PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Braga vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 87-96
29-24 14-20 22-28 22-24
Position#7
Record7-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game81.4
Braga
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP 🏆
Portugal
Position#3
Record13-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game76.9
PortugalLPBRound 17· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2025-26
Meetings · Braga v Sporting CP
01 Nov 2026
BRAG v SCP
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
BRAG87
SCP96
10 Dec 2022
BRAG56
SCP108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 75
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 75
A20/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
44avg 75
H28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
67avg 75
A03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 75
H11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 75
H24/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 75
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-66
107
66
+41
121avg 75
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
97-76
97
76
+21
98avg 75
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 75
A14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
11-26
23-15
27-18
16-25
15-19
18-17
23-21
10-17
18-26
14-30
21-14
21-25
17-30
18-26
23-17
20-25
13-32
28-19
13-10
17-17
13-13
24-18
24-22
26-20
18-22
22-20
16-21
28-15
20-19
35-16
24-16
31-18
19-19
26-19
21-20
22-33
14-18
20-18
21-18
162.7Avg total
81.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.781.4161.1-1.744%
Season at home (8)76.077.6153.6-1.650%
Season away (8)83.485.1168.5-1.838%
Last 10 (10)81.281.5162.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)88.276.4164.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.284.8157.0-12.717%
vs Similar (6)78.581.7160.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (18)80.972.2153.2+8.772%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
83-64
83
64
+19
90avg 78
H09/01
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
63avg 78
H21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
99-72
99
72
+27
104avg 78
H24/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 78
A31/01
LPB
PAOK
#5
L
67-101
67
101
-34
49avg 78
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
73avg 78
H07/02
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
92-73
92
73
+19
89avg 78
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 78
A14/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 78
H16/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
18-17
22-12
22-20
27-22
19-25
19-14
17-33
14-18
14-26
20-24
24-22
17-21
22-16
29-17
31-18
26-15
23-14
18-18
20-31
17-28
8-26
21-24
21-23
21-21
21-21
16-20
18-20
24-21
27-25
27-12
14-15
23-17
17-18
19-21
26-26
21-18
24-16
16-23
17-16
163.0Avg total
82.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.476.9164.3+10.681%
Season at home (8)82.174.9157.0+7.275%
Season away (8)92.878.9171.6+13.988%
Last 10 (10)82.180.9163.0+1.260%
Last 5 (5)79.682.2161.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.188.6162.8-14.525%
vs Similar (8)77.881.5159.2-3.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.672.8166.4+20.993%
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
BragaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A20/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/03
LPB
81.1Avg total
37.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.476.8-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.739.073.7-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.779.9+0.460%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.081.1-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.747.383.0-11.717%-
vs Similar (6)37.542.780.2-5.250%-
vs Weaker (18)38.035.673.6+2.456%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/01
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A31/01
LPB
PAOK
#5
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/02
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/03
LPB
80.4Avg total
40.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.683.9+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.439.782.1+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.585.7+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.080.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.544.581.0-8.038%-
vs Similar (8)41.642.183.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.237.485.6+10.8100%-
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.5
49.8%
52.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.2
32.8%
32.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.4
72.2%
70.4%16.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.4
51.5%
52.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.0
33.0%
32.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.618.0
76.3%
70.4%18.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWWLWLLLLW
Sporting CP
WWWLLWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
-1.1
Net rating
+4.9
95.1
Offensive rating
94.2
96.1
Defensive rating
89.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
51.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.8%
3-point %
33.0%
75.7%
Assist %
71.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 94.2Defence96.1 · 89.3Shooting49.5% · 50.5%3-point %32.8% · 33.0%Ball care17.8% · 18.9%Off. rebounds36.5% · 51.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Braga   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
2
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Sporting CP v Braga88-74
10/12/22Braga v Sporting CP56-108
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AOliveirense77-87
21/02/26AEsgueira97-76
14/02/26HVasco Da Gama107-66
01/02/26ACA Queluz82-83
24/01/26HGalitos Barreiro78-70
11/01/26HOvarense74-86
03/01/26AFC Porto79-98
28/12/25HBenfica63-87
20/12/25AVitoria72-82
06/12/25HImortal83-80
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26HGalitos Barreiro78-73
14/02/26AOvarense85-82
11/02/26HBC Prievidza92-73
07/02/26HFC Porto76-82
04/02/26APAOK67-101
31/01/26ABenfica87-78
24/01/26HVitoria99-72
21/01/26HBilbao72-90
14/01/26ABC Prievidza82-94
09/01/26HImortal83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game79.776.083.4
Allowed / game81.477.685.1
Point differential-1.7-1.6-1.8
Avg total161.1153.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game87.482.192.8
Allowed / game76.974.978.9
Point differential+10.6+7.2+13.9
Avg total164.3157.0171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1715288%96.676.7+19.9
2 Sporting CP1613381%87.476.9+10.6
3 FC Porto1712571%91.682.8+8.8
4 Ovarense1712571%83.679.3+4.3
5 Oliveirense169756%85.282.7+2.5
6 Braga167944%79.781.4-1.7
7 Esgueira1661038%85.490.1-4.8
8 Imortal1761135%86.386.6-0.4
9 Vitoria1761135%82.290.6-8.5
10 CA Queluz1651131%81.887.2-5.5
11 Vasco Da Gama1641225%81.295.9-14.6
12 Galitos Barreiro1741324%82.493.9-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2914222287
Sporting CP2420282496
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.