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Oliveirense vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-77
33-22 18-14 18-20 18-21
Position#5
Record8-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#7
Record7-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game81.0
PortugalLPBRound 16
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oliveirense v Braga
20 Mar 2027
OLIV v BRAG
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
OLIV87
BRAG77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
100-77
100
77
+23
96avg 76
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 76
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
84avg 76
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 76
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
88avg 76
A03/01
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
73avg 76
H10/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 76
H24/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
62-85
62
85
-23
58avg 76
A01/02
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 76
H07/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
90-76
90
76
+14
77avg 76
A14/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
26-22
18-15
25-16
25-11
20-23
18-22
24-24
25-19
24-17
16-19
23-21
25-27
16-17
17-18
18-24
33-17
21-21
21-28
22-24
17-19
24-17
24-21
19-19
18-22
25-20
30-22
19-31
15-27
21-17
8-18
18-23
32-19
20-28
11-28
19-22
11-24
26-20
31-16
22-16
169.6Avg total
85.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.183.1168.1+2.053%
Season at home (8)89.984.1174.0+5.862%
Season away (7)79.681.9161.4-2.343%
Last 10 (10)85.883.8169.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)82.085.8167.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.089.6171.6-7.620%
vs Similar (9)81.483.1164.6-1.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.276.0159.2+7.269%
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 75
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 75
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 75
A20/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
44avg 75
H28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
67avg 75
A03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 75
H11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 75
H24/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 75
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-66
107
66
+41
121avg 75
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
97-76
97
76
+21
98avg 75
A21/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
24-18
16-24
16-19
22-21
11-26
23-15
27-18
16-25
15-19
18-17
23-21
10-17
18-26
14-30
21-14
21-25
17-30
18-26
23-17
20-25
13-32
28-19
13-10
17-17
13-13
24-18
24-22
26-20
18-22
22-20
16-21
28-15
20-19
35-16
24-16
31-18
19-19
26-19
21-20
162.5Avg total
80.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.981.0160.9-1.147%
Season at home (8)76.077.6153.6-1.650%
Season away (7)84.384.9169.1-0.643%
Last 10 (10)80.981.6162.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)87.676.2163.8+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.284.4155.6-13.220%
vs Similar (6)78.581.7160.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (19)81.172.3153.4+8.774%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
OliveirenseBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A03/01
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/02
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H07/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/02
LPB
86.6Avg total
45.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.580.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.839.883.6+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)37.539.176.6-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)45.541.186.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.441.483.8+1.040%-
vs Similar (9)42.741.083.7+1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.838.077.8+1.856%-
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A20/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A21/02
LPB
81.1Avg total
37.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.076.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.939.073.9-4.131%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.979.4+1.564%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.481.1-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.646.682.2-11.020%-
vs Similar (6)37.542.780.2-5.250%-
vs Weaker (19)38.035.873.8+2.253%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.6
55.8%
52.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.3
31.9%
32.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
70.4%17.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.6
49.2%
52.7%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.1
34.0%
32.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
70.4%15.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WLLLWWLWWW
Braga
WWLWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#7
+2.6
Net rating
-1.8
101.3
Offensive rating
96.5
98.7
Defensive rating
98.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.9%
3-point %
34.0%
57.5%
Assist %
75.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 96.5Defence98.7 · 98.3Shooting52.6% · 50.2%3-point %31.9% · 34.0%Ball care16.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 35.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oliveirense wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Braga v Oliveirense66-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AGalitos Barreiro90-76
07/02/26HOvarense82-97
01/02/26AFC Porto62-85
24/01/26HBenfica92-95
10/01/26HVitoria84-76
03/01/26AImortal97-90
28/12/25HSporting CP76-86
20/12/25HCA Queluz88-76
06/12/25AVasco Da Gama87-80
15/11/25HEsgueira100-77
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AEsgueira97-76
14/02/26HVasco Da Gama107-66
01/02/26ACA Queluz82-83
24/01/26HGalitos Barreiro78-70
11/01/26HOvarense74-86
03/01/26AFC Porto79-98
28/12/25HBenfica63-87
20/12/25AVitoria72-82
06/12/25HImortal83-80
15/11/25ASporting CP74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game85.189.979.6
Allowed / game83.184.181.9
Point differential+2.0+5.8-2.3
Avg total168.1174.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game79.976.084.3
Allowed / game81.077.684.9
Point differential-1.1-1.6-0.6
Avg total160.9153.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1615194%98.276.0+22.2
2 Sporting CP1512380%88.177.1+10.9
3 Ovarense1612475%84.178.6+5.6
4 FC Porto1510567%90.384.4+5.9
5 Oliveirense158753%85.183.1+2.0
6 Braga157847%79.981.0-1.1
7 Esgueira156940%85.589.6-4.1
8 Vitoria1551033%82.590.1-7.6
9 Imortal1651131%86.187.4-1.3
10 CA Queluz1651131%81.887.2-5.5
11 Galitos Barreiro1541127%83.595.3-11.7
12 Vasco Da Gama1531220%80.196.7-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense3318181887
Braga2214202177
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