Benfica vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 May 2015

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 75-67

19-21 15-20 19-17 22-9

Position#1

Record26-4

FormLWWLW

Points / game92.3

Allowed / game70.9

Benfica 🏆

Vitoria

Position#2

Record24-7

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game70.6

LPBLPB - Final

Other2014-15

Meetings · Benfica v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

94-73

+21

H11/04

LPB

Oliveirense

86-61

+25

A18/04

LPB

Oliveirense

120-76

120

+44

H25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

98-86

+12

H26/04

LPB

Oliveirense

96-60

+36

A02/05

LPB

Ovarense

87-94 OT

-7

H09/05

LPB

Ovarense

89-79

+10

H10/05

LPB

Ovarense

82-77

A16/05

LPB

Ovarense

61-67

-6

A17/05

LPB

Ovarense

100-67

100

+33

H20/05

LPB

28-16

25-18

24-19

17-20

32-14

17-15

13-7

24-25

31-20

36-16

24-21

29-19

23-25

29-14

21-22

25-25

27-21

17-14

29-12

23-13

15-21

16-15

14-15

29-23

16-12

26-27

22-11

25-29

–

7-11

20-22

18-12

16-22

29-14

16-14

23-13

32-26

165.3Avg total

91.3Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	92.3	70.9	163.2	+21.4	87%
Season at home (16)	99.9	71.3	171.2	+28.6	94%
Season away (14)	83.6	70.4	153.9	+13.2	79%
Last 10 (10)	91.3	74.0	165.3	+17.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	76.8	160.6	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	92.3	70.9	163.2	+21.4	87%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

85-70

+15

A18/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

73-61

+12

H25/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

74-77

-3

H26/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

72-74

-2

A02/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

92-87 OT

A03/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

86-76

+10

H06/05

LPB

Barcelos

84-87

-3

H09/05

LPB

Barcelos

81-74 OT

H10/05

LPB

Barcelos

72-54

+18

A16/05

LPB

Barcelos

63-56

A17/05

LPB

24-21

7-13

30-16

24-20

12-13

20-17

14-16

27-15

15-20

14-24

25-12

20-21

17-16

19-15

19-27

23-16

18-23

14-20

22-18

–

21-28

18-16

26-19

19-24

24-22

14-17

17-13

19-22

13-15

20-10

16-12

23-17

15-17

20-12

12-15

16-12

149.8Avg total

78.2Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	79.5	70.6	150.1	+8.8	77%
Season at home (16)	82.4	68.9	151.2	+13.5	88%
Season away (15)	76.4	72.5	148.9	+3.9	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	71.6	149.8	+6.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	69.4	146.6	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	67.5	74.5	142.0	-7.0	50%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (28)	80.1	69.7	149.9	+10.4	82%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	23.7	17.1	40.8	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	16.6	41.8	+8.5	88%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.6	17.8	39.5	+3.8	73%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.1	17.1	40.2	+6.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.8	34.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.7	17.1	40.8	+6.6	81%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	18.2	36.4	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.5	15.5	35.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (24)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	23.4	16.8	40.2	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.9	16.6	41.6	+8.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.1	17.1	38.2	+4.0	82%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	17.2	39.7	+5.2	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.4	16.8	40.2	+6.6	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.5	16.7	36.3	+2.8	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.9	37.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	15.4	35.2	+4.3	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.4	16.4	32.9	+0.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (24)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.5	67%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

53-34

+19

H11/04

LPB

Oliveirense

49-29

+20

A18/04

LPB

Oliveirense

67-36

+31

H25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

52-39

+13

H26/04

LPB

Oliveirense

44-35

A02/05

LPB

Ovarense

31-36

-5

H09/05

LPB

Ovarense

42-39

H10/05

LPB

Ovarense

27-33

-6

A17/05

LPB

Ovarense

45-28

+17

H20/05

LPB

79.9Avg total

45.6Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	47.1	33.9	81.0	+13.1	85%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.1	33.2	83.3	+16.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.7	34.9	77.6	+7.8	73%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.6	34.3	79.9	+11.2	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	34.2	72.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.1	33.9	81.0	+13.1	85%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

