Benfica vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 83-81

23-26 20-9 26-21 14-25

Position#2

Record14-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.1

Allowed / game72.2

Benfica 🏆

Vitoria

Position#10

Record6-8

FormLWLWL

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game84.1

LPBRound 15

Other2018-19

Meetings · Benfica v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

93-88

H03/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

89-69

+20

A10/11

LPB

Oliveirense

83-75

H17/11

LPB

Imortal

#12

93-87

A24/11

LPB

Galitos

111-70

111

+41

H08/12

LPB

Ovarense

101-78

101

+23

H15/12

LPB

Illiabum

71-64

A22/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

101-64

101

+37

A29/12

LPB

Esgueira

112-66

112

+46

H05/01

LPB

Lusitania

88-76

+12

A12/01

LPB

20-25

25-22

19-17

29-24

25-15

17-19

19-16

28-19

24-18

27-16

20-24

12-17

21-25

18-30

34-14

20-18

18-13

35-10

32-28

26-19

32-21

22-22

26-20

21-15

22-17

16-8

15-10

18-29

32-13

26-13

20-20

23-18

27-20

20-14

31-11

34-21

27-13

18-23

21-25

22-15

167.9Avg total

94.2Scored

73.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	91.1	72.2	163.4	+18.9	100%
Season at home (7)	95.9	73.0	168.9	+22.9	100%
Season away (7)	86.4	71.4	157.9	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	94.2	73.7	167.9	+20.5	100%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	69.6	164.2	+25.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.0	105.5	184.5	-26.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	82.5	86.8	169.2	-4.2	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	91.2	73.0	164.2	+18.2	100%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Imortal

#12

71-78

-7

A10/11

LPB

Ovarense

67-77

-10

H17/11

LPB

Terceira

#11

76-71

A24/11

LPB

Lusitania

96-100

100

-4

H08/12

LPB

FC Porto

86-94

-8

A15/12

LPB

Oliveirense

86-91

-5

H22/12

LPB

Galitos

88-87

H29/12

LPB

Illiabum

69-88

-19

A06/01

LPB

Esgueira

99-88 OT

+11

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

81-88

-7

H16/01

Taca de Portugal

11-22

15-24

23-15

22-17

17-15

24-27

9-20

17-15

19-19

16-16

19-15

22-21

24-15

23-28

22-20

27-37

21-25

22-27

23-23

20-19

24-26

24-19

16-22

22-24

25-18

21-22

21-30

21-17

16-29

17-17

15-18

21-24

18-16

22-26

22-22

20-18

21-23

18-20

21-23

21-22

168.1Avg total

81.9Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	82.8	84.1	166.9	-1.4	43%
Season at home (8)	86.5	84.9	171.4	+1.6	50%
Season away (6)	77.8	83.2	161.0	-5.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	86.2	168.1	-4.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	88.4	173.0	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	79.7	90.9	170.6	-11.2	0%
vs Similar (15)	87.6	86.9	174.5	+0.7	53%
vs Weaker (4)	85.8	82.8	168.5	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.4	41.7	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.1	39.6	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	18.0	42.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	16.8	44.8	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	25.0	47.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.4	21.9	39.2	-4.5	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	17.7	40.6	+5.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	24.1	46.0	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.7	23.6	46.3	-0.9	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.0	19.5	44.5	+5.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.5	40.3	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.7	40.1	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	31.5	46.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	17.6	39.1	+3.8	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	50%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

45-47

-2

H03/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

42-34

A10/11

LPB

Oliveirense

51-34

+17

H17/11

LPB

Imortal

#12

39-55

-16

A24/11

LPB

Galitos

53-23

+30

H08/12

LPB

Ovarense

54-43

+11

H15/12

LPB

Illiabum

38-25

+13

A22/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

58-26

+32

A29/12

LPB

Esgueira

47-34

+13

H05/01

LPB

Lusitania

45-36

A12/01

LPB

82.9Avg total

47.2Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	38.8	81.0	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.3	38.9	83.2	+5.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	38.6	78.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	35.7	82.9	+11.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	32.8	81.2	+15.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	56.5	93.5	-19.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	42.9	81.1	-4.6	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.4	35.4	79.8	+9.0	80%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Imortal

