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Benfica vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 108-77
28-17 26-15 30-27 24-18
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game76.6
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Braga
Portugal
Position#7
Record8-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game82.2
PortugalLPBRound 20· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2025-26
Meetings · Benfica v Braga
03 Apr 2027
BEN v BRAG
upcoming
09 May 2026
BEN90
BRAG72
11 Apr 2026
BEN108
BRAG77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
118-70
118
70
+48
120avg 86
A10/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
107-85
107
85
+22
no box
H14/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
95-92
95
92
+3
96avg 86
A24/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 86
H31/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
103avg 86
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
111-79
111
79
+32
118avg 86
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
106-68
106
68
+38
110avg 86
H14/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
66avg 86
A21/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 86
H28/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
108-82
108
82
+26
115avg 86
A04/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
37-10
22-13
33-27
30-26
25-18
34-26
18-15
22-18
20-25
22-30
31-19
15-26
14-23
18-18
31-20
29-32
21-22
27-14
28-27
32-19
31-25
25-15
23-20
27-21
30-13
24-13
25-21
20-13
18-21
17-22
17-32
24-13
18-14
23-21
24-22
29-18
27-26
24-14
28-24
180.5Avg total
98.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)96.876.6173.5+20.289%
Season at home (9)96.474.9171.3+21.689%
Season away (10)97.278.2175.4+19.090%
Last 10 (10)98.981.6180.5+17.380%
Last 5 (5)97.277.4174.6+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.592.2163.7-20.717%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)95.377.6172.9+17.787%
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
67avg 75
A03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 75
H11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 75
H24/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 75
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-66
107
66
+41
121avg 75
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
97-76
97
76
+21
98avg 75
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 75
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
80avg 75
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
58avg 75
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
101-84
101
84
+17
107avg 75
H04/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
17-30
18-26
23-17
20-25
13-32
28-19
13-10
17-17
13-13
24-18
24-22
26-20
18-22
22-20
16-21
28-15
20-19
35-16
24-16
31-18
19-19
26-19
21-20
22-33
14-18
20-18
21-18
29-24
14-20
22-28
22-24
15-22
24-22
11-23
23-13
11-19
40-22
29-22
21-21
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.882.2163.1-1.442%
Season at home (10)79.680.1159.7-0.550%
Season away (9)82.284.6166.8-2.333%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.940%
Last 5 (5)87.084.6171.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.386.4160.7-12.114%
vs Similar (8)80.681.8162.4-1.138%
vs Weaker (15)82.673.4156.0+9.273%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
BenficaBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A10/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H14/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H31/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H14/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A21/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H28/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A04/04
LPB
89.8Avg total
49.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.885.7+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.040.887.8+6.280%-
Last 30 away (15)44.738.983.5+5.860%-
Last 10 (10)49.540.389.8+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)51.236.687.8+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.338.286.5+10.283%-
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H11/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/04
LPB
84.7Avg total
41.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.0-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.139.575.6-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.580.7-0.357%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.584.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.487.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.746.983.6-10.114%-
vs Similar (8)39.442.682.0-3.250%-
vs Weaker (15)37.935.373.2+2.560%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.724.0
60.5%
52.7%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.3
34.4%
32.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.719.2
74.7%
70.4%19.2
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.5
48.7%
52.7%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.8
36.7%
32.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.216.9
72.8%
70.4%16.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWLWWWLWWW
Braga
WLLLWWLWLL
#1
League position
#7
+16.5
Net rating
+2.1
104.6
Offensive rating
93.8
88.1
Defensive rating
91.7
56.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
47.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.4%
3-point %
36.7%
70.6%
Assist %
78.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 93.8Defence88.1 · 91.7Shooting56.9% · 51.6%3-point %34.4% · 36.7%Ball care16.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds36.7% · 47.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Benfica   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Benfica wins
0
Braga wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Braga v Benfica63-87
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26AGalitos Barreiro108-82
28/03/26HOvarense89-70
21/03/26AFC Porto72-88
14/03/26HCA Queluz106-68
14/02/26HVitoria111-79
07/02/26AImortal105-95
31/01/26HSporting CP78-87
24/01/26AOliveirense95-92
14/01/26HGalitos Barreiro107-85
10/01/26AVasco Da Gama118-70
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HVitoria101-84
28/03/26AImortal73-80
21/03/26HSporting CP87-96
14/03/26AOliveirense77-87
21/02/26AEsgueira97-76
14/02/26HVasco Da Gama107-66
01/02/26ACA Queluz82-83
24/01/26HGalitos Barreiro78-70
11/01/26HOvarense74-86
03/01/26AFC Porto79-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWLW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %89%89%90%
Points / game96.896.497.2
Allowed / game76.674.978.2
Point differential+20.2+21.6+19.0
Avg total173.5171.3175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%78%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game80.879.682.2
Allowed / game82.280.184.6
Point differential-1.4-0.5-2.3
Avg total163.1159.7166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1917289%96.876.6+20.2
2 Sporting CP2016480%88.878.0+10.8
3 FC Porto2014670%89.982.9+7.0
4 Ovarense2013765%82.378.5+3.8
5 Oliveirense2011955%86.383.5+2.8
6 Braga1981142%80.882.2-1.4
7 Imortal2081240%86.286.1+0.1
8 Esgueira2081240%86.190.0-4.0
9 CA Queluz2071335%83.888.3-4.5
10 Vitoria2071335%82.990.8-7.8
11 Galitos Barreiro2051525%82.193.5-11.4
12 Vasco Da Gama2051525%83.298.0-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica28263024108
Braga1715271877
← all games of the day
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