Porto2215768%89.382.4+7.0
4 Ovarense2315865%82.278.5+3.7
5 Oliveirense23121152%85.183.5+1.6
6 Imortal2291341%84.684.6+0.0
7 Braga2291341%79.882.7-2.9
8 Esgueira2291341%85.190.6-5.5
9 CA Queluz2281436%84.187.4-3.3
10 Vitoria2281436%83.290.2-7.0
11 Vasco Da Gama2261627%83.197.8-14.7
12 Galitos Barreiro2251723%81.793.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2422242090
Braga1915241472
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.