PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

CD Povoa vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 58-83
15-18 21-20 12-22 10-23
Position#6
Record4-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game86.3
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record6-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game67.9
PortugalLPBRound 10· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Benfica
24 Apr 2027
CD P v BEN
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
CD P75
BEN79
30 Mar 2024
CD P72
BEN87
16 Dec 2023
CD P58
BEN83
13 May 2023
CD P72
BEN93
04 Feb 2023
CD P60
BEN59
14 May 2022
CD P67
BEN84
14 Nov 2021
CD P53
BEN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 74
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 74
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
65avg 74
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
99avg 74
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 74
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
no box
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
no box
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 74
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 74
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
17-19
23-20
20-23
21-17
23-18
17-27
20-19
23-31
19-20
24-22
27-22
19-30
9-28
19-16
33-30
22-27
29-20
23-14
26-12
16-21
26-20
24-13
13-17
24-17
19-11
6-17
12-16
19-17
15-16
11-17
24-19
15-21
15-33
32-23
13-27
17-19
28-25
24-18
19-22
169.4Avg total
84.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.386.3169.7-3.044%
Season at home (4)77.887.0164.8-9.225%
Season away (5)87.885.8173.6+2.060%
Last 10 (10)84.485.0169.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.281.4162.6-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.891.5162.2-20.812%
vs Similar (13)81.076.4157.4+4.669%
vs Weaker (8)84.476.2160.6+8.162%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
W
94-72
94
72
+22
93avg 79
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 79
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
66-84
66
84
-18
55avg 79
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 79
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 79
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
no box
A25/11
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 79
A29/11
Champions League
Lusitania
#12
W
94-51
94
51
+43
99avg 79
H02/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#15
W
71-47
71
47
+24
no box
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 79
H13/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
23-26
28-19
26-12
17-8
20-15
24-30
17-17
24-17
15-29
15-18
12-20
20-11
19-31
19-27
20-29
23-17
19-9
29-3
13-23
16-14
21-22
17-30
26-14
22-14
15-25
15-16
22-21
21-20
27-16
22-7
24-8
12-12
17-15
20-5
22-15
16-13
18-18
19-30
10-26
151.8Avg total
79.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.867.9156.7+20.967%
Season at home (6)95.261.8157.0+33.383%
Season away (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)79.072.8151.8+6.250%
Last 5 (5)78.070.4148.4+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.284.0156.2-11.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.868.7160.5+23.177%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
CD PovoaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
81.7Avg total
39.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.679.1-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.737.874.4-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)40.443.984.4-3.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.781.7-3.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.078.8-1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.547.581.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (13)38.637.476.0+1.254%-
vs Weaker (8)42.238.680.9+3.675%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#5
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/11
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/11
Champions League
Lusitania
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#15
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/12
Champions League
72.9Avg total
38.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.636.079.6+7.670%-
Last 30 at home (20)44.536.080.5+8.575%-
Last 30 away (10)41.835.877.6+6.060%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.772.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.870.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.040.677.6-3.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.835.580.3+9.377%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.0
52.8%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.1
35.6%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.914.8
61.9%
69.3%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.2
46.6%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.7
35.0%
33.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.415.6
69.6%
69.3%15.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WLWWWWLLLL
Benfica
LWWLLWLLWW
#6
League position
#1
-3.2
Net rating
+9.7
103.5
Offensive rating
105.3
106.6
Defensive rating
95.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
49.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
20.3%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.6%
3-point %
35.0%
45.4%
Assist %
68.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 105.3Defence106.6 · 95.6Shooting53.0% · 49.1%3-point %35.6% · 35.0%Ball care20.3% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CD Povoa wins
7
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
13/05/23CD Povoa v Benfica72-93
10/05/23Benfica v CD Povoa97-46
04/02/23CD Povoa v Benfica60-59
19/11/22Benfica v CD Povoa63-55
14/05/22CD Povoa v Benfica67-84
12/05/22Benfica v CD Povoa77-59
05/02/22Benfica v CD Povoa67-57
14/11/21CD Povoa v Benfica53-76
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HCA Queluz88-84
01/12/23AOliveirense75-104
25/11/23HPortimonense81-74 OT
18/11/23AVitoria83-74 OT
11/11/23HEsgueira79-71
04/11/23ALusitania100-73
28/10/23HSporting CP80-104
21/10/23AOvarense93-95
14/10/23AOvarense91-92 OT
07/10/23HGalomar74-79
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HGalatasaray63-87
08/12/23HOliveirense71-47
02/12/23HLusitania94-51
29/11/23APAOK74-76
25/11/23ASporting CP88-91 OT
18/11/23HOvarense84-52
14/11/23AGalatasaray78-98
08/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem66-84
04/11/23AGalomar78-70
01/11/23HPAOK94-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game83.377.887.8
Allowed / game86.387.085.8
Point differential-3.0-9.2+2.0
Avg total169.7164.8173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game88.895.276.0
Allowed / game67.961.880.0
Point differential+20.9+33.3-4.0
Avg total156.7157.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto880100%88.971.8+17.1
2 Sporting CP98189%95.281.3+13.9
3 Oliveirense76186%82.172.3+9.9
4 Benfica96367%88.867.9+20.9
5 Portimonense95456%73.176.1-3.0
6 CD Povoa94544%83.386.3-3.0
7 Vitoria94544%77.481.6-4.1
8 Ovarense94544%74.879.2-4.4
9 Galomar93633%76.978.9-2.0
10 Imortal93633%71.280.9-9.7
11 Esgueira91811%71.688.2-16.7
12 Lusitania8080%71.187.8-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1521121058
Benfica1820222383
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.