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CD Povoa vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-74 (OT)
19-17 15-16 11-17 24-19 12-5
Position#6
Record3-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#11
Record5-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game74.0
PortugalLPBRound 8· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Portimonense
07 Nov 2026
CD P v PORT
upcoming
17 May 2026
CD P90
PORT86
16 May 2026
CD P68
PORT71
01 May 2026
CD P71
PORT66
25 Nov 2023
CD P81
PORT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 75
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 75
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 75
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 75
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
65avg 75
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
99avg 75
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 75
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
no box
A18/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
17-17
16-24
21-20
19-28
24-20
14-19
19-24
23-19
20-22
21-17
24-25
14-17
17-19
23-20
20-23
21-17
23-18
17-27
20-19
23-31
19-20
24-22
27-22
19-30
9-28
19-16
33-30
22-27
29-20
23-14
26-12
16-21
26-20
24-13
13-17
24-17
19-11
6-17
12-16
169.1Avg total
83.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.985.6170.4-0.743%
Season at home (3)76.791.3168.0-14.70%
Season away (4)91.081.2172.2+9.875%
Last 10 (10)83.685.5169.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)87.083.4170.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.390.3160.7-20.011%
vs Similar (13)81.076.4157.4+4.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.074.9157.9+8.162%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
H07/05
Proliga
Galomar
#1
L
71-101
71
101
-30
no box
A13/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
88avg 71
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
76avg 71
H07/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
62avg 71
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 71
A21/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
62-58
62
58
+4
59avg 71
H28/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 71
A05/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 71
H12/11
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 71
H18/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
14-8
12-27
22-15
19-23
17-25
15-38
20-15
20-16
22-17
15-14
28-31
16-11
24-19
18-19
22-25
17-25
22-22
15-25
13-29
25-15
18-15
20-21
15-25
9-22
24-13
8-11
21-12
15-26
15-21
15-24
28-23
20-19
15-27
22-24
22-12
19-19
16-16
9-15
23-14
153.1Avg total
72.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.274.0148.2+0.283%
Season at home (4)73.568.5142.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)75.585.0160.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)72.880.3153.1-7.550%
Last 5 (5)71.874.8146.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.480.5151.9-9.140%
vs Similar (10)78.272.9151.1+5.390%
vs Weaker (5)75.475.2150.6+0.240%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
CD PovoaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/11
LPB
83.6Avg total
40.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.679.1-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.137.573.6-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.884.5-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.483.6-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.086.2-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.846.981.7-12.10%-
vs Similar (13)38.637.476.0+1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.238.981.1+3.462%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H07/05
Proliga
Galomar
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A13/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H07/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H28/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A05/11
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/11
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/11
LPB
74.9Avg total
36.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.974.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.938.174.9-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.137.774.8-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.474.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.673.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.740.775.5-6.020%-
vs Similar (10)40.933.774.6+7.290%-
vs Weaker (5)35.837.873.6-2.040%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.7
55.4%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.6%
33.5%23.6
🏀 Free throws23.714.9
62.7%
69.3%14.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.2
56.2%
51.0%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.4%
33.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
70.8%
69.3%14.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWLLLLWLL
Portimonense
WLLWWLWWLL
#6
League position
#11
+0.4
Net rating
-3.9
105.5
Offensive rating
95.6
105.1
Defensive rating
99.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
20.2%
Turnover %
22.6%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.6%
3-point %
28.4%
45.8%
Assist %
72.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 95.6Defence105.1 · 99.5Shooting54.1% · 50.5%3-point %34.6% · 28.4%Ball care20.2% · 22.6%Off. rebounds30.4% · 22.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CD Povoa wins
0
Portimonense wins
No previous meetings.
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AVitoria83-74 OT
11/11/23HEsgueira79-71
04/11/23ALusitania100-73
28/10/23HSporting CP80-104
21/10/23AOvarense93-95
14/10/23AOvarense91-92 OT
07/10/23HGalomar74-79
30/09/23AImortal88-83
23/09/23HFC Porto76-91
13/05/23HBenfica72-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HLusitania67-64
12/11/23HVitoria79-82
05/11/23ASporting CP73-94
28/10/23HOvarense62-58
21/10/23AGalomar78-76
14/10/23ASporting CP67-101
07/10/23HImortal80-74
23/09/23HEsgueira85-78
13/05/23AGalomar71-101
07/05/23HGalomar66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%0%75%
Points / game84.976.791.0
Allowed / game85.691.381.2
Point differential-0.7-14.7+9.8
Avg total170.4168.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Portimonense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game74.273.575.5
Allowed / game74.068.585.0
Point differential+0.2+5.0-9.5
Avg total148.2142.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto550100%92.671.8+20.8
2 Sporting CP76186%94.482.3+12.1
3 Oliveirense65183%78.571.8+6.7
4 Portimonense65183%74.274.0+0.2
5 Benfica75271%88.167.0+21.1
6 CD Povoa73443%84.985.6-0.7
7 Ovarense73443%75.180.4-5.3
8 Vitoria73443%78.784.0-5.3
9 Galomar72529%77.480.6-3.1
10 Imortal72529%70.681.7-11.1
11 Esgueira71614%72.187.7-15.6
12 Lusitania7070%74.086.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
CD Povoa191511241281
Portimonense17161719574
← all games of the day
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