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FC Porto vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-72
13-20 21-18 22-17 32-17
Position#2
Record11-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#1
Record15-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalLPBRound 17· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · FC Porto v Benfica
11 Oct 2026
POR93
BEN86
14 Jun 2026
POR75
BEN71
12 Jun 2026
POR87
BEN63
21 Mar 2026
POR88
BEN72
15 Jun 2025
POR71
BEN93
13 Jun 2025
POR82
BEN75
22 Mar 2025
POR94
BEN84
15 Feb 2025
POR103
BEN89
07 Jun 2024
POR62
BEN73
05 Jun 2024
POR66
BEN89
05 May 2024
POR66
BEN72
21 Oct 2023
POR79
BEN62
08 Apr 2023
POR92
BEN89
05 Nov 2022
POR105
BEN112
11 Jun 2022
POR63
BEN91
09 Jun 2022
POR65
BEN47
23 Apr 2022
POR65
BEN60
31 Oct 2021
POR81
BEN71
28 Feb 2021
POR79
BEN87
06 Feb 2021
POR80
BEN76
07 Oct 2020
POR81
BEN74
26 Oct 2019
POR87
BEN79
31 May 2019
POR v BEN
upcoming
05 May 2019
POR73
BEN76
26 Jan 2019
POR96
BEN78
03 Jun 2018
POR91
BEN74
01 Jun 2018
POR90
BEN96
22 Apr 2018
POR98
BEN85
13 Jan 2018
POR89
BEN81
04 Jun 2017
POR81
BEN83
02 Jun 2017
POR70
BEN73
11 Mar 2017
POR85
BEN74
15 Oct 2016
POR74
BEN76
28 May 2016
POR93
BEN85
27 May 2016
POR98
BEN89
13 Mar 2016
POR97
BEN94
03 Jan 2016
POR81
BEN62
23 May 2012
POR53
BEN56
13 May 2012
POR80
BEN82
12 May 2012
POR77
BEN71
24 Mar 2012
POR67
BEN76
22 May 2011
POR86
BEN76
18 May 2011
POR91
BEN79
12 May 2011
POR95
BEN69
10 May 2011
POR93
BEN60
13 Nov 2010
POR91
BEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
65-91
65
91
-26
47avg 81
A21/12
Super Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 81
A27/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
98-79
98
79
+19
94avg 81
H03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-62
74
62
+12
68avg 81
H06/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
60avg 81
A10/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
95avg 81
A24/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
85-62
85
62
+23
79avg 81
H01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 81
A07/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 81
H14/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
115-69
115
69
+46
110avg 81
A14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
18-15
12-22
17-23
31-16
26-22
18-18
28-22
25-21
30-17
26-18
17-23
15-23
28-11
14-17
17-11
19-13
18-15
22-23
8-25
26-35
30-26
24-20
21-22
27-15
17-21
18-8
23-18
21-21
21-21
20-16
20-18
24-23
27-18
23-27
25-20
32-23
29-15
29-19
25-12
167.3Avg total
88.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.883.4175.2+8.469%
Season at home (7)90.375.9166.1+14.486%
Season away (9)93.089.3182.3+3.756%
Last 10 (10)88.978.4167.3+10.570%
Last 5 (5)96.479.6176.0+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.489.2168.6-9.830%
vs Similar (5)77.083.2160.2-6.240%
vs Weaker (13)94.782.2176.8+12.577%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
91-65
91
65
+26
85avg 87
H21/12
Super Cup
Braga
#7
W
87-63
87
63
+24
95avg 87
A28/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
77avg 87
H03/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
118-70
118
70
+48
120avg 87
A10/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
107-85
107
85
+22
no box
H14/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
95-92
95
92
+3
96avg 87
A24/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 87
H31/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
103avg 87
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
111-79
111
79
+32
118avg 87
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
106-68
106
68
+38
110avg 87
H14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
15-18
22-12
23-17
17-10
26-18
30-14
14-21
19-21
30-21
13-19
19-11
26-20
37-10
22-13
33-27
30-26
25-18
34-26
18-15
22-18
20-25
22-30
31-19
15-26
14-23
18-18
31-20
29-32
21-22
27-14
28-27
32-19
31-25
25-15
23-20
27-21
30-13
24-13
25-21
175.5Avg total
97.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)98.276.0174.2+22.294%
Season at home (8)97.475.5172.9+21.988%
Season away (8)99.076.5175.5+22.5100%
Last 10 (10)97.977.6175.5+20.390%
Last 5 (5)99.084.2183.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.592.2163.7-20.717%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)95.776.6172.2+19.191%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
FC PortoBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A21/12
