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Esgueira vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 85-93
19-19 23-27 17-25 26-22
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game80.3
Esgueira
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game73.7
PortugalLPBRound 5· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2024-25
Meetings · Esgueira v Benfica
06 Mar 2027
ESGU v BEN
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
ESGU65
BEN107
09 Nov 2024
ESGU85
BEN93
03 Feb 2024
ESGU64
BEN100
18 Feb 2023
ESGU61
BEN93
13 Mar 2021
ESGU77
BEN92
21 Dec 2019
ESGU76
BEN84
13 Oct 2018
ESGU69
BEN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 63
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 63
A23/03
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
81-82
81
82
-1
65avg 63
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
71avg 63
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 63
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
H20/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 63
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 63
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
53avg 63
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 63
A02/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
16-30
13-24
21-19
20-23
14-10
25-10
21-25
13-21
25-15
19-21
24-25
21-23
19-27
29-16
16-16
15-25
24-23
15-16
19-24
24-8
22-18
25-16
18-19
34-21
19-23
18-20
17-18
12-19
21-20
17-20
32-22
18-15
19-16
15-22
22-28
18-12
20-23
24-21
20-23
160.6Avg total
81.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.380.3159.7-1.067%
Season at home (2)78.081.0159.0-3.050%
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.079.6160.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)83.076.8159.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.088.8159.8-17.824%
vs Similar (9)78.076.0154.0+2.056%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 80
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
89-88
89
88
+1
91avg 80
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 80
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
52avg 80
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
75-103
75
103
-28
56avg 80
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
96-61
96
61
+35
99avg 80
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 80
A26/10
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
58-72
58
72
-14
48avg 80
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 80
H02/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
21-10
15-24
27-17
28-24
19-16
15-23
27-25
28-26
24-15
14-25
25-19
22-23
22-23
19-21
22-18
17-31
20-21
15-27
12-13
17-32
16-25
21-22
21-24
26-12
16-16
31-20
23-13
14-27
18-19
35-13
20-24
16-21
16-20
14-16
12-15
15-19
18-17
22-19
27-22
165.2Avg total
81.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.373.7162.0+14.7100%
Season at home (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)91.572.0163.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.883.4165.2-1.660%
Last 5 (5)79.679.2158.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.584.2159.8-8.850%
vs Similar (3)73.378.3151.7-5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.669.9160.5+20.795%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
EsgueiraBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/03
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H20/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
LPB
79.1Avg total
40.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.277.0-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.940.278.1-2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)35.640.175.7-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.179.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.076.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.443.576.9-10.118%-
vs Similar (9)41.335.777.0+5.778%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/10
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/11
LPB
81.5Avg total
39.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.880.2+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.136.680.7+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.179.7+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.281.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.676.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (3)38.041.379.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.036.078.9+7.073%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.7
37.5%
32.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.7%
69.2%12.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.7
52.8%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.313.7
67.5%
69.2%13.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
WLWWWLWLWL
Benfica
WLWWLLLWWW
#8
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
-4.2
105.9
Offensive rating
104.0
103.8
Defensive rating
108.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.5%
3-point %
33.1%
58.4%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 104.0Defence103.8 · 108.2Shooting52.8% · 51.5%3-point %37.5% · 33.1%Ball care14.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds20.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Esgueira   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Esgueira wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Benfica v Esgueira77-53
03/02/24Esgueira v Benfica64-100
07/10/23Benfica v Esgueira110-70
18/02/23Esgueira v Benfica61-93
30/11/22Benfica v Esgueira95-82
13/03/21Esgueira v Benfica77-92
09/12/20Benfica v Esgueira78-73
21/12/19Esgueira v Benfica76-84
05/01/19Benfica v Esgueira112-66
13/10/18Esgueira v Benfica69-89
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24AVitoria82-79
26/10/24HGalitos Barreiro74-81
20/10/24HSporting CP82-81
27/04/24ACD Povoa88-82
20/04/24HLusitania89-61
13/04/24ASporting CP73-88
06/04/24HOvarense85-82
30/03/24HOvarense81-82
23/03/24AGalomar80-68
09/03/24HImortal76-92
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HFC Porto82-77
29/10/24HTortona58-72
26/10/24AGalomar87-83
19/10/24AImortal96-61
16/10/24AChemnitz75-103
02/10/24AManresa64-92
28/09/24HFC Porto93-97 OT
21/09/24HFribourg Olympic91-85
19/09/24HRilski Sportist89-88
10/06/24HFC Porto83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.378.082.0
Allowed / game80.381.079.0
Point differential-1.0-3.0+3.0
Avg total159.7159.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.382.091.5
Allowed / game73.777.072.0
Point differential+14.7+5.0+19.5
Avg total162.0159.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica330100%88.373.7+14.7
2 Ovarense330100%78.071.3+6.7
3 Oliveirense43175%93.273.8+19.5
4 FC Porto43175%84.880.2+4.5
5 Sporting CP32167%93.774.0+19.7
6 Esgueira32167%79.380.3-1.0
7 Galitos Barreiro42250%75.076.2-1.2
8 CA Queluz31233%81.087.3-6.3
9 CD Povoa41325%70.275.5-5.2
10 Galomar41325%75.284.8-9.5
11 Vitoria3030%78.387.7-9.3
12 Imortal4040%63.089.2-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1923172685
Benfica1927252293
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