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Benfica vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 107-66
28-17 25-22 25-10 29-17
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalLPBRound 2· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2023-24
Meetings · Benfica v Vitoria
12 Dec 2026
BEN v VITO
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
BEN111
VITO79
09 May 2025
BEN99
VITO87
26 Apr 2025
BEN91
VITO81
01 Mar 2025
BEN85
VITO68
11 May 2024
BEN81
VITO53
04 Oct 2023
BEN107
VITO66
14 Feb 2023
BEN100
VITO80
07 May 2022
BEN89
VITO70
05 Oct 2021
BEN96
VITO57
06 Jan 2021
BEN102
VITO60
05 Oct 2019
BEN78
VITO76
19 Jan 2019
BEN83
VITO81
27 Apr 2018
BEN98
VITO86
08 Oct 2017
BEN106
VITO82
21 Apr 2017
BEN80
VITO76
12 Oct 2016
BEN85
VITO64
06 Dec 2015
BEN75
VITO56
24 May 2015
BEN77
VITO69
23 May 2015
BEN75
VITO67
23 Nov 2014
BEN80
VITO58
18 May 2014
BEN90
VITO74
17 May 2014
BEN88
VITO64
08 Feb 2014
BEN70
VITO61
24 Mar 2013
BEN75
VITO63
12 Feb 2012
BEN84
VITO78
29 Jan 2011
BEN79
VITO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
W
91-79 OT
91
79
+12
no box
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#8
W
115-44
115
44
+71
no box
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
H04/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H06/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-57
101
57
+44
no box
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 80
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
122-62
122
62
+60
124avg 80
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
87-59
87
59
+28
89avg 80
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 80
A29/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
22-11
14-16
23-22
28-16
36-7
31-14
20-7
28-19
19-29
24-18
14-18
25-21
23-18
12-27
27-27
17-17
31-17
26-11
27-12
23-28
25-17
21-25
32-15
21-15
31-21
16-19
25-20
25-15
32-17
36-18
29-12
24-15
23-16
15-18
25-10
17-19
18-26
24-15
24-13
167.6Avg total
96.5Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)96.571.1167.6+25.490%
Last 5 (5)97.270.8168.0+26.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (2)79.073.5152.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)93.371.9165.2+21.479%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#12
W
96-93
96
93
+3
no box
H22/03
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
88-98
88
98
-10
no box
A25/03
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
106-82
106
82
+24
no box
H01/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
no box
H08/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A15/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
101-99
101
99
+2
no box
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
82-119
82
119
-37
no box
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
101-112
101
112
-11
no box
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
66avg 66
H23/09
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
32-22
18-23
24-22
16-28
26-18
21-18
25-34
26-20
32-20
17-26
31-16
17-16
30-24
24-26
25-26
19-25
23-24
26-17
23-18
25-19
22-18
15-19
24-25
22-13
27-27
28-38
24-21
25-29
17-24
25-31
15-35
32-33
15-35
28-23
26-21
28-16
20-18
13-24
18-18
186.2Avg total
92.6Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.076.0155.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)79.076.0155.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.693.6186.2-1.070%
Last 5 (5)89.897.4187.2-7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)86.1101.1187.3-15.014%
vs Similar (16)89.087.2176.2+1.856%
vs Weaker (6)93.583.3176.8+10.283%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +9.0+9.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +9.0+9.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
BenficaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#8
W
64-23
64
23
+41
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/09
Champions League
85.6Avg total
48.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.636.083.6+11.687%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.736.084.7+12.793%-
Last 30 away (15)46.536.182.5+10.480%-
Last 10 (10)48.537.185.6+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.837.885.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.236.084.2+12.288%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H22/03
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A25/03
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H01/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A15/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H23/09
LPB
93.1Avg total
47.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.488.7+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.843.992.6+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)41.342.984.1-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)47.645.593.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.493.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.648.692.1-5.014%-
vs Similar (16)44.941.085.9+3.969%-
vs Weaker (6)49.041.090.0+8.083%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
51.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.3%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.0
70.0%
69.3%14.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.014.0
41.2%
51.0%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.0
30.3%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws35.023.0
65.7%
69.3%23.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWWWWWLWWW
Vitoria
WLLWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#7
+12.7
Net rating
+4.9
110.5
Offensive rating
99.8
97.8
Defensive rating
94.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
43.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
13.3%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.52
36.3%
3-point %
30.3%
66.1%
Assist %
45.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 99.8Defence97.8 · 94.8Shooting54.6% · 43.3%3-point %36.3% · 30.3%Ball care19.8% · 13.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · 22.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.52Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Benfica   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Benfica wins
0
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
14/02/23Benfica v Vitoria100-80
25/11/22Vitoria v Benfica79-106
07/05/22Benfica v Vitoria89-70
17/12/21Vitoria v Benfica68-108
05/10/21Benfica v Vitoria96-57
31/01/21Vitoria v Benfica66-89
06/01/21Benfica v Vitoria102-60
28/12/19Vitoria v Benfica83-90
05/10/19Benfica v Vitoria78-76
19/01/19Benfica v Vitoria83-81
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23ANorrkoping83-73
27/09/23HAEK Larnaca87-59
25/09/23HTSU122-62
16/09/23HImortal93-75
11/06/23ASporting CP101-85
09/06/23ASporting CP101-57
06/06/23HSporting CP87-93
04/06/23HSporting CP85-84
25/05/23AOvarense115-44
22/05/23HOvarense91-79 OT
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HOvarense79-76
14/05/23HFC Porto101-112
10/05/23AFC Porto82-119
06/05/23HEsgueira101-99
22/04/23ASangalhos86-81
15/04/23AImortal91-84
08/04/23HCD Povoa96-92
01/04/23HCAB Madeira106-82
25/03/23AEsgueira88-98
22/03/23HSangalhos96-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%91.076.0+15.0
2 Oliveirense110100%74.062.0+12.0
3 Sporting CP220100%89.580.5+9.0
4 Portimonense110100%85.078.0+7.0
5 Vitoria110100%79.076.0+3.0
6 Imortal21150%81.577.0+4.5
7 Galomar21150%87.087.0+0.0
8 CD Povoa21150%82.087.0-5.0
9 Ovarense2020%78.582.0-3.5
10 Esgueira2020%70.079.5-9.5
11 Lusitania2020%73.087.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica28252529107
Vitoria1722101766
← all games of the day
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