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Benfica vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 100-67
22-19 28-16 35-16 15-16
Position#1
Record7-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game66.9
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Portimonense
Portugal
Position#11
Record5-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game75.4
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2023-24
Meetings · Benfica v Portimonense
13 Feb 2027
BEN v PORT
upcoming
13 Jan 2024
BEN85
PORT53
30 Dec 2023
BEN100
PORT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
66-84
66
84
-18
55avg 79
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 79
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 79
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
no box
A25/11
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 79
A29/11
Champions League
Lusitania
#12
W
94-51
94
51
+43
99avg 79
H02/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#15
W
71-47
71
47
+24
no box
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 79
H13/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#6
W
83-58
83
58
+25
77avg 79
A16/12
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
58avg 79
A20/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
15-29
15-18
12-20
20-11
19-31
19-27
20-29
23-17
19-9
29-3
13-23
16-14
21-22
17-30
26-14
22-14
15-25
15-16
22-21
21-20
27-16
22-7
24-8
12-12
17-15
20-5
22-15
16-13
18-18
19-30
10-26
18-15
20-21
22-12
23-10
24-25
9-27
20-21
15-24
151.0Avg total
76.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.266.9155.1+21.370%
Season at home (6)95.261.8157.0+33.383%
Season away (4)77.874.5152.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)76.974.1151.0+2.840%
Last 5 (5)75.868.0143.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.586.2157.7-14.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.469.0159.4+21.476%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 70
A21/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
62-58
62
58
+4
59avg 70
H28/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 70
A05/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 70
H12/11
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 70
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
no box
A25/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
64-72
64
72
-8
52avg 70
A01/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 70
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
90avg 70
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 70
H16/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
18-15
20-21
15-25
9-22
24-13
8-11
21-12
15-26
15-21
15-24
28-23
20-19
15-27
22-24
22-12
19-19
16-16
9-15
23-14
17-19
16-15
17-11
19-24
11-25
15-14
24-18
14-15
19-21
15-18
15-34
26-15
32-17
17-12
28-24
27-10
19-13
16-22
17-19
16-15
149.1Avg total
74.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.675.4148.0-2.850%
Season at home (5)72.468.6141.0+3.880%
Season away (5)72.882.2155.0-9.420%
Last 10 (10)74.474.7149.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)77.074.6151.6+2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.780.2151.9-8.633%
vs Similar (9)78.973.3152.2+5.689%
vs Weaker (2)86.076.5162.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.6+4.6
BenficaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/11
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/11
Champions League
Lusitania
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#15
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/12
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/12
Champions League
74.7Avg total
37.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.879.4+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.836.580.3+7.372%-
Last 30 away (12)40.837.277.9+3.658%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.174.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.472.8+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.935.979.8+8.076%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H28/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A05/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/11
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A01/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
LPB
72.2Avg total
35.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.775.0-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.237.674.8-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)37.437.875.1-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.972.2-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.270.6+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.240.274.4-5.917%-
vs Similar (9)41.233.374.6+7.989%-
vs Weaker (2)41.539.080.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.5
49.3%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.713.8
70.1%
69.3%13.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.7
54.0%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.6
27.0%
33.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.1
71.9%
69.3%14.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
LWLWWLLWLL
Portimonense
LWLLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#11
+5.0
Net rating
-3.4
104.1
Offensive rating
95.1
99.1
Defensive rating
98.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
22.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
27.0%
67.5%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 95.1Defence99.1 · 98.5Shooting49.9% · 48.6%3-point %33.8% · 27.0%Ball care19.1% · 22.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 26.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Benfica   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
Portimonense wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem68-97
16/12/23ACD Povoa83-58
13/12/23HGalatasaray63-87
08/12/23HOliveirense71-47
02/12/23HLusitania94-51
29/11/23APAOK74-76
25/11/23ASporting CP88-91 OT
18/11/23HOvarense84-52
14/11/23AGalatasaray78-98
08/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem66-84
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HOliveirense68-69
10/12/23AInedsport104-63
03/12/23AFC Porto75-88
01/12/23AVitoria64-72
25/11/23ACD Povoa74-81 OT
18/11/23HLusitania67-64
12/11/23HVitoria79-82
05/11/23ASporting CP73-94
28/10/23HOvarense62-58
21/10/23AGalomar78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game88.295.277.8
Allowed / game66.961.874.5
Point differential+21.3+33.3+3.2
Avg total155.1157.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%83%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
Portimonense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game72.672.472.8
Allowed / game75.468.682.2
Point differential-2.8+3.8-9.4
Avg total148.0141.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto109190%87.673.0+14.6
2 Sporting CP119282%94.483.2+11.2
3 Oliveirense97278%80.474.9+5.6
4 Benfica107370%88.266.9+21.3
5 Vitoria116555%79.979.1+0.8
6 Ovarense105550%75.277.7-2.5
7 Portimonense105550%72.675.4-2.8
8 CD Povoa115645%80.784.7-4.0
9 Imortal104640%74.582.6-8.1
10 Galomar113827%73.879.2-5.4
11 Lusitania101910%73.187.1-14.0
12 Esgueira111109%72.687.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica22283515100
Portimonense1916161667
← all games of the day
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