31-34

-3

A18/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-30

H25/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-44

-15

H26/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

34-32

A02/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

41-39

A03/05

LPB

Barcelos

39-44

-5

H09/05

LPB

Barcelos

38-39

-1

H10/05

LPB

Barcelos

33-25

A16/05

LPB

Barcelos

35-29

A17/05

LPB

69.8Avg total

34.7Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	39.9	34.1	74.0	+5.8	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	34.4	76.0	+7.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.9	33.7	71.6	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.7	35.1	69.8	-0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.2	72.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (24)	40.0	33.7	73.7	+6.4	67%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	23.0	16.6	39.6	+6.5	74%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.9	16.3	41.2	+8.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.5	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.9	14.7	35.6	+6.2	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	12.6	33.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.0	16.6	39.6	+6.5	74%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	15.3	34.6	+3.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (24)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	20.5	44.7	+3.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.3	17.3	38.5	+4.0	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.4	22.4	46.9	+2.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.6	47.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	58%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	12.5	18.0	30.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (24)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	46.0	35.7	81.8	+10.3	85%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.1	36.8	85.9	+12.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (11)	41.6	34.2	75.8	+7.5	82%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.3	37.1	82.4	+8.2	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	35.2	81.4	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.0	35.7	81.8	+10.3	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.3	35.2	73.4	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	34.0	73.6	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.7	36.5	73.2	+0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.2	34.9	75.1	+5.3	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	34.4	71.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	29.5	35.5	65.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (24)	39.0	35.1	74.1	+3.9	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
21/02/15	Vitoria v Benfica	77-69
23/11/14	Benfica v Vitoria	80-58
23/05/14	Vitoria v Benfica	72-88
18/05/14	Benfica v Vitoria	90-74
17/05/14	Benfica v Vitoria	88-64
08/02/14	Benfica v Vitoria	70-61
09/11/13	Vitoria v Benfica	80-70
24/03/13	Benfica v Vitoria	75-63
09/12/12	Vitoria v Benfica	74-87
12/02/12	Benfica v Vitoria	84-78

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/15	H	Ovarense	100-67
17/05/15	A	Ovarense	61-67
16/05/15	A	Ovarense	82-77
10/05/15	H	Ovarense	89-79
09/05/15	H	Ovarense	87-94 OT
02/05/15	A	Oliveirense	96-60
26/04/15	H	Oliveirense	98-86
25/04/15	H	Oliveirense	120-76
18/04/15	A	Oliveirense	86-61
11/04/15	H	Ovarense	94-73

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/15	A	Barcelos	63-56
16/05/15	A	Barcelos	72-54
10/05/15	H	Barcelos	81-74 OT
09/05/15	H	Barcelos	84-87
06/05/15	H	CAB Madeira	86-76
03/05/15	A	CAB Madeira	92-87 OT
02/05/15	A	CAB Madeira	72-74
26/04/15	H	CAB Madeira	74-77
25/04/15	H	CAB Madeira	73-61
18/04/15	A	Maia	85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	87%
Home	WWLWW	94%
Away	WWWWL	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	87%	94%	79%
Points / game	92.3	99.9	83.6
Allowed / game	70.9	71.3	70.4
Point differential	+21.4	+28.6	+13.2
Avg total	163.2	171.2	153.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	94%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Vitoria

LPB 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	77%
Home	WLWLW	88%
Away	WLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	77%	88%	67%
Points / game	79.5	82.4	76.4
Allowed / game	70.6	68.9	72.5
Point differential	+8.8	+13.5	+3.9
Avg total	150.1	151.2	148.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	69%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	0% (2)	50% (8)
Overtime %	10%	6%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	30	26	4	87%	92.3	70.9	+21.4
2	Vitoria	31	24	7	77%	79.5	70.6	+8.8
3	Barcelos	31	18	13	58%	78.7	77.0	+1.7
4	Ovarense	30	17	13	57%	74.3	71.3	+2.9
5	Alges	27	13	14	48%	73.0	72.7	+0.3
6	CAB Madeira	27	13	14	48%	79.6	81.7	-2.1
7	Lusitania	25	12	13	48%	71.2	73.7	-2.5
8	Oliveirense	25	10	15	40%	74.5	82.6	-8.1
9	Maia	22	8	14	36%	69.0	78.5	-9.5
10	Galitos	22	6	16	27%	76.3	85.7	-9.4
11	Sampaense	22	5	17	23%	78.0	83.9	-5.9
12	Illiabum	22	5	17	23%	70.9	79.9	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	19	15	19	22	75
Vitoria	21	20	17	9	67

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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