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CD Povoa vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-68
20-24 19-11 14-11 13-22
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game76.3
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP 🏆
Portugal
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game76.3
PortugalLPBRound 7· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2024-25
Meetings · CD Povoa v Sporting CP
20 Mar 2027
CD P v SCP
upcoming
07 Dec 2024
CD P66
SCP68
28 Oct 2023
CD P80
SCP104
12 Feb 2023
CD P64
SCP89
08 Oct 2022
CD P79
SCP94
23 Oct 2021
CD P68
SCP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
82avg 71
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
47avg 71
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 71
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 71
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
53avg 71
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 71
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 71
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
65avg 71
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 71
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
80avg 71
H30/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
23-19
20-18
18-17
21-22
10-21
12-21
22-14
22-11
25-26
23-25
15-22
15-15
19-26
21-16
14-21
29-20
18-24
11-19
13-13
18-15
19-17
13-20
14-24
23-24
16-18
22-23
8-10
21-24
23-13
12-18
21-20
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
22-25
23-8
16-28
12-12
153.1Avg total
74.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.076.3150.3-2.333%
Season at home (3)77.377.0154.3+0.333%
Season away (3)70.775.7146.3-5.033%
Last 10 (10)74.578.6153.1-4.130%
Last 5 (5)74.676.4151.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.185.1161.2-9.131%
vs Similar (5)78.082.4160.4-4.440%
vs Weaker (8)86.078.8164.8+7.275%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#32
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 75
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 75
A20/10
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
63-93
63
93
-30
55avg 75
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
W
96-59
96
59
+37
29avg 75
H26/10
LPB
Sassari
#11
L
71-88
71
88
-17
62avg 75
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 75
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
78avg 75
A10/11
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
83-97
83
97
-14
75avg 75
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 75
H16/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 75
H30/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
24-23
18-17
11-18
19-12
20-21
20-17
22-32
20-30
12-19
14-20
17-24
22-14
24-19
23-9
27-17
19-31
23-28
21-20
8-9
20-19
27-24
26-17
31-21
19-22
22-26
26-7
19-22
21-21
13-23
24-27
25-26
18-13
16-23
25-22
17-14
22-26
21-12
22-26
18-23
162.7Avg total
81.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.776.3164.0+11.367%
Season at home (4)89.874.8164.5+15.075%
Season away (2)83.579.5163.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)81.381.4162.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)86.482.8169.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.693.1168.7-17.60%
vs Similar (6)75.076.3151.3-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.974.9161.9+12.065%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
CD PovoaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/11
LPB
81.0Avg total
40.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.681.5-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.180.9+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.244.082.2-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.181.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.677.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.142.180.1-4.038%-
vs Similar (5)41.640.081.6+1.680%-
vs Weaker (8)42.141.283.4+0.950%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#32
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/10
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H26/10
LPB
Sassari
#11
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A10/11
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H30/11
LPB
82.5Avg total
39.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.583.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.282.6+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)41.143.284.3-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.682.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.149.488.6-10.314%-
vs Similar (6)40.337.878.2+2.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.439.683.0+3.865%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.916.4
44.4%
51.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.115.7
65.1%
69.2%15.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.6
55.4%
51.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.35.6
26.3%
32.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws23.415.4
65.8%
69.2%15.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWWLLLLWLL
Sporting CP
LWLWWLWLLL
#10
League position
#3
-5.4
Net rating
-3.8
97.3
Offensive rating
101.6
102.7
Defensive rating
105.3
45.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.8%
3-point %
26.3%
61.3%
Assist %
54.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 101.6Defence102.7 · 105.3Shooting45.8% · 49.8%3-point %31.8% · 26.3%Ball care17.6% · 21.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 35.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CD Povoa wins
6
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Sporting CP v CD Povoa78-79
28/10/23CD Povoa v Sporting CP80-104
12/02/23CD Povoa v Sporting CP64-89
30/12/22Sporting CP v CD Povoa86-73
08/10/22CD Povoa v Sporting CP79-94
08/01/22Sporting CP v CD Povoa113-70
23/10/21CD Povoa v Sporting CP68-71
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HEsgueira82-84 OT
16/11/24HGalomar81-72
09/11/24AGalitos Barreiro77-75
02/11/24HOvarense69-75
26/10/24AFC Porto64-76
19/10/24ACA Queluz71-76
17/05/24AOliveirense69-78
14/05/24HOliveirense85-84
11/05/24AOliveirense65-78
27/04/24HEsgueira82-88
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HFC Porto83-87
16/11/24HGalitos Barreiro76-72
13/11/24HAnwil Wloclawek83-97
10/11/24AOvarense86-77
03/11/24HCA Queluz104-81
30/10/24ASassari71-88
26/10/24HImortal96-59
23/10/24AAnwil Wloclawek63-93
20/10/24AEsgueira81-82
18/10/24HBC Dnipro70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game74.077.370.7
Allowed / game76.377.075.7
Point differential-2.3+0.3-5.0
Avg total150.3154.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game87.789.883.5
Allowed / game76.374.879.5
Point differential+11.3+15.0+4.0
Avg total164.0164.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica770100%93.977.1+16.7
2 FC Porto76186%85.678.4+7.1
3 Ovarense75271%77.476.9+0.6
4 Oliveirense64267%90.277.5+12.7
5 Sporting CP64267%87.776.3+11.3
6 Galitos Barreiro63350%78.777.5+1.2
7 Esgueira63350%80.784.8-4.2
8 Vitoria62433%78.280.3-2.2
9 CD Povoa62433%74.076.3-2.3
10 CA Queluz61517%81.392.7-11.3
11 Galomar71614%73.983.9-10.0
12 Imortal6060%67.389.3-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2019141366
Sporting CP2411112268
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