Super Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A27/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A10/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A24/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H14/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A14/03
LPB
88.4Avg total
48.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.785.5+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.238.380.5+3.962%-
Last 30 away (17)43.246.189.3-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)48.240.288.4+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.843.694.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.344.482.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (5)34.844.679.4-9.820%-
vs Weaker (13)50.640.090.6+10.685%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
Super Cup
Braga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A28/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H03/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A10/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H14/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H31/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H14/03
LPB
90.1Avg total
49.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.785.5+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.941.188.1+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)44.538.182.6+6.457%-
Last 10 (10)49.740.490.1+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.893.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.338.086.3+10.378%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.4
55.3%
52.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.7
33.2%
32.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.714.6
70.5%
70.4%14.6
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.023.3
59.7%
52.7%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
32.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.818.3
73.8%
70.4%18.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWLLWWWL
Benfica
WWWLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+12.1
Net rating
+17.0
102.4
Offensive rating
107.9
90.2
Defensive rating
90.9
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.2%
3-point %
34.0%
64.2%
Assist %
67.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 107.9Defence90.2 · 90.9Shooting53.0% · 56.2%3-point %33.2% · 34.0%Ball care14.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 35.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ FC Porto   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FC Porto wins
6
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Benfica v FC Porto91-65
15/11/25Benfica v FC Porto109-80
15/06/25FC Porto v Benfica71-93
13/06/25FC Porto v Benfica82-75
10/06/25Benfica v FC Porto89-81
08/06/25Benfica v FC Porto95-94
03/05/25Benfica v FC Porto95-104 OT
22/03/25FC Porto v Benfica94-84
15/02/25FC Porto v Benfica103-89
02/11/24Benfica v FC Porto82-77
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AVitoria115-69
14/02/26HImortal99-88
07/02/26ASporting CP82-76
01/02/26HOliveirense85-62
24/01/26AVasco Da Gama101-103
10/01/26AEsgueira67-76
06/01/26HOvarense74-62
03/01/26HBraga98-79
27/12/25AGalitos Barreiro103-78
21/12/25ABenfica65-91
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HCA Queluz106-68
14/02/26HVitoria111-79
07/02/26AImortal105-95
31/01/26HSporting CP78-87
24/01/26AOliveirense95-92
14/01/26HGalitos Barreiro107-85
10/01/26AVasco Da Gama118-70
03/01/26HEsgueira81-72
28/12/25ABraga87-63
21/12/25HFC Porto91-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%86%56%
Points / game91.890.393.0
Allowed / game83.475.989.3
Point differential+8.4+14.4+3.7
Avg total175.2166.1182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%86%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW94%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%88%100%
Points / game98.297.499.0
Allowed / game76.075.576.5
Point differential+22.2+21.9+22.5
Avg total174.2172.9175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%75%88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1615194%98.276.0+22.2
2 Sporting CP1613381%87.476.9+10.6
3 Ovarense1612475%84.178.6+5.6
4 FC Porto1611569%91.883.4+8.4
5 Oliveirense169756%85.282.7+2.5
6 Braga167944%79.781.4-1.7
7 Esgueira1661038%85.490.1-4.8
8 Imortal1651131%86.187.4-1.3
9 CA Queluz1651131%81.887.2-5.5
10 Vitoria1651131%81.691.6-10.0
11 Galitos Barreiro1641225%82.994.2-11.3
12 Vasco Da Gama1641225%81.295.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1321223288
Benfica2018171772
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