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Chemnitz vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-75
32-17 25-16 22-21 24-21
Position#41
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#30
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game88.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 81
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
51avg 81
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
72avg 81
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 81
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
51avg 81
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
84avg 81
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 81
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 81
A13/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
24-13
28-27
23-23
17-27
23-21
12-21
12-17
14-26
15-11
24-24
31-11
28-27
23-16
17-22
17-31
28-30
25-18
20-26
11-23
16-16
12-20
18-26
13-11
18-24
20-23
21-22
27-21
17-22
25-25
18-21
21-19
24-16
20-18
21-17
23-26
10-19
25-23
15-15
23-21
163.7Avg total
79.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)79.983.8163.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)77.481.0158.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.383.3158.7-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.384.3168.6+0.050%
vs Weaker (12)93.481.4174.8+12.075%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
100-55
100
55
+45
101avg 81
H22/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
91-69
91
69
+22
88avg 81
H24/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
77-64
77
64
+13
73avg 81
A27/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
86avg 81
A05/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
62avg 81
A07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 81
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
89-88
89
88
+1
91avg 81
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 81
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
52avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
28-5
21-23
27-11
22-18
24-16
21-18
24-17
20-14
15-17
26-16
16-17
22-16
19-19
23-10
25-21
13-16
15-21
23-13
22-12
20-25
21-10
15-24
27-17
28-24
19-16
15-23
27-25
28-26
24-15
14-25
25-19
22-23
22-23
19-21
22-18
17-31
20-21
15-27
12-13
160.4Avg total
85.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.388.3169.7-7.067%
Season at home (2)90.086.5176.5+3.5100%
Season away (1)64.092.0156.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)85.075.4160.4+9.680%
Last 5 (5)84.087.6171.6-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.388.3169.7-7.067%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.566.0138.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker (24)89.969.8159.8+20.192%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +5.7+5.7
ChemnitzBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/10
German Cup
81.8Avg total
40.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.382.7+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.680.3+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)43.241.985.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.481.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.278.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.043.379.3-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.640.783.3+1.957%-
vs Weaker (12)44.638.883.4+5.875%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H22/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H24/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A27/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A05/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/10
Champions League
79.5Avg total
42.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.579.8+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.035.880.8+9.280%-
Last 30 away (15)41.537.378.7+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.279.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.887.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.344.389.7+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.533.574.0+7.050%-
vs Weaker (24)43.235.478.6+7.875%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.1
54.8%
52.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.4
31.6%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
74.0%11.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.7
55.3%
52.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
74.0%13.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWLLLLLWLW
Benfica
LLWWWWWWWW
#41
League position
#30
-5.6
Net rating
+12.1
103.3
Offensive rating
112.5
109.0
Defensive rating
100.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.6%
3-point %
36.3%
64.7%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 112.5Defence109.0 · 100.4Shooting51.8% · 55.0%3-point %31.6% · 36.3%Ball care18.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.9% · 33.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Benfica wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AHeidelberg73-78
06/10/24HVechta88-77
02/10/24ATortona81-87
22/09/24HUlm86-90
20/09/24ABayern59-73
06/06/24AAlba Berlin84-97
04/06/24HAlba Berlin85-96
02/06/24HAlba Berlin84-72
31/05/24AAlba Berlin64-86
28/05/24AAlba Berlin95-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24AManresa64-92
28/09/24HFC Porto93-97 OT
21/09/24HFribourg Olympic91-85
19/09/24HRilski Sportist89-88
10/06/24HFC Porto83-76
07/06/24AFC Porto73-62
05/06/24AFC Porto89-66
27/05/24AOliveirense77-64
24/05/24HOliveirense91-69
22/05/24HOliveirense100-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
Champions League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Benfica
Champions League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.390.064.0
Allowed / game88.386.592.0
Point differential-7.0+3.5-28.0
Avg total169.7176.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife220100%79.061.5+17.5
2 Unicaja220100%87.572.5+15.0
3 Wurzburg220100%91.578.0+13.5
4 Tortona220100%94.583.0+11.5
5 Petkim Spor550100%81.871.0+10.8
6 Nymburk440100%84.274.2+10.0
7 Szombathely220100%81.073.0+8.0
8 Manisa220100%102.097.0+5.0
9 Bonn43175%85.580.5+5.0
10 Benfica32167%81.388.3-7.0
11 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
12 Saint Quentin21150%79.069.0+10.0
13 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
14 Rytas21150%82.576.0+6.5
15 Manresa21150%88.583.0+5.5
16 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
17 FMP Beograd21150%83.579.5+4.0
18 VEF Riga21150%78.575.0+3.5
19 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
20 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
21 Reggiana21150%74.072.5+1.5
22 Galatasaray21150%89.089.0+0.0
23 Nanterre21150%78.078.0+0.0
24 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
25 Karsiyaka21150%80.080.5-0.5
26 Murcia21150%89.089.5-0.5
27 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan21150%74.575.5-1.0
28 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
29 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
30 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
31 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
32 Promitheas21150%83.086.0-3.0
33 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
34 AEK Athens21150%77.082.0-5.0
35 Igokea21150%83.089.0-6.0
36 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
37 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
38 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
39 Oostende2020%79.584.5-5.0
40 Chemnitz1010%81.087.0-6.0
41 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
42 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
43 Vechta2020%88.595.5-7.0
44 Hapoel Holon2020%73.080.5-7.5
45 Peristeri2020%67.075.5-8.5
46 Slask Wroclaw2020%75.091.0-16.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Szczecin2020%65.084.0-19.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
51 Kolossos Rhodes2020%50.577.5-27.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz32252224103
Benfica1716212175
← all games of the day
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