#12

26-46

-20

A10/11

LPB

Ovarense

41-42

-1

H17/11

LPB

Terceira

#11

35-35

A24/11

LPB

Lusitania

47-43

H08/12

LPB

FC Porto

43-52

-9

A15/12

LPB

Oliveirense

48-45

H22/12

LPB

Galitos

46-40

H29/12

LPB

Illiabum

33-46

-13

A06/01

LPB

Esgueira

40-42

-2

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

39-43

-4

H16/01

Taca de Portugal

83.2Avg total

39.8Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	42.6	85.3	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	40.1	85.6	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	45.1	85.0	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	43.4	83.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	43.2	84.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.1	44.6	86.7	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.2	42.1	85.3	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	39.2	82.8	+4.2	50%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	19.6	43.2	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	18.4	40.4	+3.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.5	42.2	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.6	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.2	18.7	41.9	+4.5	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.9	26.6	44.5	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	19.8	39.5	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.1	43.1	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.5	42.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	27.5	46.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	22.6	43.8	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	18.9	42.6	+4.7	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.1	23.0	46.1	+0.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	39.5	85.0	+6.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	39.7	86.3	+6.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.2	39.4	83.6	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	38.0	85.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	36.8	83.0	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	49.0	91.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.0	41.9	84.9	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.9	37.6	84.5	+9.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	44.2	82.1	-6.3	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	43.8	87.0	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	44.0	84.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.6	46.3	83.9	-8.7	10%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.4	43.3	85.7	-0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	40.8	81.5	+0.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
27/10/18	Vitoria v Benfica	71-74
27/04/18	Benfica v Vitoria	98-86
30/03/18	Vitoria v Benfica	87-77
16/12/17	Vitoria v Benfica	100-98 OT
08/10/17	Benfica v Vitoria	106-82
21/04/17	Benfica v Vitoria	80-76
12/03/17	Vitoria v Benfica	80-85
17/12/16	Vitoria v Benfica	68-65
12/10/16	Benfica v Vitoria	85-64
12/12/15	Vitoria v Benfica	73-79

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/19	A	Lusitania	88-76
05/01/19	H	Esgueira	112-66
29/12/18	A	Terceira	101-64
22/12/18	A	Illiabum	71-64
15/12/18	H	Ovarense	101-78
08/12/18	H	Galitos	111-70
24/11/18	A	Imortal	93-87
17/11/18	H	Oliveirense	83-75
10/11/18	A	CAB Madeira	89-69
03/11/18	H	FC Porto	93-88

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/19	H	FC Porto	81-88
12/01/19	H	Esgueira	99-88 OT
06/01/19	A	Illiabum	69-88
29/12/18	H	Galitos	88-87
22/12/18	H	Oliveirense	86-91
15/12/18	A	FC Porto	86-94
08/12/18	H	Lusitania	96-100
24/11/18	A	Terceira	76-71
17/11/18	H	Ovarense	67-77
10/11/18	A	Imortal	71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.1	95.9	86.4
Allowed / game	72.2	73.0	71.4
Point differential	+18.9	+22.9	+15.0
Avg total	163.4	168.9	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	71%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vitoria

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	43%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	43%	50%	33%
Points / game	82.8	86.5	77.8
Allowed / game	84.1	84.9	83.2
Point differential	-1.4	+1.6	-5.3
Avg total	166.9	171.4	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	25% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	14	14	0	100%	91.1	72.2	+18.9
2	Oliveirense	14	13	1	93%	87.3	73.8	+13.5
3	FC Porto	14	10	4	71%	88.9	80.1	+8.8
4	Ovarense	14	8	6	57%	79.4	77.8	+1.6
5	Esgueira	14	7	7	50%	81.7	86.1	-4.4
6	Vitoria	14	6	8	43%	82.8	84.1	-1.4
7	Lusitania	14	6	8	43%	80.4	83.1	-2.7
8	Terceira	14	6	8	43%	77.9	83.7	-5.8
9	Galitos	13	4	9	31%	78.2	84.2	-5.9
10	CAB Madeira	13	3	10	23%	75.8	82.7	-6.8
11	Illiabum	14	3	11	21%	76.2	81.9	-5.6
12	Imortal	14	3	11	21%	76.6	87.7	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	23	20	26	14	83
Vitoria	26	9	21	25	81

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature