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Benfica vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-68
20-14 25-17 14-23 20-14
Position#30
Record2-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game86.9
Benfica 🏆
vs
Position#41
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Pavilhão Fidelidade
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 82
A26/10
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
58-72
58
72
-14
48avg 82
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 82
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 82
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 82
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 82
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 82
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 82
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 82
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
93avg 82
H14/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
18-19
35-13
20-24
16-21
16-20
14-16
12-15
15-19
18-17
22-19
27-22
19-19
27-23
25-17
22-26
19-15
26-20
16-22
10-20
28-16
30-17
28-27
22-22
17-15
26-16
25-18
25-26
23-17
29-21
22-20
24-19
23-15
21-18
19-24
17-34
22-23
25-9
21-14
23-22
164.8Avg total
86.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.486.9162.3-11.429%
Season at home (4)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Season away (3)70.090.7160.7-20.70%
Last 10 (10)86.178.7164.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)94.078.6172.6+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.378.3151.7-5.067%
vs Weaker (20)92.069.5161.6+22.5100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 78
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
60avg 78
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
59-105
59
105
-46
48avg 78
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
90avg 78
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 78
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 78
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
60avg 78
A16/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
86avg 78
H30/11
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 78
H10/12
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
65-69
65
69
-4
52avg 78
A15/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
16-20
25-19
19-18
16-17
19-20
12-12
21-11
11-26
20-18
12-21
16-40
23-25
26-16
27-22
20-25
22-20
24-19
20-23
21-16
22-9
17-31
28-29
11-20
22-14
17-28
19-23
16-17
9-18
14-14
23-20
35-25
12-19
14-19
15-20
20-19
15-14
20-20
13-19
17-16
155.3Avg total
75.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.486.6163.0-10.220%
Season at home (3)80.780.3161.0+0.333%
Season away (2)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)75.080.3155.3-5.350%
Last 5 (5)71.878.8150.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.582.7155.2-10.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.280.7164.9+3.564%
vs Weaker (5)87.079.4166.4+7.680%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
BenficaChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/10
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
LPB
79.9Avg total
43.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.579.6+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.734.378.9+10.480%-
Last 30 away (15)41.538.780.2+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.779.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.833.482.2+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.041.379.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (20)43.934.178.0+9.780%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H30/11
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H10/12
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/12
BBL
74.8Avg total
36.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.579.8+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.479.2+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.840.580.3-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.874.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.269.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.840.173.9-6.310%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.639.282.9+4.464%-
vs Weaker (5)45.038.483.4+6.680%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.5
55.0%
52.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.8
34.6%
35.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.213.3
62.7%
74.0%13.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.7
52.7%
52.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.7
75.7%
74.0%13.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLWWWLWWLW
Chemnitz
LLWLLWWLWW
#30
League position
#41
+10.1
Net rating
-7.8
110.6
Offensive rating
101.8
100.5
Defensive rating
109.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
21.7%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
32.0%
68.1%
Assist %
53.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 101.8Defence100.5 · 109.6Shooting53.7% · 50.7%3-point %34.6% · 32.0%Ball care18.5% · 21.7%Off. rebounds33.8% · 31.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
16/10/24Chemnitz v Benfica103-75
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HGalitos Barreiro91-68
10/12/24HManresa80-91
07/12/24AOvarense98-77
30/11/24HOliveirense93-75
16/11/24HCA Queluz108-82
13/11/24ATortona71-77
09/11/24AEsgueira93-85
02/11/24HFC Porto82-77
29/10/24HTortona58-72
26/10/24AGalomar87-83
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ALudwigsburg65-69
10/12/24HTortona61-77
30/11/24HWurzburg81-77
16/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig74-82
12/11/24HManresa78-89
10/11/24HOldenburg87-78
03/11/24HGottingen96-88
30/10/24AManresa59-105
27/10/24ARostock68-60
20/10/24AAlba Berlin81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.479.570.0
Allowed / game86.984.090.7
Point differential-11.4-4.5-20.7
Avg total162.3163.5160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game76.480.770.0
Allowed / game86.680.396.0
Point differential-10.2+0.3-26.0
Avg total163.0161.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%97.372.0+25.3
2 Tenerife550100%82.064.6+17.4
3 Nymburk770100%86.473.0+13.4
4 Tortona550100%83.071.2+11.8
5 Manresa54180%92.476.6+15.8
6 Rytas54180%88.878.2+10.6
7 Murcia54180%85.075.8+9.2
8 Petkim Spor97278%80.279.3+0.9
9 Bonn86275%81.480.9+0.5
10 AEK Athens64267%82.377.2+5.2
11 Karsiyaka53260%81.676.8+4.8
12 Wurzburg53260%85.681.2+4.4
13 Galatasaray53260%83.681.4+2.2
14 Reggiana53260%75.874.8+1.0
15 Hapoel Holon53260%79.078.2+0.8
16 Manisa53260%86.687.8-1.2
17 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
18 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
19 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan63350%82.082.3-0.3
23 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
24 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
25 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
27 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
28 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
29 Peristeri52340%74.674.8-0.2
30 Nanterre52340%82.683.0-0.4
31 Saint Quentin52340%72.476.0-3.6
32 Szombathely52340%76.881.0-4.2
33 Igokea52340%82.086.8-4.8
34 Oostende62433%78.080.0-2.0
35 Benfica72529%75.486.9-11.4
36 Promitheas51420%78.685.6-7.0
37 Slask Wroclaw51420%71.879.2-7.4
38 FMP Beograd51420%72.280.0-7.8
39 Vechta51420%81.491.4-10.0
40 Chemnitz51420%76.486.6-10.2
41 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes5050%62.881.4-18.6
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2025142079
Chemnitz1417231468
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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