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PAOK vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-74
14-22 25-15 16-15 21-22
Position#32
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.7
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#28
Record4-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game74.7
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 68
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 68
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
L
72-94
72
94
-22
61avg 68
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
53avg 68
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
67-54
67
54
+13
64avg 68
A11/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 68
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 68
H18/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
70-90
70
90
-20
57avg 68
A25/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
20-24
16-19
25-16
30-19
22-23
19-17
17-18
19-22
15-14
19-17
16-11
21-26
14-26
22-19
19-15
15-17
26-23
19-28
12-26
16-17
12-20
13-16
22-24
17-16
15-10
15-18
20-10
17-19
22-16
24-17
16-25
30-22
24-12
14-25
14-17
25-17
20-19
8-28
17-26
151.6Avg total
74.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.782.7162.3-3.067%
Season at home (1)79.077.0156.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)80.085.5165.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)74.677.0151.6-2.460%
Last 5 (5)72.274.8147.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.380.5148.8-12.224%
vs Similar (9)77.379.0156.3-1.767%
vs Weaker (3)80.766.0146.7+14.7100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
63avg 80
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 80
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
50avg 80
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
103-58
103
58
+45
101avg 80
H28/10
LPB
PAOK
#32
W
94-72
94
72
+22
93avg 80
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 80
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
66-84
66
84
-18
55avg 80
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 80
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 80
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
no box
A25/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-27
14-19
24-11
24-21
14-18
13-20
20-19
14-20
10-16
16-14
22-29
23-15
31-16
18-7
31-20
17-15
23-26
28-19
26-12
17-8
20-15
24-30
17-17
24-17
15-29
15-18
12-20
20-11
19-31
19-27
20-29
23-17
19-9
29-3
13-23
16-14
21-22
17-30
26-14
155.3Avg total
79.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.374.7163.0+13.767%
Season at home (4)92.269.2161.5+23.075%
Season away (2)80.585.5166.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)79.775.6155.3+4.140%
Last 5 (5)78.879.0157.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.080.0176.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (5)74.681.4156.0-6.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.869.6163.4+24.282%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
PAOKBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A11/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H18/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A25/11
Basket League
77.7Avg total
39.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.677.7-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.279.4+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)36.339.976.2-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.877.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.673.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.341.277.5-4.929%-
vs Similar (9)41.439.380.8+2.156%-
vs Weaker (3)41.331.773.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/10
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/11
LPB
74.9Avg total
38.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.436.081.4+9.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.336.682.9+9.772%-
Last 30 away (12)44.135.179.2+9.075%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.474.9+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.673.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (5)38.841.480.2-2.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.134.780.8+11.482%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.4
50.0%
51.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.816.6
69.7%
74.5%16.6
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.1
50.4%
51.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.918.1
69.9%
74.5%18.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWWWLLLWWW
Benfica
LWLLWWWLLL
#32
League position
#28
-3.9
Net rating
+12.3
103.2
Offensive rating
109.1
107.1
Defensive rating
96.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.9%
3-point %
34.5%
57.3%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 109.1Defence107.1 · 96.8Shooting49.1% · 51.0%3-point %31.9% · 34.5%Ball care18.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ PAOK   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
1
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23Benfica v PAOK94-72
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AAEK Athens70-90
18/11/23HAris82-76
15/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem79-77
11/11/23AApollon Patras67-54
05/11/23HOlympiacos63-77
01/11/23ABenfica72-94
29/10/23ALavrio76-86
21/10/23HPeristeri69-64
18/10/23AGalatasaray88-77
14/10/23AMaroussi80-75
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ASporting CP88-91 OT
18/11/23HOvarense84-52
14/11/23AGalatasaray78-98
08/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem66-84
04/11/23AGalomar78-70
01/11/23HPAOK94-72
28/10/23HImortal103-58
21/10/23AFC Porto62-79
13/10/23HOliveirense71-78
11/10/23HOliveirense73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.779.080.0
Allowed / game82.777.085.5
Point differential-3.0+2.0-5.5
Avg total162.3156.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game88.392.280.5
Allowed / game74.769.285.5
Point differential+13.7+23.0-5.0
Avg total163.0161.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 AEK Athens440100%84.874.8+10.0
3 Tortona330100%85.779.3+6.3
4 Strasbourg76186%80.376.1+4.1
5 Murcia43175%85.069.2+15.8
6 Tenerife43175%81.870.2+11.5
7 Unicaja43175%82.275.2+7.0
8 Karsiyaka43175%82.878.0+4.8
9 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
10 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
11 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
16 Hapoel Holon32167%77.078.3-1.3
17 PAOK32167%79.782.7-3.0
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
21 Breogan42250%75.072.5+2.5
22 Le Mans42250%79.577.5+2.0
23 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
24 Ludwigsburg42250%84.282.8+1.5
25 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
26 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
28 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
29 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
30 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
31 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
32 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
33 Bursaspor31233%71.080.3-9.3
34 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
35 Oldenburg41325%82.580.5+2.0
36 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
37 Sassari41325%83.288.0-4.8
38 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
39 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
40 Oostende41325%74.284.8-10.5
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea4040%74.086.5-12.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1425162176
Benfica2215152274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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