PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Benfica vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 58-72
16-21 16-20 14-16 12-15
Position#30
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Tortona 🏆
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Pavilhão Fidelidade
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
86avg 81
A05/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
62avg 81
A07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 81
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
89-88
89
88
+1
91avg 81
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 81
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
52avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
75-103
75
103
-28
56avg 81
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
96-61
96
61
+35
99avg 81
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 81
A26/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-19
23-10
25-21
13-16
15-21
23-13
22-12
20-25
21-10
15-24
27-17
28-24
19-16
15-23
27-25
28-26
24-15
14-25
25-19
22-23
22-23
19-21
22-18
17-31
20-21
15-27
12-13
17-32
16-25
21-22
21-24
26-12
16-16
31-20
23-13
14-27
18-19
35-13
20-24
165.3Avg total
84.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.892.0171.8-12.250%
Season at home (2)90.086.5176.5+3.5100%
Season away (2)69.597.5167.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)84.081.3165.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)83.087.2170.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.388.3169.7-7.067%
vs Similar (3)73.378.3151.7-5.067%
vs Weaker (23)90.169.2159.3+20.996%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 74
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
80avg 74
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 74
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 74
A21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
80-68
80
68
+12
80avg 74
H29/09
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
87-81
87
81
+6
76avg 74
H02/10
Champions League
Varese
#12
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 74
A06/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
68avg 74
H12/10
Lega A
Manresa
#9
W
102-85
102
85
+17
95avg 74
H15/10
Champions League
Trapani
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 74
A26/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
16-14
24-29
23-22
27-15
16-19
17-20
31-27
21-18
22-19
24-18
15-20
14-21
21-25
19-23
9-23
27-24
18-13
17-22
18-9
22-17
25-25
21-18
19-21
29-28
22-32
31-13
23-22
22-23
15-20
23-22
22-20
30-16
25-22
25-21
22-26
16-19
27-25
21-15
20-19
167.6Avg total
85.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.583.0177.5+11.5100%
Season at home (2)94.583.0177.5+11.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.382.3167.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)92.084.8176.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.982.2160.1-4.333%
vs Similar (13)84.277.9162.2+6.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.978.4166.2+9.575%
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
BenficaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A05/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/10
LPB
81.4Avg total
39.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.480.3+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.035.880.8+9.280%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.179.7+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.781.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.883.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.344.389.7+1.067%-
vs Similar (3)38.041.379.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (23)43.135.778.7+7.474%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/09
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/10
Champions League
Varese
#12
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A06/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Manresa
#9
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H15/10
Champions League
Trapani
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/10
Lega A
84.2Avg total
42.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.4+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.234.576.8+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)39.043.482.4-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.384.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.492.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.139.278.3-0.144%-
vs Similar (13)40.636.777.3+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.841.183.9+1.662%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.4
53.9%
52.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
74.0%13.5
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.9
51.2%
52.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.7
35.0%
35.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
74.0%14.8
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWLLLWWWWW
Tortona
WWLWWWLWWL
#30
League position
#5
+1.0
Net rating
+4.9
107.7
Offensive rating
115.1
106.7
Defensive rating
110.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
35.0%
57.6%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 115.1Defence106.7 · 110.2Shooting53.8% · 51.8%3-point %35.8% · 35.0%Ball care18.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Benfica   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
Tortona wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AGalomar87-83
19/10/24AImortal96-61
16/10/24AChemnitz75-103
02/10/24AManresa64-92
28/09/24HFC Porto93-97 OT
21/09/24HFribourg Olympic91-85
19/09/24HRilski Sportist89-88
10/06/24HFC Porto83-76
07/06/24AFC Porto73-62
05/06/24AFC Porto89-66
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ATrapani84-78
15/10/24HManresa102-85
12/10/24HTrieste82-85
06/10/24AVarese105-95
02/10/24HChemnitz87-81
29/09/24HCremona80-68
21/05/24AVirtus Bologna63-92
18/05/24HVirtus Bologna82-75
16/05/24HVirtus Bologna91-81
13/05/24AVirtus Bologna77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.890.069.5
Allowed / game92.086.597.5
Point differential-12.2+3.5-28.0
Avg total171.8176.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.594.5-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+11.5+11.5-
Avg total177.5177.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%95.775.7+20.0
2 Tenerife330100%76.361.3+15.0
3 Nymburk550100%86.074.2+11.8
4 Tortona220100%94.583.0+11.5
5 Wurzburg330100%90.379.7+10.7
6 Szombathely220100%81.073.0+8.0
7 Manisa330100%94.390.3+4.0
8 Petkim Spor65183%81.877.8+4.0
9 Bonn43175%85.580.5+5.0
10 Murcia32167%88.076.3+11.7
11 Reggiana32167%73.770.0+3.7
12 Galatasaray32167%85.784.3+1.3
13 AEK Athens32167%78.077.7+0.3
14 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
15 Chemnitz21150%92.081.0+11.0
16 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
17 Rytas21150%82.576.0+6.5
18 Manresa21150%88.583.0+5.5
19 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Karsiyaka21150%80.080.5-0.5
24 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan21150%74.575.5-1.0
25 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
26 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
28 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
29 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
30 Benfica42250%79.892.0-12.2
31 Saint Quentin31233%73.069.7+3.3
32 Oostende31233%81.080.7+0.3
33 VEF Riga31233%75.376.7-1.3
34 Hapoel Holon31233%79.381.0-1.7
35 Nanterre31233%79.781.3-1.7
36 Promitheas31233%80.383.7-3.3
37 Igokea31233%82.790.0-7.3
38 FMP Beograd31233%72.381.7-9.3
39 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
40 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
41 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
42 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
43 Peristeri3030%70.376.7-6.3
44 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
45 Vechta3030%83.794.7-11.0
46 Slask Wroclaw3030%71.785.0-13.3
47 Szczecin3030%67.784.0-16.3
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
51 Kolossos Rhodes2020%50.577.5-27.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica1616141258
Tortona2120161572
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.